Faint-Brass 0xd035fd…acf165 Create alert
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$233
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved (90d)
1,225
Trades (90d)
18,443
118,311 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$466.5K
$2.88M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$964
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 17:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 280 days
Categories
Other
74% 38% -$16,007
Politics
13% 47% +$1,638
Sports
9% 40% -$5,349
Crypto
4% 32% -$1,731
Tech
0% 26% -$133
Pop-Culture
0% 20% +$517
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 556 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No -214 -$121 99¢ $-211 -$90 11-03 23:54
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? No +652 $159 18¢ $121 -$38 10-10 15:22
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -82 -$49 97¢ $-79 -$30 10-31 13:22
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? Yes +300 $201 25¢ $75 -$126 11-03 10:53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +83 -$98 77¢ $64 +$162 11-08 17:18
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -53 -$44 98¢ $-52 -$8 05-04 08:02
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +182 $28 29¢ $52 +$24 11-04 14:55
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? No +438 $130 10¢ $46 -$84 11-01 08:20
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? Yes +300 $51 12¢ $36 -$15 10-03 02:30
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +300 -$15 11¢ $33 +$48 10-20 05:50
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? Yes +120 $18 26¢ $32 +$14 11-05 23:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $85 10¢ $28 -$56 09-04 21:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? Yes +101 $27 22¢ $22 -$5 10-23 00:40
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $42 7¢ $21 -$21 11-02 07:49
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? No +20 $16 77¢ $15 -$1 11-03 04:11
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? No +65 $31 16¢ $10 -$21 11-01 05:15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$65 2¢ $-8 +$57 05-18 06:00
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -286 -$48 3¢ $-7 +$40 09-18 20:11
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -253 -$68 3¢ $-7 +$61 07-14 12:50
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -7 -$6 91¢ $-7 -$1 04-28 20:36
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? Yes +24 $4 24¢ $6 +$2 11-01 16:37
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? No +117 $37 4¢ $5 -$32 10-28 04:24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$50 1¢ $-5 +$44 05-05 03:27
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$35 1¢ $-5 +$30 04-28 15:21
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -457 -$50 1¢ $-4 +$46 05-08 10:35
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +164 $23 2¢ $4 -$19 10-31 14:23
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 -$32 1¢ $-3 +$29 05-05 07:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -323 -$12 1¢ $-2 +$10 04-28 16:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -236 -$17 1¢ $-2 +$15 04-28 14:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +2 $57 93¢ $2 -$56 10-07 11:05