Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved
35
Trades
62,236
lifetime
Volume
$63.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$61
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-21 02:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
67% 37% $-1
Politics
17% 100% +$6
Crypto
10% 38% $-2
Sports
5% 86% +$5
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 523 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -143 $-7 $-12 $-5 07-03 01:08
Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -14 $-6 31¢ $-4 +$1 06-25 11:40
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? Yes -56 $-9 $-4 +$5 07-11 08:55
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? No -16 $-8 29¢ $-4 +$4 06-27 16:44
Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -12 $-2 28¢ $-3 $-1 06-26 19:15
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026? Yes -13 $-1 23¢ $-3 $-2 07-21 02:45
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? Yes -27 $-3 11¢ $-3 +$0 07-18 03:27
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? No -12 $-3 25¢ $-3 $-0 06-14 00:23
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? Yes -15 $-7 18¢ $-3 +$4 06-03 00:35
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-1 18¢ $-2 $-1 06-25 13:22
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5? Yes -18 $-2 12¢ $-2 $-1 07-19 22:11
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-3 22¢ $-2 +$1 06-30 19:13
Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? Yes -5 $-1 38¢ $-2 $-1 06-08 21:31
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-4 18¢ $-2 +$2 06-04 22:28
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -48 $-2 $-2 $-0 05-31 12:43
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? Yes -37 $-2 $-2 +$1 06-26 17:02
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -28 $-3 $-2 +$2 06-25 11:11
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-1 25¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 18:40
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? Yes -14 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-03 23:27
Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-0 $-1 $-1 06-30 04:29
Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -9 $-0 $-1 $-1 06-24 17:40
Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? Yes -8 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-02 12:18
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes -4 $-2 15¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 02:48
Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-02 12:20
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-28 07:17
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -10 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-25 21:33
Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-27 03:08
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 18:49