Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b463f…ad625f
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
859
lifetime
Volume
$6.01K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$427
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-19 23:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
53% — —
Politics
40% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +148 $90 86¢ $127 +$37 06-13 11:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +135 $119 86¢ $117 $-2 07-16 19:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +58 $64 99¢ $57 $-7 07-11 15:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $20 36¢ $17 $-3 06-27 08:30
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -231 $-26 7¢ $-16 +$10 06-12 02:55
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $20 24¢ $14 $-6 06-12 02:54
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +540 $17 2¢ $12 $-6 06-23 14:33
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -16 $-8 66¢ $-10 $-2 06-09 12:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $8 8¢ $6 $-2 06-27 08:29
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +48 $10 12¢ $6 $-4 06-09 12:25
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +144 $13 4¢ $6 $-7 06-24 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 $2 48¢ $5 +$3 07-01 14:01
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +4 $2 95¢ $4 +$2 07-01 12:15
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -51 $-4 7¢ $-4 +$1 06-09 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +7 $4 52¢ $4 $-1 07-07 04:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +12 $2 29¢ $3 +$1 07-13 09:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +82 $2 4¢ $3 +$1 07-19 23:07
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 07-01 12:15
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +8 $5 36¢ $3 $-2 07-11 18:57
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 07-14 22:11
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -48 $-3 4¢ $-2 +$1 06-09 10:19
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $5 8¢ $2 $-3 06-12 02:57
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -21 $-1 8¢ $-2 $-0 07-04 11:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -25 $-2 5¢ $-1 +$1 06-06 12:02
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +13 $4 6¢ $1 $-4 07-01 12:15
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +8 $4 5¢ $0 $-4 07-01 12:13