Esteemed-Pumpernickel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,639

lifetime

Volume

$218.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-10 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

52% 33% $-192

Politics

33% 100% +$106

Crypto

13% 0% $-29

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$5.9K	3,262	3,262	+0	open	—	03-30 22:07
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	42	$5.2K	3,646	2,217	+1,429	open	—	06-22 20:55
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	6	$4.1K	2,084	2,084	+0	open	—	02-20 21:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	25	$3.9K	2,401	2,990	-589	open	—	06-26 20:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$3.6K	2,153	1,552	+601	open	—	04-01 08:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	13	$3.1K	1,643	1,643	+0	open	—	06-14 21:33
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	7	$3.1K	1,570	1,570	+0	open	—	02-22 19:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	10	$2.9K	2,092	872	+1,219	open	—	04-28 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	14	$2.3K	1,550	1,443	+107	open	—	05-29 15:44
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	8	$2.3K	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	07-23 08:32
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	15	$2.2K	1,801	812	+989	open	—	06-27 22:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	12	$2.1K	1,758	1,319	+440	open	—	05-18 16:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	21	$2.1K	1,817	1,899	-82	open	—	05-29 15:43
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	12	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-04 00:36
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	15	$1.8K	971	971	+0	open	—	06-17 15:19
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	8	$1.8K	1,017	874	+143	open	—	05-12 14:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$1.7K	908	908	+0	open	—	04-10 16:43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	5	$1.7K	895	895	+0	open	—	04-23 17:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-26 05:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	6	$1.6K	888	884	+4	open	—	04-17 15:00
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	9	$1.6K	1,222	1,004	+218	open	—	05-28 19:38
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	5	$1.5K	801	801	+0	open	—	03-12 13:40
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$1.5K	1,786	0	+1,786	open	—	01-06 12:35
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	7	$1.5K	1,100	790	+309	open	—	07-18 19:18
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	19	$1.5K	836	836	+0	open	—	04-13 00:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$1.4K	916	916	+0	open	—	05-03 12:58
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	28	$1.4K	848	848	+0	open	—	04-25 21:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	6	$1.3K	1,098	275	+824	open	—	03-12 13:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	10	$1.2K	739	600	+139	open	—	05-27 18:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	6	$1.2K	733	730	+3	open	—	04-17 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:37:55	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	179	45¢	$80	0x43f32e…
08-10 21:37:37	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x5fd9d1…
08-10 21:37:31	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x35d1df…
08-10 21:36:24	will wti dip to 75 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	327	92¢	$300	0xb4e2e2…
08-05 11:22:38	will wti dip to 70 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x118e08…
08-05 11:22:23	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x08132c…
08-05 01:23:03	will wti dip to 70 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	345	90¢	$310	0x9dc832…
08-05 01:22:41	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	311	100¢	$311	0xd7f21b…
08-04 15:47:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	478	84¢	$400	0x67f079…
08-04 15:46:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0xdbd6b4…
08-04 15:45:38	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	335	33¢	$112	0x5ac9fd…
08-04 15:45:27	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	317	69¢	$219	0x5b129c…
08-04 15:40:57	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x13d1ed…
08-04 15:40:51	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x0f42f9…
08-02 11:51:03	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xca075b…
08-02 11:50:57	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xeafe97…
08-02 11:50:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	571	88¢	$500	0x181e55…
08-02 11:50:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	308	98¢	$300	0xff54aa…
07-31 20:31:57	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	102	93¢	$95	0xcd635a…
07-31 20:31:33	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0x3c13fb…
07-31 17:52:45	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x198f19…
07-31 17:51:53	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x3af2d0…
07-31 17:49:59	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x9ee0ef…
07-31 17:48:06	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x2707fa…
07-31 17:42:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	167	84¢	$140	0x0119a1…
07-31 17:41:15	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x95893d…
07-31 17:40:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0xd8e0dd…
07-31 14:30:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x909c69…
07-30 21:07:33	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xf6c909…
07-30 21:06:38	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	133	65¢	$86	0xc68472…
07-30 21:06:26	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x9f1c86…
07-30 21:06:14	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xfdf288…
