Realized P&L
-$8.41K
Unrealized P&L
-$152
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved
953
Trades
9,354
lifetime
Volume
$119.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$436
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-25 13:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
43% 45% -$3,699
Crypto
24% 56% -$35
Sports
19% 43% +$172
Politics
13% 14% -$4,789
Tech
1% 40% -$56
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +241 $133 82¢ $196 +$63 08-12 10:46
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +725 $224 18¢ $134 -$90 08-23 13:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -27 -$20 92¢ $-25 -$4 08-13 08:45
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -22 -$20 99¢ $-22 -$2 08-18 16:00
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +197 $100 7¢ $14 -$86 08-08 04:23
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$0 08-19 13:16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -31 -$6 16¢ $-5 +$1 05-27 06:59
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $6 100¢ $-5 -$11 08-25 13:07
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +125 $1 4¢ $4 +$3 06-09 10:44
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -21 -$3 17¢ $-3 -$1 08-16 13:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +63 $9 4¢ $2 -$7 05-24 10:28
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 08-13 11:39
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +290 $15 0¢ $1 -$13 08-03 00:09
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -2 -$1 60¢ $-1 $0 08-12 10:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -51 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 05-20 21:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 83¢ $-1 +$0 08-19 15:48
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 08-12 07:39
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $0 06-09 07:33
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 08-20 03:59
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 07-02 07:49
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 08-02 05:54
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 06-27 08:07
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 08-18 04:12
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 08-19 13:17
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 08-19 13:22
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 08-18 04:17
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 08-18 05:58
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +1 $2 96¢ $1 -$1 08-18 05:56
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 08-14 05:04
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No +1 $7 97¢ $1 -$6 08-16 17:03