Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b463f…ad625f
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
651
lifetime
Volume
$5.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$277
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 05:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50% — —
Politics
43% — —
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +148 $90 90¢ $134 +$44 06-13 11:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +30 $23 82¢ $25 +$2 06-29 22:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $20 43¢ $21 +$1 06-27 08:30
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +540 $17 3¢ $16 $-1 06-23 14:33
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -231 $-26 6¢ $-15 +$11 06-12 02:55
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $20 22¢ $13 $-7 06-12 02:54
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +48 $10 22¢ $10 +$0 06-09 12:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $8 14¢ $10 +$2 06-27 08:29
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -16 $-8 56¢ $-9 $-0 06-09 12:50
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +144 $13 6¢ $8 $-5 06-24 14:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +30 $9 18¢ $5 $-4 06-30 05:36
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -51 $-4 8¢ $-4 +$1 06-09 10:15
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -48 $-3 6¢ $-3 +$0 06-09 10:19
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $5 9¢ $2 $-3 06-12 02:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -25 $-2 6¢ $-2 +$0 06-06 12:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +124 $6 0¢ $1 $-6 06-27 23:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -50 $-3 0¢ $-0 +$3 06-02 23:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes -38 $-1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 23:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +10 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-18 01:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -24 $-1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 23:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -16 $-1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-11 14:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +2 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-22 00:02