Jam-Packed-Theft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$853

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

724

lifetime

Volume

$47.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$189

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-05 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

71% 53% +$827

Other

29% 48% -$1,680

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes		-1,453	-$206	13¢	$-189	+$17	05-29 15:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	26	$3.0K	1,775	1,767	+9	Yes	+$413	04-24 15:45
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$754	04-09 16:49
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	15	$2.1K	1,264	1,264	+0	No	+$236	04-21 02:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	30	$2.0K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	-$307	04-29 22:22
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$1.8K	1,920	800	+1,120	No	+$575	05-14 14:17
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$1.8K	0	7,152	-7,152	No	+$1,832	05-24 00:51
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	36	$1.8K	2,357	557	+1,800	Yes	+$1,081	05-12 18:29
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	30	$1.6K	2,032	2,235	-203	No	+$76	05-20 05:44
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	18	$1.5K	796	1,246	-450	No	+$275	05-19 23:21
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	27	$1.4K	158,894	0	+158,894	Yes	-$1,406	05-16 20:08
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	2	$1.4K	790	790	+0	No	+$179	04-15 05:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	6	$1.2K	1,125	1,125	+0	No	-$802	04-22 05:29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	4	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$121	04-17 16:52
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	6	$1.1K	708	708	+0	Yes	+$214	05-20 05:42
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$1.1K	1,500	500	+1,000	No	+$650	05-14 13:34
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	3	$1.0K	595	595	+0	No	+$86	04-23 15:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	17	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$220	05-11 22:40
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?	8	$881	1,405	0	+1,405	Yes	+$524	05-15 18:41
Chirayu Rana fired?	16	$797	823	822	+1	cancelled	+$25	05-01 15:54
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$705	1,215	1,215	+0	No	-$647	05-15 04:20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	20	$683	2,144	0	+2,144	No	-$683	06-03 23:45
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$666	0	1,210	-1,210	Yes	-$544	05-14 11:44
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$593	549	258	+291	No	+$168	05-15 05:21
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	50	$586	6,132	757	+5,375	No	-$466	05-29 18:55
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	5	$586	800	0	+800	No	-$586	05-04 03:42
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	12	$548	3,379	3,379	+0	Yes	-$463	05-21 10:04
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$527	300	300	+0	No	+$47	04-17 16:52
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	12	$524	905	0	+905	No	+$382	05-20 16:12
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	23	$487	2,608	0	+2,608	No	-$487	05-19 22:16
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$476	616	616	+0	Yes	-$65	05-13 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 01:16:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x8ee241…
06-04 10:55:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	190	11¢	$21	0xb6cb40…
06-03 23:45:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x43e7d9…
06-03 23:41:01	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	600	8¢	$51	0x055c15…
06-03 23:38:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$121	0x9a1e74…
06-03 23:35:42	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x626e25…
06-03 06:55:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	121	13¢	$16	0xb321ef…
06-02 14:59:14	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb44d32…
06-02 13:13:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	519	25¢	$130	0xce2aec…
06-02 13:12:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xd01db6…
06-01 14:43:35	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	377	18¢	$68	0x50243c…
06-01 14:42:44	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	18¢	$6	0x3f5215…
06-01 13:25:01	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	229	13¢	$30	0x481da3…
06-01 11:23:49	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x16f185…
05-31 18:37:01	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	372	36¢	$134	0x06e7ed…
05-31 09:34:43	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x7c12c6…
05-29 18:55:27	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$1	0xac896b…
05-29 18:55:27	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	131	2¢	$2	0x0fad53…
05-29 18:52:25	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$2	0xb073b0…
05-29 18:52:13	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xaf69e7…
05-29 18:52:02	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x9a3723…
05-29 18:52:00	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x471673…
05-29 18:51:52	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0xe41b35…
05-29 18:50:28	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$14	0x836179…
05-29 18:49:09	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xe99236…
05-29 18:49:04	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7c875d…
05-29 18:49:04	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x75bcbe…
05-29 18:48:20	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x1e3f4e…
05-29 18:48:20	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x0499ec…
