Medium-Rainbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$4.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-29 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

34% 0% $-60

Crypto

30% — —

Tech

18% — —

Politics

17% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	2	$1000	500	500	+0	open	—	02-14 17:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	13	$663	756	200	+556	open	—	02-14 20:35
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$217	220	0	+220	open	—	02-14 17:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$83	90	0	+90	open	—	03-30 04:58
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	1	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 17:28
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 16:02
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 06:09
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	1	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 10:40
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	6	$72	93	0	+93	open	—	03-30 01:56
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	1	$70	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 19:01
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 15:39
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$68	100	100	+0	open	—	03-29 10:44
btc updown 5m 1771090200	2	$64	45	45	+1	open	—	02-14 17:36
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	05-06 05:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$61	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 11:05
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	4	$56	74	0	+74	open	—	03-30 13:58
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	11	$56	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 19:23
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	1	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 09:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$46	100	0	+100	No	$-46	03-29 06:54
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	2	$44	110	0	+110	open	—	03-29 10:41
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 30 april 5	2	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	03-30 21:22
bitcoin above 72k on february 15	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-15 17:35
nba okc gsw 2026 01 02	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	01-03 03:36
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-19 03:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$38	50	0	+50	open	—	03-29 09:57
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?	1	$38	50	0	+50	open	—	03-29 09:07
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	1	$36	50	0	+50	open	—	05-06 13:30
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$35	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 06:42
military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	1	$34	50	0	+50	open	—	04-03 16:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	1	$33	40	0	+40	open	—	03-29 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 18:53:28	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4ae251…
05-29 17:28:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x33bbf3…
05-21 00:41:37	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x21d681…
05-20 16:46:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x0a51e2…
05-06 13:30:10	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x0b63ae…
05-06 13:30:04	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x8fd16e…
05-06 05:34:44	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x2e2277…
05-06 05:08:16	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0x6b3dc4…
05-06 02:30:12	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xb1fc48…
05-06 01:55:12	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x63121b…
04-16 05:30:32	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa97386…
04-15 19:44:54	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xae1e30…
04-15 14:01:20	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x36e5d9…
04-15 14:01:12	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9c7e34…
04-15 14:01:02	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x255d29…
04-15 14:00:52	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9854c4…
04-15 14:00:44	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb6ac19…
04-15 14:00:38	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x5312a4…
04-15 14:00:36	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xb661d3…
04-15 13:49:18	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xf2f242…
04-13 23:49:19	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4292e7…
04-12 17:07:47	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x19946e…
04-09 20:02:57	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x44e2c9…
04-09 20:02:43	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb8a926…
04-09 09:02:33	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xd739c8…
04-07 22:54:59	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x9fe5b6…
04-07 22:52:17	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xeecc81…
04-07 22:43:19	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x19cf3a…
04-07 22:43:15	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf7c096…
04-07 22:43:13	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xa08c9f…
04-07 08:48:41	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc7f5ee…
04-07 00:35:09	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xb98d9c…
04-07 00:32:23	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5fdbd4…
04-04 18:34:19	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xf2e4c5…
04-04 04:51:25	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x16c463…
04-03 23:52:39	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x404769…
04-03 18:54:07	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xa1828f…
04-03 18:53:59	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf96468…
04-03 18:53:51	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa19834…
04-03 18:42:57	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xe26d40…
04-03 16:59:09	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x2f5da2…
04-03 06:34:55	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x1a3960…
04-03 06:13:47	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xeb8106…
04-03 03:41:41	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x5684cb…
04-03 00:51:49	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x0800c5…
04-03 00:48:41	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x94a461…
04-02 22:46:09	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5a9bd2…
04-02 11:17:49	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x3dc57c…
04-01 18:08:09	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x13028f…
04-01 17:00:27	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xe62c5a…
04-01 16:30:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x748273…
04-01 16:30:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x70497d…
04-01 12:02:17	Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x8e6b0f…
04-01 10:15:25	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x4e91e0…
03-31 23:58:29	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0eed0d…
03-31 21:59:07	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcbb7dd…
03-31 20:22:47	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xd25afe…
03-31 20:11:27	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	61¢	$25	0xba6f27…
03-31 19:51:59	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x317a4b…
03-31 19:23:41	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0xcc9c2b…
03-31 19:23:11	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xc7ac20…
03-31 19:16:05	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x1ff074…
03-31 19:12:21	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xdd0f65…
03-31 19:12:05	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa77620…
03-31 19:01:37	Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xea744f…
03-31 18:35:45	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x76b12b…
03-31 16:02:41	spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6fe77e…
03-31 14:01:37	will the us add between 50k and 100k jobs in march	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xffd22e…
03-31 13:04:51	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0xe45fe9…
03-31 12:23:57	will starmer say public health during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x575cb2…
03-31 10:40:19	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x1a4001…
03-31 10:32:51	will starmer say public health during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x88be09…
03-31 10:29:31	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0xedba5c…
03-31 10:16:21	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x982efa…
03-31 08:06:29	will iran successfully target shipping on march 31 2026 564	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xd26f3e…
03-31 07:55:35	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x9a70fc…
03-31 07:36:39	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x84fd4d…
03-31 07:36:39	cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	Baylor Bears	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x7e15d5…
03-31 07:18:17	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x604e22…
03-31 05:42:27	will starmer say public health during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x0caca3…
03-31 04:39:17	cs2 hero bb3 2026 04 01	Heroic	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x373367…
03-31 04:31:47	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe3d33a…
03-31 04:30:23	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x2e411f…
03-31 04:08:19	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xdd19a8…
03-31 01:12:35	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x43be22…
03-30 21:22:51	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xf24377…
03-30 21:22:37	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0xd21b57…
03-30 20:01:11	Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xd7b5a1…
03-30 19:01:29	spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x80c751…
03-30 18:06:29	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x19e15a…
03-30 18:06:27	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x741390…
03-30 15:39:09	spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd973bd…
03-30 13:58:15	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x656a28…
03-30 13:56:03	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xaf5eaa…
03-30 13:54:07	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x8b6998…
03-30 13:49:49	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	BUY	58	76¢	$44	0x9617a2…
03-30 13:09:00	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5e4b45…
03-30 13:08:58	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0xe231c9…
03-30 13:08:58	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x039583…
03-30 11:05:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xca2c1c…