Total-Sash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

-$576

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

173

Trades

6,003

lifetime

Volume

$253.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$3.29K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Sports

38% 62% +$3,470

Other

30% 42% +$137

Crypto

22% 33% -$4,794

Politics

10% 0% -$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,750	$405	31¢	$1.2K	+$758	10-15 02:28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+5,678	$852	14¢	$766	-$85	10-21 20:21
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+3,000	$390	12¢	$375	-$15	10-04 15:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	+2,000	$518	11¢	$223	-$295	07-21 16:38
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-2,000	-$400	8¢	$-150	+$250	09-03 21:33
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,047	$659	6¢	$123	-$536	10-15 03:02
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-2,000	-$180	6¢	$-110	+$70	06-05 16:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+805	$235	10¢	$76	-$158	09-04 18:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,025	$196	6¢	$67	-$129	08-21 07:02
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,184	$46	2¢	$51	+$6	08-20 10:18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	-1,000	-$90	5¢	$-45	+$44	05-25 16:37
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+645	$153	6¢	$40	-$113	09-25 12:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+400	$136	10¢	$38	-$98	09-24 15:54
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,000	-$66	3¢	$-32	+$35	05-29 09:03
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+181	$166	11¢	$19	-$147	10-28 10:15
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+254	$100	4¢	$11	-$89	05-01 17:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-53	$54	4¢	$-2	-$56	10-02 01:32
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	+0	$15	96¢	$0	-$15	08-05 02:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$20.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-03 14:08
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$10	01-28 15:20
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	251	$18.8K	29,949	29,949	+0	No	-$1,341	07-10 10:26
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	32	$11.5K	7,863	7,863	+0	Yes	+$1,371	07-04 19:51
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	36	$9.1K	10,557	9,681	+875	Yes	-$1,684	04-29 08:18
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	28	$6.8K	4,649	4,649	+0	Yes	+$253	07-04 00:38
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	108	$6.4K	12,677	12,677	+0	No	+$601	06-15 19:29
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	19	$6.2K	3,614	3,614	+0	Over	+$751	06-26 00:21
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	23	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	08-05 02:28
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	9	$5.0K	3,164	3,164	-0	No	+$1,235	04-30 07:16
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	8	$4.9K	4,500	7,722	-3,222	No	-$1,810	05-01 02:24
will egypt reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134493	2	$4.7K	2,569	2,569	+0	No	+$434	07-07 19:02
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	20	$4.3K	2,849	2,849	+0	open	—	06-06 13:31
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	85	$4.2K	155,455	205,455	-50,000	No	+$945	06-08 10:28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$4.1K	10,000	15,000	-5,000	No	+$752	06-11 04:40
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$4.1K	10,000	15,000	-5,000	Yes	-$4,118	06-10 20:17
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	85	$3.8K	5,756	5,756	+0	Yes	+$18	07-16 05:47
will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	21	$3.0K	1,009	3,350	-2,341	No	+$1,758	03-27 17:39
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	27	$2.9K	3,000	4,000	-1,000	No	-$390	01-11 12:29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	12	$2.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$75	07-07 17:21
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$2.7K	1,870	1,870	+0	No	-$44	06-17 00:12
will vitality win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231151	214	$2.7K	11,735	0	+11,735	resolved	-$2,680	07-12 14:48
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?	28	$2.6K	1,975	1,975	+0	open	—	06-10 08:00
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	30	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$100	07-04 15:15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$2.4K	45,000	80,000	-35,000	No	+$685	06-15 06:16
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	15	$2.4K	8,001	516	+7,485	open	—	10-18 21:50
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	16	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-02 06:10
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$2.3K	2,430	1,215	+1,215	Yes	-$1,033	06-19 04:05
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$2.2K	55,000	80,375	-25,375	No	+$281	06-16 21:18
will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	11	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$5	07-04 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:15:41	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	15¢	$21	0xc5814c…
10-26 18:32:15	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	10¢	$8	0x84582e…
10-25 10:27:05	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x87c71c…
10-24 14:02:39	Will Ethereum hit $6k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x8600d5…
10-23 01:28:12	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xa1d00f…
10-21 22:41:03	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	567	12¢	$68	0x238333…
10-21 20:21:03	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	322	15¢	$48	0xc05eb2…
10-18 21:50:05	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	506	50¢	$253	0xe372d3…
10-18 21:49:30	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	469	8¢	$38	0x38ff63…
10-18 11:50:27	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x97ace6…
10-16 07:48:45	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xd14a24…
10-15 19:08:13	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	15¢	$38	0x1ae0c2…
10-15 03:02:46	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	849	7¢	$59	0xc070d7…
10-15 02:36:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	386	7¢	$27	0x336675…
10-15 02:28:58	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x6237ea…
10-15 02:28:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,250	36¢	$450	0x3be512…
10-14 23:23:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0xc34862…
10-08 07:20:49	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xb42ebd…
