Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,956
lifetime
Volume
$18.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$98
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-09 16:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
58% 71% $-1
Crypto
26%
Politics
11% 0% $-5
Pop-Culture
4%
Sports
1% 0% $-8
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -29 $-14 75¢ $-22 $-8 06-01 07:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +82 $20 14¢ $12 $-8 06-01 17:47
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -13 $-5 68¢ $-9 $-4 06-08 06:34
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -18 $-8 48¢ $-9 $-0 06-09 02:44
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +43 $10 16¢ $7 $-3 06-01 08:46
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes -21 $-9 29¢ $-6 +$3 05-31 10:42
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes +34 $10 16¢ $6 $-4 06-01 07:09
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -22 $-9 25¢ $-6 +$3 06-01 13:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -26 $-12 18¢ $-5 +$7 05-28 18:44
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -24 $-8 18¢ $-4 +$4 06-01 12:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +56 $9 $4 $-6 06-01 14:59
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -14 $-6 16¢ $-2 +$4 06-09 11:08
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +34 $6 $2 $-4 05-28 13:14
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No -12 $-3 18¢ $-2 +$1 05-29 23:25
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -27 $-8 $-2 +$6 05-28 11:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +8 $2 20¢ $2 $-1 06-01 11:06
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-7 41¢ $0 +$7 06-04 09:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +0 $-4 32¢ $0 +$4 06-09 16:05
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +0 $-8 12¢ $0 +$8 06-02 19:17