05-29 18:48:02	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x185cc2…
05-29 18:47:40	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4daece…
05-29 18:47:40	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0x37042f…
05-29 18:46:12	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1ca42d…
05-29 18:38:48	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3be18b…
05-29 18:29:22	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x25ea20…
05-29 18:27:39	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$3	0xd1273c…
05-29 18:27:37	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	64	7¢	$4	0xb367eb…
05-29 18:26:59	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x83ee21…
05-29 18:26:41	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x1cb003…
05-29 18:25:38	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x23fe44…
05-29 18:21:49	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x49f0c0…
05-29 18:18:14	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	79	20¢	$16	0x7dffd2…
05-29 18:06:48	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xc367e0…
05-29 16:39:35	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xe1068a…
05-29 16:39:35	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xa10129…
05-29 16:39:35	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x833c52…
05-29 16:39:02	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x921b11…
05-29 16:39:02	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x611d28…
05-29 16:39:02	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x603639…
05-29 16:39:02	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x209416…
05-29 16:38:46	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xff2084…
05-29 15:13:35	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x57a049…
05-29 15:11:11	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,195	4¢	$53	0x3895fb…
05-29 15:04:44	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb9818f…
05-29 15:04:08	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,245	4¢	$56	0x36790f…
05-29 15:02:42	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	77	9¢	$7	0x07b891…
05-29 15:02:37	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	271	11¢	$30	0x5e7375…
05-29 15:02:33	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	550	8¢	$43	0x1f5993…
05-29 15:00:34	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	53	22¢	$12	0x9804d1…
05-29 15:00:31	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xeb0c60…
05-29 15:00:31	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x9d32fb…
05-29 15:00:31	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x1a50e4…
05-29 14:23:00	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$43	0x6b85cd…
05-29 14:10:57	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	400	22¢	$88	0x97454b…
05-29 14:04:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	250	10¢	$25	0x4b6d5d…
05-28 16:48:28	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	129	32¢	$41	0xc2e3c4…
05-27 13:35:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x0ba6e7…
05-27 13:35:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xe7d4a5…
05-27 13:35:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0x7a7673…
05-27 13:09:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	368	9¢	$35	0x61e150…
05-27 03:51:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xfab6f7…
05-25 17:02:58	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	65	18¢	$12	0xc073d3…
05-25 13:37:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x9a54e2…
05-25 13:35:49	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x2a72ed…
05-25 08:01:59	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0x477909…
05-25 07:59:35	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	93	15¢	$14	0xa7e9dd…
05-24 00:53:07	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	958	15¢	$144	0x0bf4fd…
05-24 00:51:01	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	22¢	$215	0x1d8614…
05-24 00:49:43	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	22¢	$215	0xeb165b…
05-23 10:27:27	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	74	21¢	$16	0x7217a4…
05-23 04:09:54	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,052	21¢	$221	0xd4334a…
05-22 01:37:45	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0x155df9…
05-21 16:29:19	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x1139f8…
05-21 16:27:45	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x9edcc7…
05-21 16:05:09	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x8f6eef…
05-21 15:31:50	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd491d2…
05-21 10:04:49	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	3,379	1¢	$43	0x47c5b0…
05-21 05:32:24	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	162	6¢	$10	0x55cc90…
05-21 05:32:15	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	417	6¢	$25	0x4f6915…
05-21 00:08:09	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	43	38¢	$16	0xbcc16b…
05-21 00:06:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xf067c6…
05-21 00:06:45	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x6992e1…
05-21 00:06:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$72	0xe2de28…
05-21 00:02:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	56	58¢	$33	0x4fe97b…
05-20 16:19:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	45	65¢	$29	0x6d3ae4…
05-20 16:18:34	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0x4b5875…
05-20 16:15:27	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x1c765e…
05-20 16:15:27	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x1887bb…
05-20 16:12:13	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x3dc2e7…
05-20 16:11:06	Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	188	60¢	$112	0xf4ac0e…