Stale-Suit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

323

Trades

659

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 07-15 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 78% -$31

Other

39% 68% -$37

Sports

1% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 10?	4	$45	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-10 08:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:20 UTC	5	$36	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	03-24 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:55 UTC	4	$36	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	03-24 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 7?	5	$31	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-07 07:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:35 UTC	4	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	03-24 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:05 UTC	4	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	03-24 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:25 UTC	4	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	03-24 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:35 UTC	4	$30	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	03-24 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 04:05 UTC	4	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	03-24 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 3?	4	$26	19	19	+0	Yes	-$8	05-03 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-23 09:36
highest temperature in beijing on april 19 2026 24c	5	$24	13	13	+0	No	$0	04-19 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-11 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 5?	4	$24	13	13	+0	No	$0	05-05 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:10 UTC	3	$23	16	8	+8	Up	+$1	03-24 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:40 UTC	3	$23	16	8	+8	Up	+$1	03-24 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 06:20 UTC	3	$23	16	8	+8	Up	+$1	03-24 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 5?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-05 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 9?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-09 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 9?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-09 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 07:32
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 18c	4	$21	14	13	+0	No	-$3	04-20 03:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 06:00 UTC	3	$21	14	8	+6	Up	+$1	03-24 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 8?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-08 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or higher on May 7?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-07 08:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 05:00 UTC	4	$20	13	13	+0	Down	-$2	04-19 05:06
highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 24c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-17 08:52
highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 19c	4	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-17 04:39
highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 21c	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-17 06:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:45 UTC	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	03-24 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 01:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf46e2e…
07-15 01:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 01:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b8ddb…
07-15 01:14:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x218829…
07-15 01:12:23	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x7718e5…
07-14 03:49:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5cf0ef…
07-14 03:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x637731…
07-14 03:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9e8394…
07-14 03:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4565c6…
07-14 02:37:20	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x42ff01…
07-13 01:43:13	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x31f2cc…
06-22 03:37:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xf89f32…
06-20 04:08:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x78631d…
06-16 02:56:12	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6b82dd…
06-16 02:55:27	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdc73f3…
06-16 02:54:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4998c8…
06-16 02:52:30	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x5b66a1…
06-09 02:53:30	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xd43d91…
06-09 02:48:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 216pt5	Under	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8fea0c…
06-09 02:26:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa65fd0…
06-08 07:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x0678f0…
06-08 06:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfbbe4c…
06-08 06:17:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4c0004…
06-08 05:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6aaf12…
06-06 08:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 6?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x796be8…
06-06 04:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6f240c…
06-05 09:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0a6182…
06-05 06:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe13596…
06-05 06:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xf9774b…
06-05 06:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x4f992d…
06-04 03:16:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6e00d9…
06-04 03:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x03792f…
06-04 03:14:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8e0bde…
06-04 02:56:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 205pt5	Under	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x0e51da…
06-04 02:43:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 205pt5	Under	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x643a51…
06-03 08:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 3?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x3097aa…
06-03 06:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x853c65…
06-03 04:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 3?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa95fc1…
06-03 04:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f72b5…
05-31 08:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1c5a16…
05-31 06:53:19	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x32ba57…
05-31 06:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x10520d…
05-30 09:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2abb0…
05-30 09:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa76fe7…
05-30 07:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfaf886…
05-30 07:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa56466…
05-29 09:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 29?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x100c65…
05-29 08:39:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x0c48a0…
05-29 08:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 29?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x30c20b…
05-29 08:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 29?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x80b097…
05-29 08:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 29?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82f112…
05-29 05:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 29?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x74a7ca…
05-29 05:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 29?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4c7f0b…
05-29 05:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 29?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x752415…
05-29 05:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 29?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x733b85…
05-28 08:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x479170…
05-28 08:18:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc11530…
05-28 08:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x940e8a…
05-28 06:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd3723b…
05-28 06:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x657bf1…
05-28 06:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xf6096e…
05-28 06:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 28?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4fb37b…
05-28 04:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdee330…
05-28 03:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x42881b…
05-28 03:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x641138…
05-28 03:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1fea45…
05-27 08:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9c40e6…
05-27 08:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xba18da…
05-26 08:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 27?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xaa9e17…
05-26 08:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc90e8f…
05-26 08:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 27?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xac0774…
05-26 04:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x59efb9…
05-26 04:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x96d405…
05-26 04:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2c8c28…
05-25 08:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd263a6…
05-25 08:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x73d0a3…
05-25 08:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?	No	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x2af1e8…
05-25 05:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf04f30…
05-25 05:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?	No	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xbea4c7…
05-25 05:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7ec595…
05-25 05:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 25?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x703384…
05-24 09:52:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0d2245…
05-24 08:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbc520c…
05-24 08:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 24?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x7821a1…
05-24 05:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa8c615…
05-24 05:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 24?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc91712…
05-24 05:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?	No	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xa4e5be…
05-24 04:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb716cc…
05-24 03:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x519fb6…
05-24 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf8647…
05-24 02:37:10	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5	Under	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2ca4be…
05-24 02:32:02	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xa1b9e9…
05-24 02:31:00	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x958e4f…
05-23 09:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0xcba085…
05-23 05:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$12	0xfa77d1…
05-23 05:28:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xeb50af…
05-23 05:28:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xc1dfbb…
05-22 08:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x43b353…
05-22 08:47:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xffb9ef…
05-22 08:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x159a11…
05-22 07:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x052af0…