Fragrant-Aperitif — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$689

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-16 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

32% 100% +$0

Crypto

30% — —

Sports

24% 67% $-6

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$55	101	0	+101	open	—	04-01 23:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-31 03:31
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	2	$21	50	0	+50	open	—	06-21 03:31
btc updown 5m 1772938200	2	$16	33	0	+33	open	—	03-08 02:54
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	5	$13	16	2	+14	Joshua Van	+$1	05-10 03:44
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	3	$11	14	4	+11	open	—	05-17 03:02
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	2	$10	28	22	+5	Yes	+$0	05-12 13:28
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners team away 6pt5	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	06-21 03:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-09 09:05
btc updown 5m 1772963400	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-08 09:55
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	06-11 16:48
btc updown 5m 1772938800	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-08 03:04
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-09 13:41
will powell say gold or oil during march press conference 257 974	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-09 14:03
btc updown 5m 1772936400	7	$9	13	0	+13	open	—	03-08 02:24
ufc jos3 kev16 2026 03 14	3	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	03-15 02:47
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$7	10	0	+10	Sean Strickland	$-7	05-10 04:24
btc updown 5m 1772937000	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	03-08 02:32
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	03-27 00:37
btc updown 5m 1785660600	4	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	08-02 08:53
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$6	22	0	+22	open	—	04-01 23:39
ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	03-17 14:03
ufc man17 jai2 2026 04 18	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-16 14:06
ufc sum jes12 2026 03 07	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	03-07 17:14
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-21 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-11 12:50
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-12 01:01
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-14 13:38
ufc ric12 alb10 2026 03 07	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-07 17:13
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-09 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 04:49:34	btc updown 5m 1786855500	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x41ecfe…
08-16 04:47:30	btc updown 5m 1786855500	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xacefa7…
08-09 01:58:58	btc updown 5m 1786240500	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x003323…
08-09 01:56:46	btc updown 5m 1786240500	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa9e7b4…
08-09 01:54:07	btc updown 5m 1786240200	Up	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xefb3a6…
08-09 01:53:58	btc updown 5m 1786240200	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xc5ca21…
08-09 01:51:18	btc updown 5m 1786240200	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x08b83c…
08-09 01:50:54	btc updown 5m 1786240200	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2adc36…
08-09 01:45:40	ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	Quillan Salkilld	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe6fdf4…
08-02 09:03:14	btc updown 5m 1785661200	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x08bb8c…
08-02 09:02:33	btc updown 5m 1785661200	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x68ddd4…
08-02 08:59:08	btc updown 5m 1785660900	Up	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x58d886…
08-02 08:58:24	btc updown 5m 1785660900	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x15581e…
08-02 08:53:11	btc updown 5m 1785660600	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb085c3…
08-02 08:52:50	btc updown 5m 1785660600	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x88e213…
08-02 08:52:08	btc updown 5m 1785660600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb730d7…
08-02 08:51:48	btc updown 5m 1785660600	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x353b18…
08-02 08:46:47	btc updown 5m 1785660300	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc30f4f…
07-19 19:49:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x91bab8…
07-19 19:48:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2d5386…
07-15 04:21:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x23c019…
07-14 13:39:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb3df54…
07-14 13:38:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1555ab…
07-12 02:49:59	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xf757db…
07-12 01:01:04	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x38dc56…
07-12 00:49:40	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9c671e…
07-12 00:00:02	ufc jar chr20 2026 07 18	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x642fd7…
07-11 23:59:23	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Cory Sandhagen	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4eeeaf…
07-11 23:59:07	ufc kin ter1 2026 07 11	King Green	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb887df…
07-11 23:58:47	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6a851e…
07-11 23:58:01	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6f85ae…
07-11 23:57:37	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6f87c3…
07-11 23:56:55	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Gable Steveson	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe116b8…
07-11 23:55:08	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc87f9f…
07-11 22:44:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x19b268…
07-11 03:00:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x20ddb7…
07-10 15:05:52	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x80f31c…
07-10 15:00:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x71130e…
07-10 14:56:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9a1771…
07-10 14:56:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x77ed0e…
07-06 13:38:46	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9b9831…
07-05 02:06:23	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf51d19…
07-04 02:05:16	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf178b9…
07-04 01:59:29	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x845a64…
07-01 13:06:41	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x993a2a…
07-01 13:06:32	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb0da8d…
06-29 18:27:38	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe194d8…
06-28 02:36:02	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9b4ada…
06-28 02:23:49	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xe377c0…
06-28 02:20:04	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe2f1b0…
06-27 16:24:58	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe6d44a…
06-27 16:22:25	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x48fa34…
06-27 16:21:58	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Shara Magomedov	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2d4914…
06-26 16:47:01	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3dbc4f…
06-25 15:06:38	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeea1f1…
06-25 13:55:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa21b83…
06-25 13:54:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xcce241…
06-23 23:28:55	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x231d29…
06-22 13:43:44	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7dcafc…
06-22 13:43:26	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3a17ae…
06-21 23:39:05	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x82befa…
06-21 23:38:53	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x71b6b9…
06-21 23:38:04	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xafe111…
06-21 23:23:29	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1169a5…
06-21 14:24:44	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8bb049…
06-21 13:42:26	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x121cc4…
06-21 08:47:22	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Shara Magomedov	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2b41f4…
06-21 03:39:46	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners team away 6pt5	Over	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0541d4…
06-21 03:31:55	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x3c9f71…
06-20 14:16:47	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0799b0…
06-20 00:49:43	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x25d3be…
06-17 14:09:31	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb1d519…
06-17 14:09:07	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x43d58b…
06-17 14:06:10	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8732a9…
06-14 14:13:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x651e2d…
06-14 14:13:43	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xe196eb…
06-14 08:07:25	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x19fe46…
06-14 03:44:40	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 second half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfdcb52…
06-13 02:31:00	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x82e72f…
06-13 02:15:57	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x844371…
06-12 09:41:00	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x04f497…
06-12 09:16:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x0bdc8e…
06-11 16:48:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xeb850b…
06-08 13:27:22	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd55371…
06-07 04:07:39	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2cd7e3…
06-05 09:23:48	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4b1b35…
06-03 13:44:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfff9e7…
06-03 13:01:16	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xee27ef…
06-03 13:01:02	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7d72b8…
06-03 13:00:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5fa9f5…
06-03 12:07:42	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb46460…
06-03 11:52:32	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7f04ee…
06-03 11:33:06	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x29f655…
06-03 11:18:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d4976…
05-31 16:18:16	No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x61118e…
05-31 16:14:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x48a688…
05-31 16:13:26	UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Souza	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x163be8…
05-31 03:55:19	UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Souza	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x19ef81…
05-31 03:46:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x00f7ef…
05-31 03:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x009a35…