Outrageous-Afterlife — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$649

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,281

lifetime

Volume

$134.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-15 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

54% 25% $-256

Other

45% 12% $-392

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	26	$7.5K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	05-26 15:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	23	$5.9K	3,877	3,877	+0	open	—	04-22 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$4.6K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	05-23 18:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	10	$3.7K	1,940	1,940	+0	open	—	04-27 09:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$3.5K	1,985	1,985	+0	open	—	05-26 20:56
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	20	$3.2K	1,936	1,936	+0	open	—	03-19 17:26
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	22	$3.2K	2,150	2,150	+0	open	—	04-03 10:27
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$3.2K	1,725	1,725	+0	open	—	03-25 17:14
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	39	$3.0K	2,830	2,630	+200	open	—	04-16 15:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	9	$2.8K	2,466	2,466	+0	open	—	04-23 18:04
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	15	$2.8K	0	4,990	-4,990	open	—	06-11 19:55
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	9	$2.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-27 17:50
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	41	$2.3K	1,633	1,401	+232	open	—	05-24 08:36
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	15	$2.0K	1,278	1,278	+0	open	—	04-24 22:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	4	$2.0K	1,000	992	+8	open	—	04-30 12:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-06 05:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	18	$1.9K	500,400	500,400	+0	open	—	04-29 03:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 21:27
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	13	$1.8K	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	03-26 06:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	26	$1.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-11 19:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	3	$1.6K	1,250	500	+750	open	—	03-15 19:25
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.5K	1,100	534	+566	open	—	05-04 22:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	6	$1.3K	804	804	+0	open	—	05-15 08:40
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	12	$1.2K	0	1,286	-1,286	open	—	06-11 19:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	19	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-04 11:36
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	3	$1.2K	900	500	+400	open	—	06-21 18:07
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	4	$1.2K	675	1,184	-509	open	—	06-09 15:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$1.1K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-13 11:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	14	$1.1K	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	03-02 07:52
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	5	$1.1K	565	565	+0	open	—	03-19 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 18:17:37	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	145	88¢	$128	0xc5c329…
08-15 18:15:58	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x876d58…
08-15 18:15:10	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x7617ce…
08-15 18:14:06	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x6e495a…
08-15 09:38:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe4e74f…
08-15 09:38:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	90	82¢	$74	0xb717f9…
08-15 09:35:52	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2a5918…
08-13 09:08:15	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	160	62¢	$99	0x777d9b…
08-13 09:07:40	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc41340…
08-12 08:11:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xef2d61…
08-11 10:41:36	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xacc8d6…
08-11 08:05:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0x060ce7…
08-11 08:03:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x938e86…
08-11 07:50:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x8d5298…
08-11 07:49:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x31edcb…
08-08 04:59:24	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x09c9d8…
08-06 20:01:51	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x7fd91b…
08-06 20:00:53	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x975af4…
08-06 19:24:47	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb3022e…
08-06 19:14:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xf9795d…
08-06 19:12:54	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x49e5a4…
08-06 19:12:30	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	91	94¢	$86	0xa67c18…
08-06 15:51:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x97f4cc…
08-06 15:37:09	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb13e44…
08-06 15:10:12	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9be87e…
08-06 15:06:53	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xca7854…
08-06 13:58:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x215bc9…
08-06 13:48:15	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	No	BUY	120	86¢	$104	0x6f08af…
08-06 13:47:03	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x395b15…
08-06 13:34:24	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x05f2b6…
08-06 10:57:18	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xe85aca…
08-06 10:24:11	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x4999bf…
08-06 10:23:38	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0xc6db7f…
08-06 10:22:24	mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by december 31 2026 20260710000011405	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x38a641…
08-06 10:21:42	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x823fe2…
08-06 10:20:56	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xf7d3f3…
08-06 10:19:17	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xf53a97…
08-06 10:18:51	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x49fcb7…
08-06 10:13:18	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa9d771…
08-06 10:09:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xcfe889…
08-06 10:03:36	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x5d5405…
08-04 17:05:14	will aapl reach 344 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x0badbf…
08-04 16:51:42	will aapl reach 344 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x45e4a6…
08-04 10:53:59	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xd9ad7e…
08-04 10:15:27	will aapl reach 344 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0a516e…
08-04 10:15:08	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1261a5…
08-04 09:07:11	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	95	91¢	$86	0x7dbbaf…
08-04 08:08:36	will aapl reach 344 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x449090…
08-04 08:01:06	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x9b472d…
08-03 07:41:30	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7f56b6…
08-03 06:42:33	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xfd646a…
08-03 06:42:33	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x346173…
08-03 06:14:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0x8e5789…
08-03 06:09:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc54065…
07-31 06:59:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x8661f2…
07-31 06:58:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc833aa…
07-29 17:02:44	will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xda05be…
07-29 17:02:42	will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xe9e7a5…
07-29 10:30:35	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x335b67…
07-29 09:19:47	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0x346422…
07-28 21:25:38	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x79e145…
07-28 20:19:05	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	93	95¢	$89	0x674c6b…
07-28 19:55:50	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xd580f1…
07-28 19:43:41	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	26	68¢	$17	0xceb92e…
07-28 19:43:22	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0x5186fb…
07-28 19:07:32	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	74	68¢	$51	0xa09cae…
07-27 08:19:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x8a80c0…
07-26 22:54:01	will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xcc6185…
07-26 07:23:52	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	61	92¢	$57	0x933094…
07-25 20:24:12	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xaa03f5…
07-25 20:23:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	63	59¢	$37	0x906a33…
07-25 20:23:43	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xa628f4…
07-25 20:21:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xee47aa…
07-25 20:20:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xecd4e1…
07-25 20:20:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x85b75f…
07-25 20:19:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x6d0aec…
07-25 20:18:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	21	59¢	$13	0x2e78bd…
07-25 20:18:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x2992c2…
07-25 20:17:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x2d9c3a…
07-25 17:14:15	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x595867…
07-25 08:14:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb7d00f…
07-25 08:14:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xb6ba52…
07-25 08:13:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x2c81fd…
07-25 08:13:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x1fde8e…
07-24 13:18:52	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0xb1b7f8…
07-24 13:07:42	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x38511d…
07-24 12:52:52	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x4697eb…
07-24 10:32:13	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x3e6d6f…
07-24 10:28:48	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x2d75e8…
07-24 10:28:25	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0xac73d2…
07-24 09:16:25	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0xbfe451…
07-24 01:29:40	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6e9a66…
07-23 20:30:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	83	76¢	$63	0xce69a4…
07-23 18:48:19	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xa88aa9…
07-23 18:36:33	will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	69	52¢	$36	0x224278…
07-23 18:29:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	117	76¢	$89	0x8b7ba1…
07-23 18:22:43	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8155b1…
07-23 18:19:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7aa75e…
07-23 18:16:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x18c3da…
07-23 18:13:22	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	288	92¢	$265	0x7ddbb6…