Overdue-Sideboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$456

Unrealized P&L

-$224

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,901

lifetime

Volume

$150.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$5.52K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

96% 67% +$456

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	+5,033	$4,295	74¢	$3.7K	$-596	07-08 20:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+2,603	$1,460	55¢	$1.4K	$-42	07-19 05:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+325	$-97	99¢	$321	+$418	06-28 12:45
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	+93	$84	85¢	$79	$-5	07-12 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	69	$11.4K	5,465	6,893	-1,428	open	—	05-24 15:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	36	$11.3K	3,027	9,233	-6,206	open	—	07-01 15:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	31	$7.8K	5,728	3,575	+2,153	open	—	06-28 12:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	29	$6.9K	3,596	3,556	+41	No	+$249	05-04 19:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	31	$5.1K	6,019	0	+6,019	open	—	07-08 20:42
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	11	$4.5K	2,308	2,308	+0	open	—	06-16 12:57
will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	56	$4.5K	2,196	2,488	-292	open	—	04-13 00:13
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	10	$3.8K	3,560	700	+2,860	Yes	+$223	05-13 14:03
1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	31	$3.6K	1,731	1,959	-229	open	—	04-29 16:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-01 15:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?	27	$3.5K	3,288	950	+2,338	open	—	03-27 15:30
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	30	$3.5K	1,578	2,078	-500	open	—	05-07 19:06
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	24	$3.0K	1,808	1,683	+125	open	—	05-07 15:29
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	28	$2.1K	1,126	1,126	+0	open	—	06-26 08:09
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt3 by march 31	9	$2.1K	1,463	731	+731	open	—	01-21 18:36
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	6	$1.9K	1,698	698	+1,000	open	—	02-01 12:21
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	8	$1.9K	804	1,201	-397	open	—	06-01 16:14
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 12 2026	17	$1.8K	1,835	219	+1,616	open	—	04-14 15:30
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	26	$1.7K	2,029	565	+1,464	open	—	03-26 19:58
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	18	$1.5K	282	1,231	-949	open	—	04-25 19:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$1.5K	2,603	0	+2,603	open	—	07-19 05:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	16	$1.4K	600	1,020	-420	open	—	04-02 17:59
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	21	$1.4K	863	906	-43	open	—	04-19 21:40
Will SOFR hit 3.66% (Low) between April 1 and April 30?	4	$1.3K	1,323	0	+1,323	open	—	04-02 11:59
will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	7	$1.3K	662	662	+0	open	—	03-31 23:57
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	6	$1.2K	728	537	+191	open	—	04-13 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$1.2K	1,300	975	+325	open	—	06-28 12:45
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt252pt50 in march	25	$1.1K	1,643	0	+1,643	open	—	04-10 12:30
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	3	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	04-30 07:14
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	10	$1.1K	1,328	500	+828	open	—	04-07 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 20:31:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	410	79¢	$324	0xc13f30…
07-19 20:30:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0xb756ae…
07-19 12:31:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	304	92¢	$279	0xc29308…
07-19 12:31:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	496	92¢	$456	0x00bf67…
07-19 05:40:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x778731…
07-18 19:21:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	400	40¢	$160	0x342bb9…
07-15 04:48:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x471f99…
07-14 10:47:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	655	55¢	$360	0xc95ca4…
07-14 08:02:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	1,024	59¢	$600	0x4160ad…
07-12 10:19:08	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x7b206d…
07-11 13:00:49	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x2f1b46…
07-09 16:37:44	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	90¢	$76	0xae9630…
07-08 20:44:40	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x86462d…
07-08 20:43:02	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	273	89¢	$243	0x993576…
07-08 20:42:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0x14c4ee…
07-08 18:46:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x65d554…
07-08 18:44:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	149	86¢	$128	0x30533c…
07-08 16:33:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	151	86¢	$130	0x5d3b3f…
07-07 22:15:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xd8c6a2…
07-07 10:24:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,148	61¢	$700	0xa8a2fc…
07-01 15:30:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x5b19a6…
07-01 13:09:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xecd1d6…
07-01 13:08:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3e6f0d…
07-01 13:08:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	174	99¢	$172	0x6084d0…
06-29 12:51:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	2,201	100¢	$2,192	0x3f1b25…
06-29 10:58:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0x36de7e…
