Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
14
Trades
88
lifetime
Volume
$421
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$11
11 positions
First seen
2026-08-03
last 10-26 05:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
43% 100% +$0
Other
42% 75% +$0
Crypto
10% 100% +$0
Sports
5% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +6 $6 97¢ $5 $0 10-26 05:16
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6 $5 97¢ $5 $0 08-23 18:38
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-10 13:49
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-02 15:12
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-04 18:07
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-07 01:03
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-22 12:05
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-20 13:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-13 18:52
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 09-21 06:06
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 09-23 22:00