10-08 07:20:49	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x33152c…
10-06 16:12:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	88	45¢	$40	0xde4b14…
10-06 15:20:21	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	139	43¢	$60	0x08e7cd…
10-05 06:00:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?	Yes	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0x414993…
10-04 15:22:56	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	3,000	11¢	$330	0x2642fe…
10-02 06:10:11	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,777	60¢	$1,066	0x25194a…
10-02 05:00:41	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xe0557f…
10-02 01:32:57	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	770	8¢	$62	0x2c3b94…
10-01 23:52:17	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xc9d259…
10-01 22:14:32	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	12	30¢	$3	0x9e8b2b…
10-01 22:14:21	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	104	30¢	$31	0x88f50b…
10-01 20:59:24	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	330	26¢	$86	0x6d33b5…
10-01 20:51:15	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xf316d2…
10-01 20:51:11	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xaf3ec7…
10-01 20:51:03	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xa3b1a6…
10-01 20:31:24	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xb22f6a…
10-01 20:29:17	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xdff0f4…
10-01 20:25:56	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	167	60¢	$100	0x24a234…
09-30 15:24:27	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	246	6¢	$15	0xaf71c6…
09-30 13:47:20	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xf4bed7…
09-30 00:20:54	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x8767f2…
09-29 18:59:09	over 25m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x4c3a70…
09-29 17:29:57	over 20m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0xd880da…
09-29 16:57:47	over 20m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xf1a114…
09-29 15:22:42	over 20m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x200e71…
09-29 15:14:06	over 20m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xfdc3d4…
09-28 16:50:29	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x484c61…
09-27 20:05:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x941339…
09-26 21:17:41	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	31¢	$137	0xcf9b31…
09-26 12:43:06	Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	461	21¢	$97	0x7ffb23…
09-25 19:55:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xc44eb3…
09-25 19:55:15	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xc8fa0f…
09-25 19:55:06	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0x75c10a…
09-25 19:54:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x6d0665…
09-25 19:38:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0xc002d1…
09-25 16:29:36	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x07f619…
09-25 12:15:15	Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	655	18¢	$121	0x60ca81…
09-25 09:26:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x83ac44…
09-25 07:09:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	10¢	$70	0xaa26e3…
09-25 02:19:30	Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0xce4e7c…
09-24 21:05:03	Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0x34a1db…
09-24 21:04:20	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	29¢	$39	0x4f8a62…
09-24 20:29:33	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x7e275c…
09-24 19:51:41	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	782	18¢	$141	0xb9bb32…
09-24 16:16:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0x5d8147…
09-24 15:54:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0xbe20f8…
09-24 13:32:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xbfe939…
09-24 09:18:53	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0xabad2d…
09-23 23:50:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0xfa87cb…
09-18 22:45:42	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xbd953a…
09-18 22:33:24	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x997b65…
09-18 16:40:24	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0xbeee6b…
09-17 15:54:16	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	788	15¢	$118	0x50fa26…
09-17 10:31:31	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x2993de…
09-17 04:05:25	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x02f8f7…
09-16 15:30:56	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	129	15¢	$19	0x692448…
09-15 20:23:51	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	185	15¢	$28	0x632baf…
09-15 19:31:36	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xcaf4ca…
09-15 14:32:40	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x1c802d…
09-15 09:17:01	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x7800a1…
09-15 06:50:42	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	109	15¢	$16	0xaf10c8…
09-15 04:48:45	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	647	15¢	$97	0x733738…
09-14 20:14:12	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	155	15¢	$23	0x7a5619…
09-14 18:50:46	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf37dfb…
09-14 15:31:19	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x9dda93…
09-14 13:12:57	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	71	15¢	$11	0xfd79ce…
09-14 07:42:40	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	135	15¢	$20	0xcddb11…
09-14 07:02:49	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	15¢	$300	0x0026fb…
09-14 06:22:42	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x55f54c…
09-13 22:58:06	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x3017f6…
09-13 21:38:25	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0xa0377b…
09-13 18:10:04	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xc6e0fd…
09-13 16:10:01	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	430	15¢	$64	0x171c3b…
09-13 14:34:58	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x0ef765…
09-13 14:04:43	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0xb3756b…
09-10 17:43:09	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xf5e1b7…
09-10 17:43:07	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	129	54¢	$70	0xd3a874…
09-10 16:34:12	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	317	54¢	$171	0x83e3dc…
09-10 11:40:03	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0xf238ca…
09-10 10:57:25	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	226	54¢	$122	0xd3c636…
09-09 19:37:01	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0xee9b75…
09-09 19:05:37	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x9ed095…