Realized P&L (24h)
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$1.32K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
10
3,436 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.63K
$245.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$11.6K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 21:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
96% 72% +$7,153
Politics
3% 75% +$156
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 0% -$500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,812 $2,277 92¢ $2.6K +$310 11-03 23:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +1,900 $1,793 96¢ $1.8K +$30 11-09 13:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,300 $1,135 90¢ $1.2K +$41 11-09 19:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +1,200 $1,054 96¢ $1.2K +$104 11-04 04:35
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +894 $804 92¢ $827 +$22 11-03 16:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1,050 $1,148 38¢ $398 -$749 10-31 07:52
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +406 $391 98¢ $396 +$5 11-01 01:07
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +400 $389 99¢ $396 +$7 10-22 10:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $393 98¢ $393 +$1 11-09 04:30
Is Earth flat? No +300 $298 99¢ $298 $0 11-09 05:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? No +300 $240 90¢ $272 +$32 11-07 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,603 $1,460 10¢ $247 -$1,213 07-19 05:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +300 $192 69¢ $207 +$15 10-31 12:56
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +207 $200 98¢ $203 +$3 11-06 08:42
Will there be 4 or more US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? No +209 $198 96¢ $201 +$3 11-09 21:18
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? No +200 $182 97¢ $193 +$11 11-02 15:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? No +200 $180 94¢ $189 +$9 11-06 23:54
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $184 45¢ $181 -$3 10-22 15:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? No +200 $132 83¢ $166 +$34 11-07 07:06
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? Yes +200 $140 75¢ $151 +$11 11-07 10:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +87 $79 95¢ $83 +$3 11-07 01:41
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$1 10-30 08:21
will gas hit 4pt14 high week of november 9 2026 No +3 $1 56¢ $2 +$1 11-08 19:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 -$2 99¢ $-1 +$0 10-23 14:35