Venerated-Dawn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

62,276

lifetime

Volume

$63.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-11 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

67% 37% $-1

Politics

17% 100% +$6

Crypto

10% 38% $-2

Sports

5% 86% +$5

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	538	$1.5K	4,124	5,318	-1,194	open	—	03-31 22:42
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	838	$1.0K	23,712	30,516	-6,804	open	—	03-29 09:54
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	251	$830	945	887	+59	open	—	03-31 17:46
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	785	$802	7,595	7,475	+120	open	—	03-24 11:00
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 560 579	432	$657	4,248	3,620	+628	open	—	01-16 13:11
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	265	$630	1,944	1,885	+59	open	—	03-19 13:32
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	440	$573	5,880	5,583	+297	open	—	03-23 20:23
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	354	$540	4,927	5,006	-79	open	—	03-26 23:21
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	118	$474	480	496	-16	open	—	03-06 01:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	252	$451	825	844	-19	open	—	04-21 21:58
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	254	$380	1,862	1,809	+53	open	—	04-21 17:33
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	225	$357	1,344	1,343	+1	open	—	03-20 07:13
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	159	$352	1,152	1,117	+35	open	—	04-21 21:14
will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	917	$345	6,471	6,115	+356	open	—	02-27 12:29
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	103	$345	381	401	-20	open	—	03-09 23:29
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	214	$344	1,880	1,707	+173	open	—	01-16 01:50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	91	$344	362	376	-14	open	—	04-24 18:10
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	153	$294	838	824	+14	open	—	02-26 13:47
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	274	$290	4,747	5,099	-352	open	—	03-17 05:19
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	77	$287	234	233	+0	open	—	03-04 22:58
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	61	$284	258	206	+52	open	—	05-19 18:05
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 460 479	211	$281	3,460	3,188	+273	open	—	01-15 20:43
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	113	$276	1,058	1,012	+46	open	—	05-16 22:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	179	$261	701	661	+41	open	—	04-23 10:38
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	120	$255	393	402	-9	Yes	+$2	04-13 14:53
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	181	$241	1,046	949	+97	open	—	01-16 13:26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	88	$239	369	407	-38	open	—	04-23 21:36
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	220	$233	1,637	1,652	-15	open	—	03-22 03:18
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	167	$221	3,102	3,750	-648	open	—	01-09 18:17
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	333	$219	3,398	2,558	+840	open	—	04-28 08:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:55:30	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x0c694a…
08-11 08:43:31	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xdb4a76…
08-11 08:07:58	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x6ee426…
08-11 07:53:46	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xcc6312…
08-11 05:39:25	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xf779fc…
08-11 05:30:54	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3ebbd4…
08-11 02:18:34	Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x8a0d89…
08-11 02:03:36	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xe1cd5d…
08-10 19:45:00	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf70b58…
08-10 13:44:51	Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x6ea5a6…
08-10 09:39:19	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xcf3ace…
08-10 00:40:58	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x29a872…
08-09 22:18:10	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xa48382…
08-09 22:13:19	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x92fe49…
08-09 18:38:27	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x52ea2f…
08-09 14:28:52	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x2cf8e8…
08-09 12:21:34	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xc617fe…
08-09 11:49:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4c1605…
08-09 04:25:12	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x487cab…
08-08 20:36:06	Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x9cbd45…
08-08 08:11:31	Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xc02fda…
08-08 06:17:48	Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x421653…
08-07 18:10:27	Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x186989…
08-07 14:31:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7d011a…
08-07 05:26:16	Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xff7621…
08-07 00:55:33	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xb8a748…
08-07 00:45:56	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x36f7e6…
08-06 23:25:56	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x19582b…
08-06 22:33:00	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xe7f4aa…
08-06 10:37:50	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xb6440e…
08-06 09:27:59	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x4302b8…
08-06 09:05:33	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x8216f4…
08-06 08:56:03	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x928b20…
08-06 08:49:06	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa571c4…
07-21 02:45:39	Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x0dbcb0…
07-19 22:11:42	Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xefd56a…
07-18 22:39:01	Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x0cfb3d…
07-18 03:27:54	Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe2c700…
07-18 03:27:51	Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x95f481…
07-15 04:27:07	Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd83d8c…
07-11 08:55:29	Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?	Yes	SELL	51	16¢	$8	0xfa01f7…
07-03 01:08:19	Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x502dd2…
07-02 12:20:55	Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5e8c28…
07-02 12:18:38	Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x7da89d…
06-30 19:13:28	Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x80aaf1…
06-30 19:09:59	Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xc8fddd…
06-30 04:29:10	Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x8f20b0…
06-30 04:29:07	Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x8f8e9a…
06-27 16:44:02	Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x4d06e0…
06-27 13:31:50	Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x57b4b1…
06-27 03:08:50	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xc16827…
06-26 19:15:04	Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xe8a10b…
06-26 17:02:56	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x6bd21e…
06-26 14:05:04	Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x7324c2…
06-26 14:05:04	Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x31a9c1…
06-26 06:44:55	Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe987f8…
06-25 21:33:56	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x0dd867…
06-25 13:22:01	Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xfe7bb7…
06-25 13:01:35	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xea992f…
06-25 11:40:47	Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0xc8522f…
06-25 11:11:49	Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x29e5a9…
06-25 11:08:16	Will Cloud9 New York finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd43974…
06-25 09:44:55	Will Cloud9 New York finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6f071c…
06-25 09:44:49	Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x00e593…
06-25 09:13:02	Will Cloud9 New York finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xee4624…
06-25 03:01:10	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3f20f4…
06-25 01:22:14	Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x73a086…
06-25 00:16:50	Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf1471c…
06-24 18:11:50	Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	9¢	$4	0xa737dc…
06-24 17:40:35	Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x862066…
06-24 14:05:46	Will FaZe Vegas finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xb83ff8…
06-24 13:56:31	Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x9a39a4…
06-24 13:54:10	Will FaZe Vegas finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x9fdf7d…
06-24 13:42:58	Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x27bfb1…
06-18 12:55:40	Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x75ede9…
06-14 00:23:54	Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	No	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x646597…
06-12 17:39:31	Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xb4a644…
06-11 19:07:18	Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x7a32e3…
06-08 21:31:21	Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x995875…
06-07 21:52:16	Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x403534…
06-05 18:40:46	Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x28d073…
06-05 14:11:48	Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xbc090c…
06-04 23:15:03	Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x87f158…
06-04 22:28:16	Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xc153e5…
06-03 23:27:34	Record crypto liquidation in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x44a70a…
06-03 15:27:39	Will OpTic Texas finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	No	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x83c293…
06-03 13:10:54	Will OpTic Texas finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x66c342…
06-03 00:35:20	Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x6f8bf1…
06-01 11:56:12	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x15ba77…
06-01 09:11:00	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x33c6de…
05-31 15:16:25	Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x80a29b…
05-31 12:43:31	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xb3a610…
05-31 11:51:50	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0xbd7ee5…
05-30 12:27:19	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x2743a4…
05-30 07:27:32	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xe7cd94…
05-30 07:18:40	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xa452f6…
05-30 03:12:44	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xd64d4b…
05-29 13:56:45	Will OpTic Texas finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3623f5…
05-29 00:40:48	Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x723cb8…
05-28 18:49:25	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xd3959f…