Rusty-Tactile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,051

lifetime

Volume

$152.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-06 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

62% 91% +$4,219

Politics

36% 67% +$2,376

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	118	$15.8K	24,075	23,425	+650	open	—	04-07 23:09
Fed rate hike in 2026?	28	$8.9K	10,223	6,953	+3,270	open	—	08-06 17:01
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	54	$8.1K	17,469	8,278	+9,191	open	—	04-01 14:06
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	34	$8.0K	4,665	4,665	+0	open	—	03-19 12:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	42	$7.2K	6,747	6,247	+500	open	—	04-20 14:51
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	90	$7.1K	6,309	6,309	+0	open	—	03-25 12:02
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	200	$7.1K	20,722	2,883	+17,839	open	—	04-22 09:38
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	18	$6.1K	8,492	56	+8,436	Yes	+$2,423	05-11 14:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	59	$4.4K	2,962	2,962	+0	open	—	02-23 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	39	$3.8K	10,104	6,615	+3,489	open	—	05-27 14:35
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$3.4K	9,263	2,316	+6,947	open	—	05-14 12:14
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	66	$3.1K	2,851	2,851	+0	open	—	04-07 22:02
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	23	$3.1K	10,690	10,690	+0	open	—	02-11 13:31
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	16	$2.8K	1,855	1,855	+0	open	—	03-25 12:21
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	30	$2.5K	14,628	2,637	+11,991	open	—	05-14 12:32
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	13	$2.4K	1,464	1,464	+0	open	—	03-19 13:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	8	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-22 11:12
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	41	$2.1K	2,197	1,098	+1,098	open	—	03-25 12:42
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	99	$2.1K	13,995	0	+13,995	open	—	04-13 12:52
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	43	$2.0K	7,615	0	+7,615	open	—	03-17 13:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	38	$1.9K	3,514	2,599	+915	open	—	03-18 08:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$1.8K	8,955	8,011	+944	open	—	05-06 13:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-02 19:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	6	$1.6K	2,750	0	+2,750	open	—	05-20 14:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$1.6K	1,940	1,940	+0	open	—	04-27 14:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	3	$1.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-22 10:14
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	14	$1.4K	2,800	1,011	+1,789	open	—	07-14 10:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.2K	3,198	3,198	+0	open	—	05-20 14:43
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	27	$983	984	984	+0	open	—	04-07 22:36
no change in bank of englands interest rates after march 2026 meeting 453	8	$964	500	500	+0	open	—	03-19 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 17:01:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	64¢	$30	0x5b208e…
08-06 17:01:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	64¢	$46	0x8f1f16…
08-05 23:55:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	64¢	$116	0x3538bc…
08-05 22:39:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x33c183…
08-05 21:18:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x19da56…
08-05 21:15:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xdce139…
08-05 21:13:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x54690e…
08-05 19:44:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	64¢	$122	0x513baf…
07-14 10:48:58	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	596	59¢	$352	0x4ad765…
07-13 15:21:47	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x7e80a6…
07-13 12:40:22	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	58	22¢	$13	0x085e6c…
07-01 13:17:14	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xffbbc4…
06-29 11:35:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xc84faa…
06-29 11:35:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xa48e64…
06-29 11:35:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x44cfe8…
06-29 11:35:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7179ae…
06-29 11:35:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	112	42¢	$47	0xca8c64…
06-29 11:35:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6f44b6…
06-29 11:35:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5e857d…
06-29 11:35:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x5ae6f8…
06-29 11:35:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	41	42¢	$17	0x1923b7…
06-29 11:34:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xd82f58…
06-29 11:33:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x151cec…
06-29 11:33:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x748dbd…
06-29 11:33:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x0d6e23…
06-29 11:33:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9a3970…
06-29 11:33:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6e3ce8…
06-26 16:06:02	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	1,443	2¢	$33	0xfdb549…
06-26 16:05:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x3ea30f…
06-26 15:54:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	2,987	2¢	$69	0x5700b2…
06-26 15:52:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	474	2¢	$10	0x944f2f…
06-26 15:52:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x8c912f…
