Esteemed-Pumpernickel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

+$115

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,567

lifetime

Volume

$207.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

$2.28K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-20 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

50% 33% $-192

Politics

34% 100% +$106

Crypto

13% 0% $-29

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+717	$550	79¢	$567	+$16	07-20 07:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+491	$300	86¢	$425	+$125	06-13 08:20
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-341	$-276	90¢	$-309	$-32	06-05 20:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+330	$300	92¢	$302	+$2	07-08 14:23
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+393	$322	76¢	$296	$-26	06-14 08:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+208	$200	99¢	$206	+$6	07-08 13:07
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+204	$133	76¢	$156	+$24	06-14 07:40
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	-24	$-23	94¢	$-22	+$1	06-18 13:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$5.9K	3,262	3,262	+0	open	—	03-30 22:07
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	42	$5.2K	3,646	2,217	+1,429	open	—	06-22 20:55
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	6	$4.1K	2,084	2,084	+0	open	—	02-20 21:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	25	$3.9K	2,401	2,990	-589	open	—	06-26 20:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$3.6K	2,153	1,552	+601	open	—	04-01 08:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	13	$3.1K	1,643	1,643	+0	open	—	06-14 21:33
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	7	$3.1K	1,570	1,570	+0	open	—	02-22 19:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	10	$2.9K	2,092	872	+1,219	open	—	04-28 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	14	$2.3K	1,550	1,443	+107	open	—	05-29 15:44
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	15	$2.2K	1,801	812	+989	open	—	06-27 22:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	12	$2.1K	1,758	1,319	+440	open	—	05-18 16:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	21	$2.1K	1,817	1,899	-82	open	—	05-29 15:43
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	12	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-04 00:36
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	15	$1.8K	971	971	+0	open	—	06-17 15:19
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	8	$1.8K	1,017	874	+143	open	—	05-12 14:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$1.7K	908	908	+0	open	—	04-10 16:43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	5	$1.7K	895	895	+0	open	—	04-23 17:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-26 05:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	6	$1.6K	888	884	+4	open	—	04-17 15:00
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	7	$1.6K	1,234	577	+657	open	—	07-13 23:08
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	9	$1.6K	1,222	1,004	+218	open	—	05-28 19:38
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	5	$1.5K	801	801	+0	open	—	03-12 13:40
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$1.5K	1,786	0	+1,786	open	—	01-06 12:35
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	7	$1.5K	1,100	790	+309	open	—	07-18 19:18
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	19	$1.5K	836	836	+0	open	—	04-13 00:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$1.4K	916	916	+0	open	—	05-03 12:58
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	28	$1.4K	848	848	+0	open	—	04-25 21:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	6	$1.3K	1,098	275	+824	open	—	03-12 13:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	10	$1.2K	739	600	+139	open	—	05-27 18:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	6	$1.2K	733	730	+3	open	—	04-17 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 07:50:12	will wti dip to 75 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x4ef656…
07-20 07:21:36	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	231	87¢	$200	0x3cdac2…
07-20 07:20:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x17bb51…
07-20 07:20:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	292	68¢	$200	0xfd9658…
07-20 07:19:13	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x5e416e…
07-20 07:18:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x02dbb6…
07-20 07:18:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xebbc71…
07-20 07:16:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4996c0…
07-18 19:22:12	will wti dip to 75 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0xcd465a…
07-18 19:20:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x84a095…
07-18 19:18:27	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	309	45¢	$139	0x24435e…
07-17 23:41:18	will revoluts valuation hit high 110b by july 31 20260630204859524	No	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x9cb7ee…
07-17 23:41:12	will revoluts valuation hit high 110b by july 31 20260630204859524	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xf2134e…
07-16 05:30:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x590905…
07-16 05:30:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x37fffc…
07-16 05:29:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xbdccae…
07-16 05:26:34	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x61ab8b…
07-16 05:26:29	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x15e2a5…
07-14 20:58:41	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4a164a…
07-14 20:58:19	will kylian mbappe score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701231444070	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x672643…
07-14 20:52:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa0eeec…
07-14 20:49:05	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x172fe2…
07-14 20:47:11	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xd626a7…
07-14 20:40:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x836240…
07-13 23:08:05	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	311	96¢	$300	0x7fd7ca…
07-13 23:07:25	will wti dip to 70 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xf03c86…