06-29 10:16:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x70beac…
06-28 18:08:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x15e4b4…
06-28 17:18:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x68029b…
06-28 16:45:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x484231…
06-28 15:38:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7896bc…
06-28 14:27:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$112	0x09570c…
06-28 12:52:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	718	99¢	$709	0x00035c…
06-28 12:45:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	975	65¢	$634	0xe65379…
06-28 10:17:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	1,312	100¢	$1,305	0xc19284…
06-28 02:47:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	1,205	100¢	$1,199	0x4fa987…
06-28 00:10:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	302	86¢	$260	0x45a390…
06-27 23:34:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0xa35347…
06-27 13:58:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x84d109…
06-27 00:14:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xc18621…
06-27 00:01:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	110	86¢	$95	0x92aabd…
06-26 23:24:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x2ce744…
06-26 22:12:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	410	86¢	$353	0x5c69ea…
06-26 08:12:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xa44884…
06-26 08:09:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	259	100¢	$258	0xfe5506…
06-26 07:43:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xa1d028…
06-26 04:48:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5ede5a…
06-26 03:22:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xd3d401…
06-25 15:03:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	605	85¢	$516	0xb01b0c…
06-25 15:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	158	85¢	$135	0x27a67c…
06-25 14:15:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	194	85¢	$165	0x9fcaf9…
06-25 13:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	372	33¢	$123	0xf9ac4c…
06-25 13:28:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x298b7a…
06-25 10:37:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xe87043…
06-25 10:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	187	92¢	$172	0xb046d2…
06-25 09:33:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	374	100¢	$373	0x4ff590…
06-25 07:15:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$379	0x11fc73…
06-25 07:03:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe00e2c…
06-25 07:02:47	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa2076f…
06-25 05:50:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x74e293…
06-25 05:50:29	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x44ca9a…
06-25 05:48:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7d5fdb…
06-25 05:45:44	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x295d54…
06-25 05:45:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5b7219…
06-25 05:44:38	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5254d1…
06-25 05:44:17	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc73b24…
06-25 05:43:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe5f539…
06-25 05:43:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x95f6ea…
06-25 03:14:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe59b88…
06-25 02:26:20	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4773fe…
06-24 21:31:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xadac2d…
06-24 20:12:05	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xf774e1…
06-24 19:42:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d77f8…
06-24 19:41:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0xa078e4…
06-24 07:57:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	98¢	$586	0x5661bf…
06-22 11:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x055f08…
06-22 09:31:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0x026e9f…
06-22 09:30:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xe71556…
06-22 09:30:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x91d373…
06-22 09:27:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x23b299…
06-22 09:26:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$20	0x4f692f…
06-22 09:25:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x891588…
06-22 09:11:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x7723d4…
06-22 09:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x8f6a04…
06-22 09:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xb99c35…
06-22 08:44:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x33dae1…
06-22 08:44:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x18c2d4…
06-19 06:19:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0xaba173…
06-17 23:24:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xb0a93b…
06-17 21:41:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xfdeb4b…
06-17 21:04:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xabc6a6…
06-17 20:20:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x55c974…
06-17 20:18:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xf2e74e…
06-17 15:17:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	900	45¢	$405	0xa1e904…
06-17 15:15:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0xd695dc…
06-17 15:13:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x5e8d73…
06-16 12:57:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	SELL	2,308	100¢	$2,306	0x8bd779…
06-15 07:26:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	500	69¢	$345	0x8053d7…
06-14 00:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	800	77¢	$616	0x429aca…
06-11 19:49:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	183	93¢	$170	0xf6651d…