Faint-Brass 0xd035fd…acf165 Create alert
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$21.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
6,106
Trades
118,755
lifetime
Volume
$2.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 283 days
Categories
Other
74% 38% -$15,825
Politics
13% 47% +$1,552
Sports
9% 40% -$5,349
Crypto
4% 32% -$1,731
Tech
0% 26% -$133
Pop-Culture
0% 20% +$517
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 556 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +306 $230 76¢ $234 +$4 11-12 20:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +200 $181 93¢ $186 +$5 11-13 19:03
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +178 $121 94¢ $168 +$47 11-12 18:04
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? No +652 $159 18¢ $117 -$41 10-10 15:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +169 $77 58¢ $99 +$22 11-12 18:27
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? No +155 $130 61¢ $95 -$36 11-13 05:58
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13? No +242 $82 33¢ $80 -$2 11-14 00:48
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -82 -$49 98¢ $-80 -$31 10-31 13:22
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +295 $60 26¢ $77 +$17 11-11 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 13? No +71 $45 100¢ $71 +$25 11-13 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 14? No +153 $71 43¢ $66 -$5 11-13 20:06
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +83 -$98 77¢ $64 +$162 11-08 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 14? No +60 $47 90¢ $55 +$7 11-13 22:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +70 -$112 77¢ $54 +$165 11-14 00:39
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -53 -$44 98¢ $-52 -$8 05-04 08:02
Will Ben Ferguson be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +300 $63 16¢ $46 -$17 11-12 20:05
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? Yes +300 $201 16¢ $46 -$154 11-03 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 14? No +357 $105 12¢ $45 -$60 11-14 00:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? Yes +87 $44 50¢ $43 -$1 11-13 12:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? Yes +300 $66 14¢ $42 -$24 11-11 21:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +159 $44 23¢ $37 -$7 11-14 00:03
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? Yes +300 $51 12¢ $36 -$15 10-03 02:30
Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the January meeting? Yes +38 -$11 88¢ $33 +$44 11-13 14:50
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? Yes +120 $18 28¢ $33 +$16 11-05 23:00
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +300 -$15 11¢ $33 +$48 10-20 05:50
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? No +73 $31 42¢ $31 $0 11-13 14:12
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $33 9¢ $27 -$6 11-14 00:03
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 13? Yes +26 $38 100¢ $26 -$12 11-13 13:58
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $42 8¢ $24 -$18 11-02 07:49
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +61 $16 39¢ $24 +$8 11-13 06:56