07-13 23:06:23	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	165	91¢	$150	0x6036e2…
07-13 23:06:13	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	206	71¢	$147	0x652221…
07-13 23:05:47	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x8e0760…
07-13 23:05:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	275	71¢	$196	0x17e248…
07-10 23:32:05	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xc0d4cc…
07-09 15:45:20	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	327	92¢	$300	0xc26f82…
07-09 15:45:10	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	346	92¢	$318	0x41b9b6…
07-09 15:45:02	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xdca2b9…
07-09 15:44:49	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	231	92¢	$213	0xfdd473…
07-09 08:20:47	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x0b6817…
07-09 00:15:05	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	427	94¢	$400	0xf00354…
07-08 14:29:20	will spy reach 780 in july 2026	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x40eedc…
07-08 14:29:13	will spy reach 780 in july 2026	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xa17cf6…
07-08 14:28:38	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x330423…
07-08 14:28:29	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xdea470…
07-08 14:27:43	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	209	95¢	$200	0x2c36f3…
07-08 14:27:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x5fe783…
07-08 14:23:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xcd9dc4…
07-08 14:23:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xa8296d…
07-08 14:17:41	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	320	94¢	$300	0x9bf11c…
07-08 14:16:41	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during press conference 20260707192103065	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x584164…
07-08 14:16:08	will trump say police this week 20260703145736714	No	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x003031…
07-08 14:15:07	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0x443eba…
07-08 13:07:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xf75f41…
07-08 12:52:22	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x284c38…
07-08 12:30:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xca6f62…
07-08 12:29:49	will wti reach 85 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xc9d837…
07-06 21:09:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xae9268…
07-06 21:05:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x66805e…
07-06 21:05:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1aeba0…
07-06 21:03:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa554bf…
07-06 20:59:50	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8dcf65…
07-06 20:59:01	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd524cd…
07-06 20:58:13	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x54e085…
07-06 20:56:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa39fa9…
07-06 13:15:34	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xc9a1e8…
07-04 18:49:02	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x974130…
07-03 11:00:46	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xd341e6…
07-03 10:59:28	wti closes above 63 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x151b01…
07-03 10:58:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x8f0da3…
07-03 10:58:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x219eda…
07-03 10:58:02	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x8e3bfe…
07-03 10:57:50	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	616	97¢	$600	0x184e93…
07-01 09:03:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x5d20f0…
06-30 18:47:19	will nvda reach 208 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	166	91¢	$150	0x6ca041…
06-30 18:45:01	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	135	100¢	$134	0x32019d…
06-29 19:05:49	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	No	BUY	302	42¢	$127	0x2985ef…
06-29 18:40:55	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc238c3…
06-29 18:39:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x87cb30…
06-28 23:41:26	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xec5fb5…
06-28 23:41:20	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xf43c5c…
06-28 08:16:37	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x2adc4b…
06-28 08:16:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xd8bb53…
06-28 08:16:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x9b6a99…
06-28 08:15:53	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x1af159…
06-28 08:15:31	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1766c5…
06-28 08:15:05	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0xf1077d…
06-28 08:14:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x440530…
06-28 08:13:17	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0x505567…
06-28 08:12:43	lol kc dcg 2026 06 27	Karmine Corp	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x46a019…
06-28 08:12:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xe8cabe…
06-28 07:37:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcdb3b2…
06-27 22:36:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb24ead…
06-27 22:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0xa08aeb…
06-27 22:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8847de…
06-27 22:32:13	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0x88dbe4…
06-27 17:56:41	will trump speak to kim jong un in june	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x440e8f…
06-27 17:30:29	will ewy dip to 168 in june 2026	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2e7d76…
06-27 17:10:44	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x25b839…
06-27 17:09:41	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	BUY	527	19¢	$100	0x8cc1c2…
06-27 17:09:31	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	No	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xe9418e…
06-27 17:04:59	will trump say ronaldo this week 20260622142828767	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe29fc1…
06-27 17:03:47	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xf83698…
06-27 17:03:40	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfc8a7c…