Medium-Rainbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$5.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-07 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-60

Crypto

24% — —

Politics

18% 100% +$1

Tech

14% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	2	$1000	500	500	+0	open	—	02-14 17:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	13	$663	756	200	+556	open	—	02-14 20:35
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$217	220	0	+220	open	—	02-14 17:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$172	0	200	-200	open	—	06-21 03:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$170	0	200	-200	open	—	06-19 00:49
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$169	200	0	+200	open	—	07-07 17:24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$134	200	0	+200	open	—	06-19 01:19
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	10	$116	200	0	+200	open	—	06-19 17:30
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	1	$98	200	0	+200	open	—	07-07 20:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	07-06 18:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$83	90	0	+90	open	—	03-30 04:58
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	1	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 17:28
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 16:02
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 06:09
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	1	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 10:40
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	16	$73	200	0	+200	open	—	06-19 13:36
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	6	$72	93	0	+93	open	—	03-30 01:56
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	1	$70	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 19:01
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 15:39
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$68	100	100	+0	open	—	03-29 10:44
btc updown 5m 1771090200	2	$64	45	45	+1	open	—	02-14 17:36
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	05-06 05:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$61	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 11:05
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	06-19 03:40
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	4	$56	74	0	+74	open	—	03-30 13:58
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	11	$56	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 19:23
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	1	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 09:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$46	100	0	+100	No	$-46	03-29 06:54
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	2	$44	110	0	+110	open	—	03-29 10:41
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 30 april 5	2	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	03-30 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 20:28:40	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x02d9d6…
07-07 17:24:04	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$169	0x6bfa81…
07-07 14:53:35	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf855e5…
07-07 06:27:08	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x989ab2…
07-07 03:47:47	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x8b5404…
07-07 03:04:29	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6322f8…
07-07 01:40:26	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x761326…
07-06 21:44:58	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdc1092…
07-06 18:37:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x53d96f…
06-21 03:58:29	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xb14ca6…
06-21 03:01:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xd9f55e…
06-19 17:30:04	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xd36755…
06-19 16:45:56	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x94e7a1…
06-19 16:29:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc88038…
06-19 15:56:28	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x07253c…
06-19 15:50:23	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x22e5c1…
06-19 15:13:40	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xbe0c4f…
06-19 15:11:56	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x95ae42…
06-19 15:11:47	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	58	58¢	$34	0x2811c2…
06-19 15:04:05	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x53debe…
06-19 15:03:58	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x55513a…
06-19 13:36:40	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	36¢	$29	0x557bf4…
06-19 12:17:05	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe3c869…
06-19 12:17:04	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xbf9ca0…
06-19 12:17:02	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x2cf5c1…
06-19 12:17:02	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x1d70b6…
06-19 12:17:01	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4ff618…
06-19 12:16:59	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe313e7…
06-19 12:16:59	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xabe363…
06-19 12:16:58	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf8f09f…
06-19 12:16:58	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa3b3a0…
06-19 12:16:58	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x17acf0…
06-19 12:16:56	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xde3e2b…
06-19 12:16:56	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xc9838f…
06-19 12:16:56	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x77a9bd…
06-19 08:36:20	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0xdffea6…
06-19 07:46:44	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0xa37d6d…
06-19 03:40:55	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x33d127…
06-19 01:19:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x826ec8…
06-19 00:57:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xcc7609…
06-19 00:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xb23e03…
05-29 18:53:28	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4ae251…
05-29 17:28:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x33bbf3…
05-21 00:41:37	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x21d681…
05-20 16:46:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x0a51e2…
05-06 13:30:10	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x0b63ae…
05-06 13:30:04	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x8fd16e…
05-06 05:34:44	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x2e2277…
05-06 05:08:16	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0x6b3dc4…
05-06 02:30:12	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xb1fc48…
05-06 01:55:12	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x63121b…
04-16 05:30:32	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa97386…
04-15 19:44:54	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xae1e30…
04-15 14:01:20	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x36e5d9…
04-15 14:01:12	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9c7e34…
04-15 14:01:02	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x255d29…
04-15 14:00:52	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9854c4…
04-15 14:00:44	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb6ac19…
04-15 14:00:38	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x5312a4…
04-15 14:00:36	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xb661d3…
04-15 13:49:18	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xf2f242…
04-13 23:49:19	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4292e7…
04-12 17:07:47	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x19946e…
04-09 20:02:57	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x44e2c9…
04-09 20:02:43	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb8a926…
04-09 09:02:33	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xd739c8…
04-07 22:54:59	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x9fe5b6…
04-07 22:52:17	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xeecc81…
04-07 22:43:19	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x19cf3a…
04-07 22:43:15	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf7c096…
04-07 22:43:13	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xa08c9f…
04-07 08:48:41	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc7f5ee…
04-07 00:35:09	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xb98d9c…
04-07 00:32:23	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5fdbd4…
04-04 18:34:19	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xf2e4c5…
04-04 04:51:25	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x16c463…
04-03 23:52:39	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x404769…
04-03 18:54:07	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xa1828f…
04-03 18:53:59	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf96468…
04-03 18:53:51	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa19834…
04-03 18:42:57	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xe26d40…
04-03 16:59:09	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x2f5da2…
04-03 06:34:55	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x1a3960…
04-03 06:13:47	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xeb8106…
04-03 03:41:41	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x5684cb…
04-03 00:51:49	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x0800c5…
04-03 00:48:41	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x94a461…
04-02 22:46:09	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5a9bd2…
04-02 11:17:49	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x3dc57c…
04-01 18:08:09	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x13028f…
04-01 17:00:27	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xe62c5a…
04-01 16:30:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x748273…
04-01 16:30:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x70497d…
04-01 12:02:17	Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x8e6b0f…
04-01 10:15:25	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x4e91e0…
03-31 23:58:29	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0eed0d…
03-31 21:59:07	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcbb7dd…
03-31 20:22:47	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xd25afe…
03-31 20:11:27	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	61¢	$25	0xba6f27…
03-31 19:51:59	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x317a4b…