07-30 21:06:05	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xbd5d40…
07-30 21:05:56	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x4b2e97…
07-30 21:05:45	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xf9dcb3…
07-30 21:03:35	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x084c7f…
07-26 22:15:13	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xc35155…
07-26 22:15:03	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	190	49¢	$94	0xdc781b…
07-26 22:14:34	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xc4c267…
07-26 22:14:03	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x03ac2a…
07-24 21:28:52	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x700943…
07-24 21:28:40	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x4f921a…
07-23 08:36:37	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x12d1d1…
07-23 08:35:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0xdefb77…
07-23 08:35:18	will googl reach 370 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x29da6a…
07-23 08:35:04	will googl reach 370 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x35b4bd…
07-23 08:34:51	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x0309d5…
07-23 08:34:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xafd065…
07-23 08:34:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xd192d7…
07-23 08:34:18	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x612e1f…
07-23 08:33:09	will googl reach 380 in july 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x187151…
07-23 08:33:04	will googl reach 380 in july 2026	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x40080f…
07-23 08:32:51	will googl reach 370 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x8753c4…
07-23 08:32:45	will googl reach 370 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x36362b…
07-23 08:32:30	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	657	99¢	$652	0x7edfe4…
07-23 08:32:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2cf8dc…
07-23 08:19:33	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x8db36b…
07-23 08:17:49	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x867c3e…
07-23 08:17:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x6526ea…
07-23 08:15:42	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x0903cc…
07-23 08:14:04	will wti reach 100 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xeb2683…
07-23 08:13:58	will wti reach 100 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x40fd74…
07-23 08:13:51	will wti reach 100 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x01c2aa…
07-23 08:13:16	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xc9e1b9…
07-22 07:42:43	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x3ce225…
07-22 07:42:34	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0x5dfb48…
07-22 07:42:07	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xadf72a…
07-22 07:39:55	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x1d99a9…
07-22 07:39:45	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xb5b413…
07-22 07:39:36	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	234	85¢	$200	0x492504…
07-22 07:37:48	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0x1db619…
07-22 07:37:39	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0x20241d…
07-20 07:50:12	will wti dip to 75 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x4ef656…
07-20 07:21:36	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	231	87¢	$200	0x3cdac2…
07-20 07:20:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x17bb51…
07-20 07:20:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	292	68¢	$200	0xfd9658…
07-20 07:19:13	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x5e416e…
07-20 07:18:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x02dbb6…
07-20 07:18:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xebbc71…
07-20 07:16:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4996c0…
07-18 19:22:12	will wti dip to 75 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0xcd465a…
07-18 19:20:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x84a095…
07-18 19:18:27	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	309	45¢	$139	0x24435e…
07-17 23:41:18	will revoluts valuation hit high 110b by july 31 20260630204859524	No	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x9cb7ee…
07-17 23:41:12	will revoluts valuation hit high 110b by july 31 20260630204859524	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xf2134e…
07-16 05:30:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x590905…
07-16 05:30:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x37fffc…
07-16 05:29:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xbdccae…
07-16 05:26:34	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x61ab8b…
07-16 05:26:29	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x15e2a5…
07-14 20:58:41	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4a164a…
07-14 20:58:19	will kylian mbappe score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701231444070	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x672643…
07-14 20:52:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa0eeec…
07-14 20:49:05	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x172fe2…
07-14 20:47:11	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xd626a7…
07-14 20:40:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x836240…
07-13 23:08:05	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	311	96¢	$300	0x7fd7ca…
07-13 23:07:25	will wti dip to 70 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xf03c86…
07-13 23:06:23	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	165	91¢	$150	0x6036e2…
07-13 23:06:13	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	206	71¢	$147	0x652221…