Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
2,126
lifetime
Volume
$19.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$284
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 07-20 10:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
57% 71% $-1
Crypto
26%
Politics
11% 0% $-5
Pop-Culture
4%
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 0% $-8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes -47 $-24 90¢ $-42 $-19 07-10 11:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +30 $24 80¢ $24 +$0 07-05 16:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +30 $24 76¢ $23 $-1 07-05 13:36
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $28 47¢ $18 $-10 07-05 11:14
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +98 $19 14¢ $13 $-6 06-23 17:52
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No -13 $-10 96¢ $-13 $-3 07-04 13:07
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -18 $-8 60¢ $-11 $-3 06-09 02:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-10 89¢ $-11 $-1 07-02 04:49
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes +62 $10 16¢ $10 +$0 06-25 11:11
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? Yes -63 $-25 15¢ $-9 +$15 06-22 12:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +58 $10 15¢ $9 $-1 06-17 17:36
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +32 $10 26¢ $8 $-1 06-17 18:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +36 $10 22¢ $8 $-2 06-17 13:52
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $10 12¢ $7 $-3 06-21 08:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +30 $10 24¢ $7 $-3 06-21 11:46
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +69 $5 10¢ $7 +$2 06-25 06:16
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +45 $10 15¢ $6 $-4 06-24 18:55
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +27 $9 24¢ $6 $-3 06-24 08:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +45 $10 14¢ $6 $-4 06-18 22:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -18 $-11 34¢ $-6 +$5 06-25 19:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +60 $10 10¢ $6 $-4 06-21 13:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $10 10¢ $5 $-5 06-21 11:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $10 16¢ $5 $-5 06-17 20:37
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $10 $4 $-6 06-20 19:49
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes -21 $-9 18¢ $-4 +$5 05-31 10:42
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -24 $-8 16¢ $-4 +$4 06-01 12:44
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +38 $10 10¢ $4 $-6 06-28 01:54
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +43 $10 $3 $-7 06-01 08:46
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $2 67¢ $3 +$1 07-02 04:49
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +4 $3 56¢ $2 $-0 07-04 20:51