Realized P&L
-$21.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
6,114
Trades
118,854
lifetime
Volume
$2.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 16:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 284 days
Categories
Other
74% 38% -$16,040
Politics
13% 47% +$1,552
Sports
9% 40% -$5,349
Crypto
4% 32% -$1,731
Tech
0% 26% -$133
Pop-Culture
0% 20% +$517
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 556 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +306 $230 78¢ $237 +$7 11-12 20:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +200 $181 93¢ $186 +$5 11-13 19:03
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? No +652 $159 18¢ $117 -$41 10-10 15:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +169 $77 55¢ $92 +$15 11-12 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 14? No +311 $113 27¢ $84 -$29 11-14 15:07
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? No +155 $130 52¢ $81 -$50 11-13 05:58
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -82 -$49 97¢ $-79 -$30 10-31 13:22
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +295 $60 26¢ $75 +$15 11-11 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 14? No +80 $64 86¢ $68 +$4 11-14 12:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $76 22¢ $65 -$11 11-14 02:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +83 -$98 77¢ $64 +$162 11-08 17:18
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? No +143 $50 40¢ $57 +$7 11-14 17:30
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 Yes +299 $34 18¢ $55 +$22 11-14 16:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +70 -$112 78¢ $55 +$167 11-14 00:39
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -53 -$44 98¢ $-52 -$8 05-04 08:02
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? Yes +300 $201 16¢ $46 -$154 11-03 10:53
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +46 -$3 94¢ $44 +$47 11-14 17:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? Yes +87 $44 48¢ $42 -$2 11-13 12:21
Will Ben Ferguson be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +264 $58 15¢ $38 -$20 11-14 09:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? Yes +300 $66 12¢ $36 -$30 11-11 21:38
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? Yes +120 $18 28¢ $33 +$16 11-05 23:00
Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the January meeting? Yes +38 -$11 88¢ $33 +$44 11-13 14:50
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +300 -$15 11¢ $33 +$48 10-20 05:50
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +61 $16 48¢ $29 +$13 11-13 06:56
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? No +60 $26 42¢ $26 $0 11-14 10:56
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $33 8¢ $25 -$7 11-14 00:03
Will Deportivo Pereira vs. América de Cali end in a draw? Yes +80 $26 30¢ $24 -$1 11-14 17:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 14? Yes +211 $52 11¢ $23 -$29 11-14 14:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? Yes +101 $27 22¢ $23 -$4 10-23 00:40
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $42 7¢ $21 -$21 11-02 07:49