Realized P&L (24h)
-$335
Unrealized P&L
-$1.36K
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved (24h)
6
Trades (24h)
10
3,428 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$701
$244.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$11.0K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
96% 72% +$7,163
Politics
3% 75% +$156
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 0% -$500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,812 $2,277 92¢ $2.6K +$324 11-03 23:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +1,628 $1,534 96¢ $1.6K +$38 11-09 12:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +1,200 $1,054 96¢ $1.2K +$104 11-04 04:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,100 $965 92¢ $1.0K +$41 11-03 13:35
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +894 $804 92¢ $827 +$22 11-03 16:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1,050 $1,148 39¢ $408 -$739 10-31 07:52
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +406 $391 98¢ $396 +$5 11-01 01:07
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +400 $389 99¢ $395 +$5 10-22 10:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $393 98¢ $393 +$0 11-09 04:30
Is Earth flat? No +300 $298 99¢ $298 $0 11-09 05:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? No +300 $240 86¢ $260 +$20 11-07 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,603 $1,460 8¢ $221 -$1,239 07-19 05:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +300 $192 69¢ $207 +$15 10-31 12:56
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +207 $200 98¢ $202 +$2 11-06 08:42
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? No +200 $182 96¢ $192 +$10 11-02 15:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? No +200 $180 93¢ $186 +$6 11-06 23:54
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $184 46¢ $184 +$0 10-22 15:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? No +200 $132 78¢ $157 +$25 11-07 07:06
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? Yes +200 $140 70¢ $141 +$1 11-07 10:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +87 $79 94¢ $82 +$3 11-07 01:41
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$1 10-30 08:21
Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.0000 on November 9? Yes +690 $10 0¢ $3 -$6 11-09 01:32
will gas hit 4pt14 high week of november 9 2026 No +3 $1 56¢ $2 +$1 11-08 19:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 -$2 99¢ $-1 +$0 10-23 14:35