Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b463f…ad625f
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
160
lifetime
Volume
$2.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$637
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-10 00:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45% — —
Politics
44% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +259 $193 80¢ $209 +$16 06-10 00:58
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -163 $-115 76¢ $-123 $-8 06-09 10:01
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -261 $-34 34¢ $-87 $-53 06-05 12:05
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +82 $40 72¢ $59 +$19 06-09 10:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +55 $37 68¢ $38 +$1 06-08 00:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +32 $29 90¢ $29 $-0 06-09 12:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +27 $23 84¢ $23 $-0 06-08 10:56
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? SpaceX -13 $-13 100¢ $-13 $-0 06-06 10:36
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +48 $10 25¢ $12 +$2 06-09 12:25
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -76 $-11 15¢ $-11 $-0 06-02 02:06
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $10 28¢ $9 $-1 06-01 12:49
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -16 $-8 55¢ $-9 $-0 06-09 12:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +22 $5 23¢ $5 +$0 06-09 12:58
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -51 $-4 8¢ $-4 +$0 06-09 10:15
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -48 $-3 6¢ $-3 +$0 06-09 10:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -25 $-2 8¢ $-2 $-0 06-06 12:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -50 $-3 3¢ $-1 +$2 06-02 23:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes -38 $-1 1¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 23:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -24 $-1 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 23:02