Long-Term-Wastebasket 0xe6d628…0358f0
bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
498
Trades
3,671
lifetime
Volume
$8.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$57
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 09-18 14:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
60% 58% +$198
Politics
20% 62% +$93
Crypto
11% 64% +$872
Sports
7% 54% -$26
Tech
2% 100% +$28
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -258 -$7 4¢ $-10 -$3 05-26 20:11
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -309 -$15 3¢ $-8 +$7 05-04 10:28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -320 -$13 2¢ $-6 +$7 05-22 17:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -176 -$6 3¢ $-5 +$1 05-09 20:52
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -114 -$11 4¢ $-4 +$7 04-28 16:26
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 06-09 19:51
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 06-09 19:57
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -391 -$2 1¢ $-2 +$0 05-17 04:53
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -65 -$1 3¢ $-2 -$1 09-18 14:58
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -371 -$7 1¢ $-2 +$5 05-11 17:49
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -29 -$4 5¢ $-2 +$3 05-08 13:31
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes -921 -$6 0¢ $-1 +$5 05-06 09:23
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -228 -$12 0¢ $-1 +$11 05-19 18:45
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -46 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 05-21 22:04
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +30 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 06-07 10:26
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -630 -$9 0¢ $-1 +$9 06-20 01:07
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -531 -$5 0¢ $-1 +$5 07-20 00:09
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -333 -$7 0¢ $-0 +$6 05-22 02:12
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -56 -$4 1¢ $-0 +$4 04-28 21:29
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -202 -$7 0¢ $-0 +$7 05-19 00:04
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -85 -$3 0¢ $-0 +$2 08-30 09:07
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -2 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 04-28 16:18
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$7 0¢ $0 +$7 05-26 01:17