Realized P&L
+$31.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
227
Trades
5,885
lifetime
Volume
$2.91M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$494
Open exposure
$106
1 position
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-25 13:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Politics
69%
34%
+$1,835
Crypto
21%
100%
+$29,835
Other
7%
37%
-$1,998
Tech
4%
61%
+$1,678
Sports
0%
0%
-$262
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | +114 | $45 | 93¢ | $106 | +$61 | 06-19 19:10 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 316 | $542.6K | 848,115 | 541,255 | +306,860 | No | +$25,349 | 06-04 00:34 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1,257 | $352.4K | 988,135 | 1,061,459 | -73,324 | No | -$4,392 | 06-01 03:50 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 100 | $187.8K | 125,736 | 125,736 | +0 | Yes | +$809 | 06-08 18:07 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 106 | $179.3K | 328,901 | 190,649 | +138,252 | Yes | +$11,051 | 06-11 18:09 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 288 | $131.2K | 287,992 | 294,531 | -6,539 | No | -$2,151 | 05-27 04:22 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | 68 | $118.5K | 64,877 | 62,877 | +2,000 | No | +$6,089 | 05-26 02:01 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 320 | $99.7K | 448,223 | 428,223 | +20,000 | Yes | -$8,160 | 06-16 18:23 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 48 | $74.1K | 84,113 | 58,866 | +25,247 | No | +$5,205 | 06-24 17:35 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | 68 | $68.7K | 78,438 | 71,438 | +7,000 | No | -$2,739 | 05-23 15:47 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 64 | $64.1K | 127,832 | 127,832 | +0 | Yes | +$4,745 | 06-11 18:11 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 163 | $54.8K | 143,938 | 139,314 | +4,624 | No | -$5,997 | 06-24 18:17 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 42 | $53.4K | 29,757 | 29,757 | +0 | Yes | +$4,486 | 06-01 12:07 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | 83 | $45.3K | 58,359 | 36,341 | +22,018 | No | -$1,560 | 06-01 03:51 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 3 | $41.2K | 39,020 | 4,020 | +35,000 | No | +$357 | 06-08 04:30 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 89 | $40.0K | 43,713 | 39,673 | +4,040 | No | +$4,166 | 06-01 00:54 |
| will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989 | 6 | $38.2K | 38,285 | 0 | +38,285 | Yes | +$105 | 06-09 18:29 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 18 | $36.5K | 32,985 | 19,461 | +13,524 | No | +$301 | 06-01 03:54 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475 | 48 | $36.2K | 32,836 | 32,836 | +0 | No | +$2,141 | 06-19 15:22 |
| will trump restart project freedom by june 30 | 40 | $34.2K | 39,772 | 30,098 | +9,673 | Yes | -$52 | 06-11 01:08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 18 | $33.2K | 58,516 | 58,516 | +0 | open | — | 06-11 17:30 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 15 687 | 26 | $31.5K | 23,885 | 23,885 | +0 | No | +$1,423 | 06-10 15:50 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 108 | $25.5K | 160,100 | 155,105 | +4,995 | No | -$2,880 | 06-06 23:56 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 27 | $21.7K | 128,011 | 123,508 | +4,503 | No | +$577 | 05-22 08:57 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | 1 | $21.2K | 21,225 | 0 | +21,225 | No | +$42 | 05-26 01:30 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31? | 3 | $21.0K | 21,064 | 0 | +21,064 | Yes | +$43 | 05-28 17:19 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 11 | $20.7K | 13,556 | 13,556 | +0 | No | +$466 | 06-16 17:12 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | 140 | $20.4K | 50,510 | 47,434 | +3,076 | Yes | -$1,025 | 06-21 06:51 |
| will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054 | 47 | $18.8K | 20,401 | 20,401 | +0 | Yes | +$3,157 | 06-17 22:11 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | 50 | $17.8K | 41,339 | 37,866 | +3,472 | No | -$2,192 | 05-21 18:44 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026 | 20 | $17.4K | 15,000 | 15,000 | +0 | Yes | -$238 | 06-11 08:16 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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