Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b463f…ad625f
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$156
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved
364
Trades
2,148
lifetime
Volume
$15.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$861
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
56% 49% -$322
Politics
34% 49% -$658
Sports
7% 48% -$277
Tech
2% 67% +$3
Crypto
1% 75% +$57
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +218 $136 91¢ $198 +$62 10-27 01:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +159 $93 97¢ $154 +$61 10-25 08:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +833 $108 13¢ $108 +$0 10-21 01:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -495 -$49 16¢ $-80 -$31 06-25 00:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -61 -$48 83¢ $-51 -$3 06-25 00:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +94 $48 45¢ $43 -$5 10-25 08:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +40 $24 66¢ $26 +$3 10-18 10:07
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -578 -$94 4¢ $-25 +$70 06-12 02:55
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +40 $24 50¢ $20 -$4 10-25 09:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +30 $18 60¢ $18 +$0 10-20 01:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +64 $32 26¢ $17 -$15 10-20 12:25
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +20 $16 82¢ $16 $0 10-17 04:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +45 -$2 36¢ $16 +$18 10-25 09:07
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -15 -$39 98¢ $-15 +$25 08-22 03:16
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -14 -$14 100¢ $-14 -$1 09-19 03:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 -$9 88¢ $10 +$19 10-17 07:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +15 $10 66¢ $10 $0 10-25 04:06
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027 Yes +34 $18 22¢ $8 -$11 10-15 01:22
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +7 $4 88¢ $6 +$3 09-28 12:26
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes -74 -$9 8¢ $-6 +$4 08-09 02:39
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +68 $12 8¢ $5 -$7 09-26 07:48
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -93 -$7 3¢ $-3 +$4 08-09 12:54
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -104 -$10 3¢ $-3 +$7 05-10 02:53
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -184 $5 2¢ $-3 -$8 09-15 18:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -4 $35 43¢ $-2 -$37 10-21 00:54
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -48 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 06-09 10:19
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -51 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 06-09 10:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -25 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 06-06 12:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +25 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 10-18 08:01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +10 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 10-17 04:05