Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$220

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$4.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$116

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-11 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 69% -$240

Other

8% 90% +$32

Politics

1% 0% -$12

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 239 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	-61	-$41	82¢	$-50	-$9	10-05 07:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-46	-$43	96¢	$-44	$0	10-11 00:34
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	-25	-$20	86¢	$-22	-$2	10-11 00:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - October 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	8	$364	401	168	+233	Down	-$29	10-11 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	8	$228	127	127	+0	Up	+$12	10-11 00:47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	7	$214	149	105	+44	Down	-$5	10-11 00:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$206	148	148	+0	open	—	10-11 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	7	$198	103	103	+0	Down	+$8	10-11 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	13	$186	118	104	+14	Up	+$7	10-11 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$156	195	3	+192	Up	-$153	10-11 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	11	$154	145	63	+81	Down	-$51	10-11 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$133	146	0	+146	Up	+$13	10-11 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$128	173	58	+115	Up	-$12	10-11 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$127	66	66	+0	Down	+$4	10-11 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	12	$124	115	81	+33	Up	+$12	10-11 01:30
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	4	$114	127	188	-61	open	—	10-11 01:16
Solana Up or Down - October 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$114	61	61	+0	Up	+$0	10-11 00:48
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$110	124	0	+124	Down	+$14	10-11 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$106	67	50	+17	Up	+$4	10-11 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$106	154	34	+119	Down	+$23	10-11 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	10	$100	62	62	+0	Up	+$3	10-11 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$97	53	53	+0	Down	+$7	10-11 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$88	105	86	+20	Up	-$58	10-11 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$82	63	39	+24	Up	-$20	10-11 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	7	$79	49	37	+12	Up	+$3	10-11 01:39
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$72	80	0	+80	Up	+$8	10-11 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	7	$65	44	30	+14	Down	+$4	10-11 01:44
Solana Up or Down - October 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$65	89	0	+89	Down	+$9	10-11 01:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$62	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	10-11 01:55
XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	8	$60	53	29	+24	Up	+$8	10-11 01:38
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$52	31	31	+0	Up	+$4	10-11 01:29
XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$45	51	0	+51	Up	-$27	10-11 00:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$43	0	46	-46	open	—	10-11 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 02:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0xa34097…
10-11 02:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xe39a74…
10-11 02:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0xe8e11f…
10-11 02:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x11c96b…
10-11 02:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5a81f9…
10-11 02:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0xe645b5…
10-11 02:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe643d1…
10-11 02:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9e1008…
10-11 02:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf121d8…
10-11 02:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3cf8e2…
10-11 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb579ef…
10-11 02:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x5fad73…
10-11 02:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x942e38…
10-11 02:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf18a4c…
10-11 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x5ff90b…
10-11 02:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x9e4fb6…
10-11 02:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x0da8e4…
10-11 02:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x10dd6d…
10-11 02:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x3587df…
10-11 02:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	92¢	$32	0xaa5059…
10-11 02:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x96b9e8…
10-11 02:11:42	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc11e55…
10-11 02:11:30	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x915406…
10-11 02:11:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x15de7e…
10-11 02:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8de5f5…
10-11 02:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x30eb3a…
10-11 02:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x098982…
10-11 02:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd26e76…
10-11 02:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb1e37f…
10-11 02:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x61b9dc…
10-11 02:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x8b1ecb…
10-11 02:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x0588e2…
10-11 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x667a49…
10-11 02:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0xc2fc47…
10-11 02:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0xc414b8…
10-11 02:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x561cdc…
10-11 02:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x51042e…
10-11 02:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0x0093de…
10-11 02:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xbee72b…
10-11 02:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0xe0a1fd…
10-11 02:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xc42751…
10-11 02:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x2c3e6c…
10-11 02:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x1555fd…
10-11 02:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xbca336…
10-11 02:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xc3ddc0…
10-11 02:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x5206db…
10-11 01:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xe8bbc8…
10-11 01:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	39	79¢	$31	0x33ad53…
10-11 01:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xda4f71…
10-11 01:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x492e7f…
10-11 01:55:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x800d3d…
10-11 01:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x872131…
10-11 01:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x957943…
10-11 01:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x95da96…
10-11 01:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x7379ea…
10-11 01:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4e8fae…
10-11 01:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	92¢	$15	0xfce939…
10-11 01:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x9c1fb6…
10-11 01:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd2f946…
10-11 01:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xc3ea34…
10-11 01:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xad8f28…
10-11 01:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd06978…
10-11 01:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xc49afa…
10-11 01:42:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x754cc5…
10-11 01:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x91dea2…
10-11 01:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xac9291…
10-11 01:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x04dab3…
10-11 01:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x65101b…
10-11 01:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf17f1f…
10-11 01:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbc9d10…
10-11 01:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x8e0279…
10-11 01:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x8dcf32…
10-11 01:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa9f92c…
10-11 01:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xf6fcef…
10-11 01:38:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x37337d…
10-11 01:38:08	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x1dcff9…
10-11 01:37:54	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xf4464b…
10-11 01:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	82¢	$15	0xb50f1c…
10-11 01:37:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x82da89…
10-11 01:37:09	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x095569…
10-11 01:36:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe4b330…
10-11 01:36:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x03e46e…
10-11 01:36:29	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa39750…
10-11 01:36:14	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xba9e38…
10-11 01:36:08	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2f5f91…
10-11 01:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x70722f…
10-11 01:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc30927…
10-11 01:35:05	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb9b07d…
10-11 01:34:02	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x340881…
10-11 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xf85c3f…
10-11 01:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x7b5dc3…
10-11 01:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x71e7e1…
10-11 01:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc5a555…
10-11 01:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	83¢	$11	0x937b23…
10-11 01:31:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x20419c…
10-11 01:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xd40d6d…
10-11 01:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x4b0828…
10-11 01:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x2e97ad…
10-11 01:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x891399…
10-11 01:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xab27be…