Outrageous-Afterlife — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$649

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,212

lifetime

Volume

$129.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-26 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

54% 25% $-256

Other

45% 12% $-392

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	26	$7.5K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	05-26 15:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	23	$5.9K	3,877	3,877	+0	open	—	04-22 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$4.6K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	05-23 18:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	10	$3.7K	1,940	1,940	+0	open	—	04-27 09:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$3.5K	1,985	1,985	+0	open	—	05-26 20:56
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	20	$3.2K	1,936	1,936	+0	open	—	03-19 17:26
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	22	$3.2K	2,150	2,150	+0	open	—	04-03 10:27
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$3.2K	1,725	1,725	+0	open	—	03-25 17:14
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	39	$3.0K	2,830	2,630	+200	open	—	04-16 15:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	9	$2.8K	2,466	2,466	+0	open	—	04-23 18:04
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	15	$2.8K	0	4,990	-4,990	open	—	06-11 19:55
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	9	$2.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-27 17:50
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	41	$2.3K	1,633	1,401	+232	open	—	05-24 08:36
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	15	$2.0K	1,278	1,278	+0	open	—	04-24 22:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	4	$2.0K	1,000	992	+8	open	—	04-30 12:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-06 05:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	18	$1.9K	500,400	500,400	+0	open	—	04-29 03:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 21:27
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	13	$1.8K	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	03-26 06:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	26	$1.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-11 19:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	3	$1.6K	1,250	500	+750	open	—	03-15 19:25
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.5K	1,100	534	+566	open	—	05-04 22:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	6	$1.3K	804	804	+0	open	—	05-15 08:40
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	12	$1.2K	0	1,286	-1,286	open	—	06-11 19:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	19	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-04 11:36
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	3	$1.2K	900	500	+400	open	—	06-21 18:07
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	4	$1.2K	675	1,184	-509	open	—	06-09 15:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$1.1K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-13 11:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	14	$1.1K	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	03-02 07:52
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	5	$1.1K	565	565	+0	open	—	03-19 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 08:19:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x8a80c0…
07-26 22:54:01	will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xcc6185…
07-26 07:23:52	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	61	92¢	$57	0x933094…
07-25 20:24:12	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xaa03f5…
07-25 20:23:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	63	59¢	$37	0x906a33…
07-25 20:23:43	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xa628f4…
07-25 20:21:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xee47aa…
07-25 20:20:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xecd4e1…
07-25 20:20:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x85b75f…
07-25 20:19:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x6d0aec…
07-25 20:18:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	21	59¢	$13	0x2e78bd…
07-25 20:18:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x2992c2…
07-25 20:17:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x2d9c3a…
07-25 17:14:15	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x595867…
07-25 08:14:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb7d00f…
07-25 08:14:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xb6ba52…
07-25 08:13:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x2c81fd…
07-25 08:13:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x1fde8e…
07-24 13:18:52	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0xb1b7f8…
07-24 13:07:42	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x38511d…
07-24 12:52:52	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x4697eb…
07-24 10:32:13	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x3e6d6f…
07-24 10:28:48	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x2d75e8…
07-24 10:28:25	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0xac73d2…
07-24 09:16:25	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0xbfe451…
07-24 01:29:40	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6e9a66…
07-23 20:30:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	83	76¢	$63	0xce69a4…
07-23 18:48:19	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xa88aa9…
07-23 18:36:33	will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	69	52¢	$36	0x224278…
07-23 18:29:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	117	76¢	$89	0x8b7ba1…
07-23 18:22:43	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8155b1…
07-23 18:19:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7aa75e…
07-23 18:16:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x18c3da…
07-23 18:13:22	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	288	92¢	$265	0x7ddbb6…
07-23 11:16:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	133	72¢	$96	0x7b3387…
07-23 11:16:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x74a0c4…
07-23 10:26:52	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	220	98¢	$215	0xb0aff5…
07-23 09:42:39	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x7aedd6…
07-23 09:19:40	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xbdc241…
07-23 07:51:03	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xab0ad7…
07-23 07:49:06	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xdaf289…
07-23 07:49:03	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x18cf15…
07-23 07:43:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x0ccd40…
07-17 08:18:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x2b64b1…
07-17 07:49:01	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	250	83¢	$208	0x6b7655…
07-17 07:45:55	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x6f173d…
07-17 07:41:43	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa75465…
07-17 07:41:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0xa6a86d…
07-17 07:40:36	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xa6fe48…
07-17 07:38:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x3afb12…
07-12 11:59:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa9fffe…
07-01 11:55:29	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x9f1f18…
07-01 11:54:22	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x73fa69…
07-01 11:49:22	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8741ad…
07-01 11:45:35	will openais valuation hit low 725b by july 31 20260629222029485	No	BUY	150	93¢	$139	0xf5640c…
07-01 11:31:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x243789…
07-01 11:21:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe54448…
06-26 21:39:59	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	293	83¢	$243	0x1e5538…
06-23 08:16:20	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0xada983…
06-23 08:15:50	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0x9ac669…
06-23 08:15:49	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	37	84¢	$31	0xe78eec…
06-23 08:15:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x828671…
06-23 08:14:52	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x3823b4…
06-23 08:12:52	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xd984ac…
06-23 08:11:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x07c8c9…
06-23 08:11:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	120	84¢	$101	0xeb8a5f…
06-23 07:44:08	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x60809c…
06-22 16:43:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x565687…
06-22 16:41:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0x312f0a…
06-22 09:58:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xdb7a54…
06-22 09:56:41	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0xa4a96b…
06-22 09:56:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x630cc3…
06-22 09:23:07	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x15cc44…
06-22 09:13:44	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8ca9a3…
06-22 09:11:53	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8e2de5…
06-22 06:43:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xd9bf6e…
06-22 06:34:56	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	150	93¢	$139	0x4dc165…
06-22 06:32:34	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xa70a28…
06-21 19:02:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0xec28f9…
06-21 18:49:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	56	88¢	$49	0x86cfb5…
06-21 18:49:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	244	87¢	$213	0x41ae57…
06-21 18:48:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xc1560d…
06-21 18:42:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	498	96¢	$476	0xc7982f…
06-21 18:29:14	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x8787a7…
06-21 18:29:14	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0x0f5a01…
06-21 18:22:35	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x2c0e0e…
06-21 18:20:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0xb4ce26…
06-21 18:18:59	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x280180…
06-21 18:16:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x764e5e…
06-21 18:15:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba744c…
06-21 18:08:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xf77a1c…
06-21 18:08:14	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xa1f34a…
06-21 18:07:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	400	96¢	$382	0x14332e…
06-21 18:04:47	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x59b5d6…
06-16 02:12:58	bitcoin above 70k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xa511a9…
06-16 02:12:37	bitcoin above 70k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	350	10¢	$34	0x58cb2a…
06-16 02:12:27	bitcoin above 70k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x862a9b…
06-16 02:11:58	bitcoin above 70k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x4f5d36…
06-16 02:11:34	bitcoin above 70k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xabc725…
06-15 21:30:40	bitcoin above 70k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x4dcca6…