Realized P&L
-$189
Unrealized P&L
-$168
Hit rate
20.3%
Resolved
9
Trades
4,895
lifetime
Volume
$69.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$262
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 02:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
43% 50% $-92
Sports
28% 33% $-97
Politics
14%
Crypto
14%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +602 $209 11¢ $63 $-146 06-22 10:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +30 $28 96¢ $29 +$0 06-30 13:58
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -28 $-27 98¢ $-28 $-1 06-25 13:59
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +36 $24 60¢ $21 $-2 06-29 00:04
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19 $21 99¢ $18 $-3 06-30 21:57
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $14 98¢ $14 +$0 06-16 12:30
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 97¢ $14 +$0 06-29 13:57
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 $-0 07-01 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 06-25 15:03
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-8 97¢ $-8 +$0 06-09 12:01
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +8 $8 93¢ $7 $-0 06-25 13:43
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +494 $10 $7 $-3 06-26 15:42
Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $-0 06-30 05:43
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-29 09:02
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 06-26 16:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$0 06-26 11:27
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $-0 06-26 10:00
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-04 04:31
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -2 $-1 73¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 14:52
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +56 $2 $1 $-0 06-27 03:48
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +45 $1 $1 +$0 06-06 14:20
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes +14 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-06 14:24
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? Yes +62 $1 $1 +$0 06-19 00:50
Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 15:26
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $1 $1 $-0 06-29 08:57
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-27 08:07
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $4 97¢ $1 $-4 06-09 13:04
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +1 $3 81¢ $1 $-2 06-08 21:34
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +9 $8 $1 $-8 06-11 04:05
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +1 $0 27¢ $0 $-0 06-09 10:22