06-26 15:51:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$100	0x23ab95…
06-24 16:25:53	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	490	37¢	$181	0xdd2a68…
06-24 16:25:38	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x9ef8a8…
06-24 16:25:32	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x2945da…
06-24 16:25:31	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	38¢	$76	0x49e81f…
06-22 18:50:19	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x11bc2a…
06-22 13:30:53	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	39¢	$38	0x3c45a0…
06-22 11:06:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x8073b1…
06-22 11:03:58	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	647	39¢	$252	0x3afd55…
06-22 10:59:58	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x6ce774…
06-19 20:56:34	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	114	51¢	$58	0x725276…
06-19 15:27:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x96705b…
06-19 12:53:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	169	20¢	$33	0xc4b3cf…
06-19 12:52:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	169	18¢	$30	0x9d6f0e…
06-19 10:48:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	66¢	$1,320	0x916f4e…
06-19 10:48:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	65¢	$650	0x0b4273…
06-19 09:32:02	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	272	8¢	$22	0x387e8a…
06-19 09:30:11	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x539dfa…
06-19 08:46:59	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	78	8¢	$6	0x872cfe…
06-17 19:50:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,382	59¢	$815	0x3b8f23…
06-17 18:27:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	48¢	$48	0xcf3ef6…
06-17 18:27:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x619feb…
06-17 18:23:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	48¢	$48	0xb045e7…
06-17 18:13:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xafbdb0…
06-17 18:09:40	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$182	0x0b17c3…
06-17 18:01:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,082	48¢	$1,000	0xd429be…
06-12 16:22:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,720	17¢	$292	0xd3123c…
06-12 08:43:18	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	250	31¢	$78	0x534fb9…
06-11 07:19:36	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	250	43¢	$108	0xb86d38…
06-10 12:34:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0x35b6ee…
06-09 03:21:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	55¢	$90	0x18f4a5…
06-09 03:14:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xcec958…
06-09 03:06:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x8e9850…
06-09 03:02:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf0e762…
06-09 02:59:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	55¢	$50	0x733ed9…
06-09 02:47:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	55¢	$124	0xf9451b…
06-05 14:11:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	50¢	$32	0x2b9c0e…
06-05 12:56:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,136	43¢	$919	0x0660b2…
06-05 12:55:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,705	41¢	$1,950	0xef1a40…
06-05 07:02:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	577	82¢	$473	0xc44cca…
06-04 07:31:07	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x99d098…
06-04 07:05:16	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	958	15¢	$142	0xb057a1…
06-04 07:02:30	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	184	14¢	$27	0x2247b5…
06-03 23:15:12	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	469	79¢	$371	0xbc62de…
06-03 14:51:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	495	34¢	$168	0x45ddb9…
06-03 14:49:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x566af0…
06-03 14:44:00	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x3d9837…
06-03 14:19:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	77	34¢	$26	0x295780…
06-03 13:52:22	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0x0b0e74…
06-03 13:46:59	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	238	22¢	$52	0x470176…
06-03 13:45:01	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x32d0f3…
06-03 08:56:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	879	67¢	$589	0xdb7e7b…
06-03 08:52:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0xeb6b36…
06-03 08:52:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	55	67¢	$37	0x1b3581…
06-02 19:58:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	500	89¢	$445	0xde0d15…
06-02 17:01:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	189	88¢	$167	0x436ac5…
06-02 17:01:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	311	88¢	$273	0xb0a8fd…
06-02 15:45:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	806	15¢	$117	0x00024e…
06-02 15:43:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	175	15¢	$25	0x632a35…
06-02 15:32:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x510b86…
06-02 15:28:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	116	8¢	$9	0x597140…
06-02 15:28:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	2,100	6¢	$124	0x4d2d29…
06-01 16:48:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x57f5cc…
05-29 13:42:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	227	26¢	$59	0x15e8af…
05-29 09:33:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x98b673…
05-29 09:29:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x713baa…
05-29 09:19:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	505	24¢	$123	0x910d2c…
05-29 09:19:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	198	24¢	$48	0x26f867…