Tedious-Preface — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

206

Trades

1,120

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 08-11 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

75% 22% -$89

Crypto

19% 11% -$5

Tech

3% 67% +$2

Politics

2% 29% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	12	$145	234	234	+0	open	—	06-23 08:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	16	$133	344	344	+0	open	—	07-10 09:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	13	$92	360	360	+0	open	—	07-03 15:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$74	100	100	+0	open	—	07-23 16:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$65	250	250	+0	open	—	07-10 18:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$40	338	338	-0	open	—	08-11 11:53
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	9	$34	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	06-09 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?	15	$15	217	217	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 08:01
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	19	$15	6,945	6,645	+300	Geek Fam ID	+$1	05-24 16:41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?	19	$14	248	248	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 14:03
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	25	$13	124	124	+0	Yes	+$2	06-03 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?	16	$13	254	254	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 06:46
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Team Flash - Game 1 Winner	13	$10	1,521	1,020	+501	Team Vamos	+$6	05-24 09:32
Games Total: O/U 2.5	17	$9	1,840	1,338	+502	Over	-$2	05-23 10:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	2	$9	51	51	+0	Up	+$0	05-26 01:36
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	15	$9	262	262	+0	Up	-$1	06-08 12:09
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	14	$8	209	158	+51	Down	$0	06-04 12:59
Games Total: O/U 2.5	3	$8	7,619	0	+7,619	Under	-$8	05-25 17:15
Games Total: O/U 2.5	15	$7	1,979	1,979	+0	Under	-$1	05-24 08:54
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 3?	5	$7	101	101	+0	Yes	-$2	06-03 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?	9	$7	136	136	+0	Yes	$0	06-05 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3?	12	$7	107	107	+0	Yes	+$0	06-03 08:32
spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	3	$7	201	201	+0	Up	-$2	06-15 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?	15	$6	128	128	+0	Yes	+$0	06-03 17:52
lol bombat rs 2026 06 08	10	$6	627	230	+397	The Ruddy Sack	-$4	06-09 04:59
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	8	$5	1,130	875	+255	Team Liquid ID	-$2	05-23 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?	4	$5	157	51	+106	No	-$1	05-22 09:47
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	5	$5	4,794	0	+4,794	AM Gaming	-$5	05-24 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	12	$5	167	167	+0	Yes	-$1	05-21 10:08
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Rey (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	16	$5	1,508	1,508	+0	Selangor Red Giants	+$1	05-23 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:54:04	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x05da6b…
08-11 15:52:55	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1d6991…
08-11 15:52:06	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xeb647c…
08-11 15:52:04	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf1fd1f…
08-11 15:51:40	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcbca32…
08-11 15:49:57	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfe6917…
08-11 15:49:28	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb1fefc…
08-11 15:49:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	155	0¢	$0	0x26f420…
08-11 15:49:00	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x182fb4…
08-11 15:48:43	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xdc5146…
08-11 15:47:06	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7f6af4…
08-11 15:43:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x377dcf…
08-11 15:42:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa7fa00…
08-11 15:39:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x2a67c4…
08-11 15:39:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0x1ed9e6…
08-11 15:38:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6263d1…
08-11 15:38:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x7d08ae…
08-11 15:38:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa8ff28…
08-11 15:38:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x32215e…
08-11 15:35:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4dda1a…
08-11 15:33:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa53a9f…
08-11 15:31:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xdbe05a…
08-11 15:28:54	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xa206e2…
08-11 15:26:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x082cad…
08-11 13:24:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4c7123…
08-11 13:24:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x339184…
08-11 13:24:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4552d5…
08-11 13:24:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x3c9551…
08-11 12:10:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xbd4e4a…
08-11 12:09:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x5c7375…
08-11 11:58:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x4707b6…
08-11 11:56:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xf35ff8…
08-11 11:55:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x31eeac…
08-11 11:53:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	3¢	$3	0x2a2c5f…
08-09 08:14:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$4	0x4dd18d…
08-09 08:13:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0xbf3181…
07-23 16:25:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xbb2d1b…
07-12 19:33:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xd2cac1…
07-10 18:16:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	14¢	$35	0xcb5e5a…
07-10 09:40:53	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xee21de…
07-08 22:15:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	12¢	$27	0xe9331e…
07-08 19:22:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x001c18…
07-05 19:33:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x80ec4f…
07-05 16:33:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	45	16¢	$7	0x91b097…
07-03 15:55:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x042bc6…
06-30 22:12:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x9e1d74…
06-30 16:45:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0x61f49e…
06-30 12:04:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xe15cee…
06-30 11:30:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0xaa2b53…
06-27 10:52:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xb378b7…
06-27 05:50:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x8e9054…
06-27 02:18:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x311763…
06-27 01:56:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x79588c…
06-26 21:35:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xd24180…
06-26 18:47:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	8¢	$19	0x8685b5…
06-26 18:36:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xa2798b…
06-24 23:24:47	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xfe6355…
06-24 00:10:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	70	22¢	$15	0x46ca80…
06-23 19:17:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	33	21¢	$7	0x3d3bb3…
06-23 08:46:59	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	34	32¢	$11	0x04abae…
06-23 06:13:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x39d4f1…
06-22 13:57:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xb9c07f…
06-22 07:36:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xdec80a…
06-22 05:33:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x9ebe38…
06-22 05:32:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0x12f77a…
06-22 05:29:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xc27c11…
06-22 05:29:20	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0xacaafb…
06-19 23:02:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa7f0ae…
06-19 17:14:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x0c06e2…
06-19 17:14:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8c963d…
06-19 17:14:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0f844c…
06-19 13:53:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xec297e…
06-19 13:06:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x968981…
06-19 03:50:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xd8a28d…
06-18 14:16:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xbef6fd…
06-18 13:27:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	153	12¢	$18	0xeece45…
06-18 05:02:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xe7ec6b…
06-16 05:40:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 18?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xbccee8…
06-16 05:05:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 18?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x92aae2…
06-16 05:01:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7f4609…
06-16 04:40:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x13eb59…
06-16 04:40:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 18?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x63d901…
06-16 04:23:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x91c41a…
06-16 03:55:12	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xb162ff…
06-15 16:01:45	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x17fcd7…
06-15 06:19:15	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Down	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xd96b22…
06-15 06:08:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?	Down	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0x6199ea…
06-15 05:42:55	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	201	2¢	$4	0x07679e…
06-15 05:42:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xba90dd…
06-15 05:37:31	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x743480…
06-15 05:35:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xacb852…
06-15 05:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	No	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0xc1a2ff…
06-15 05:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 15?	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x079c48…
06-15 05:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xfa3ece…
06-15 05:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 15?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x17eaf5…
06-15 05:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xcae32d…
06-15 05:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?	No	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x4af815…
06-15 05:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x67db1a…
06-09 14:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x764401…
06-09 12:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x8a2ccb…