Rundown-Messenger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

132

Trades

2,675

lifetime

Volume

$746.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$279

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-01 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

59% 61% +$2,790

Politics

38% 72% -$2,770

Tech

3% 62% +$3,554

Crypto

0% 50% -$319

Sports

0% 0% -$200

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$87.0K	44,500	44,500	+0	No	+$1,827	05-15 04:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	15	$63.1K	33,000	33,000	+0	No	+$1,545	05-25 22:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$52.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$7,570	05-01 09:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	78	$24.7K	16,558	16,000	+558	Yes	+$3,251	04-12 19:13
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	68	$21.5K	11,395	12,000	-605	Yes	+$1,841	02-01 14:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	48	$19.9K	14,000	13,791	+209	Yes	-$335	02-20 16:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	4	$19.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$4	01-07 15:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$19.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$680	05-24 07:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	9	$17.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$100	05-29 18:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	53	$17.0K	10,100	10,100	+0	Yes	+$1	02-01 17:04
Will the US strike Somalia next?	94	$17.0K	8,847	8,857	-10	Yes	+$256	01-29 20:24
Will the US strike Somalia next?	21	$16.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$3,132	02-04 17:32
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	17	$13.9K	15,177	292	+14,885	No	+$1,508	01-30 20:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	52	$13.0K	13,300	3,000	+10,300	No	+$769	01-30 20:36
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	18	$12.2K	9,100	4,100	+5,000	No	+$851	05-31 11:12
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	33	$11.1K	12,062	3,031	+9,031	No	+$1,751	01-30 20:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	114	$10.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	+$765	05-24 08:02
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	16	$9.4K	5,360	4,568	+792	No	+$354	02-20 20:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	12	$9.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$3,257	05-31 18:07
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$9.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$760	02-20 16:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$9.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$910	01-30 19:22
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	16	$8.9K	10,247	247	+10,000	No	+$1,505	05-29 16:20
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	50	$8.7K	11,926	0	+11,926	Yes	+$3,243	01-25 10:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	1	$8.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$8,252	05-23 15:40
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	26	$8.0K	6,660	1,853	+4,807	Yes	+$174	04-09 02:13
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	40	$7.9K	6,699	4,100	+2,600	No	+$491	06-01 16:42
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	22	$7.8K	5,150	3,150	+2,000	No	+$208	01-30 19:28
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	7	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$266	01-30 19:30
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	7	$7.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$690	02-20 17:46
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	15	$7.5K	3,916	4,000	-83	No	+$72	01-07 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 16:42:28	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1,932	98¢	$1,884	0xc122a3…
06-01 12:32:39	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xfeed39…
06-01 11:47:58	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0x6570b9…
05-31 18:07:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,643	2¢	$56	0xdc085d…
05-31 18:05:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,357	2¢	$52	0xe5bfe6…
05-31 11:12:21	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	4,000	99¢	$3,941	0x87756b…
05-30 07:42:14	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	303	44¢	$133	0xd7f51a…
05-30 07:41:18	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0x05ae64…
05-30 07:38:23	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	74	46¢	$34	0x78b5df…
05-29 18:51:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	7,208	89¢	$6,415	0x1575af…
05-29 18:51:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	70	89¢	$62	0x5012f3…
05-29 18:51:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x677207…
05-29 18:50:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	155	89¢	$138	0x9f36b4…
05-29 18:49:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0xf42ec0…
05-29 18:49:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	2,005	89¢	$1,784	0xb4b86b…
05-29 18:49:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	500	89¢	$445	0xef52f8…
05-29 18:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x62db23…
05-29 18:06:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xf82159…
05-29 18:06:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	147	51¢	$74	0x4a479d…
05-29 16:20:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,425	85¢	$1,212	0xdf4061…
05-29 16:06:12	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	489	85¢	$416	0x634c34…
05-29 16:02:57	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	85	85¢	$73	0x780886…
05-29 14:55:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	10,000	90¢	$9,000	0x72530b…
05-29 09:19:19	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0xf5883c…
05-29 09:17:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xbd875f…
05-29 09:17:45	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x0107f0…
05-29 09:04:04	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x514e67…
05-29 07:10:03	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x3c1ede…
05-29 06:08:27	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xa9d5a8…
05-29 02:54:56	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xe6fc8c…
05-29 02:44:21	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0xa33b68…
05-28 20:15:09	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x63808d…
05-28 19:33:47	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd2731b…
05-28 19:32:37	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0x249a31…
05-28 18:55:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	126	93¢	$117	0x449015…
05-28 18:31:36	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x975b45…
05-28 18:22:41	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	34	61¢	$20	0xdefb80…
05-28 18:16:19	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x7cabd1…
05-28 18:01:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0xccb757…
05-28 18:00:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	897	39¢	$350	0x29098d…
05-28 18:00:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xc478d5…
05-28 17:56:52	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x343838…
05-28 17:45:01	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0xf7f11a…
05-28 17:45:00	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	22	61¢	$14	0x9aa5f3…
05-28 17:43:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0x3bd51a…
05-28 17:39:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd69727…
05-28 17:39:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xeddc26…
05-28 17:36:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	572	39¢	$223	0xdc0c68…
05-28 17:35:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x51a32d…
05-28 17:31:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb189e4…
05-28 17:28:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,956	80¢	$1,563	0x659518…
05-28 17:28:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,044	80¢	$834	0x36b00a…
05-28 17:26:56	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x9b5f74…
05-28 17:26:27	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0x9ad1f3…
05-28 17:21:50	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	SELL	60	61¢	$37	0x778960…
05-28 17:00:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	39¢	$26	0x96609b…
05-28 16:57:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0x3c5e53…
05-28 16:46:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,447	39¢	$1,344	0x7610b6…
05-28 16:41:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	5,000	59¢	$2,936	0x560dd1…
05-28 14:16:15	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x5d3791…
05-28 13:38:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5,000	87¢	$4,350	0x8b8dda…
05-28 08:05:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xf62a7f…
05-28 08:05:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xbb7e21…
05-28 08:05:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xac72b0…
05-28 08:05:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9c8ae9…
05-28 07:05:41	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x202fea…
05-28 07:04:33	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	664	87¢	$578	0x601762…
05-27 19:04:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	185	87¢	$161	0xbf172a…
05-27 19:04:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	815	87¢	$709	0xfbd405…
05-27 17:11:47	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0xfd9961…
05-27 17:09:01	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	411	45¢	$185	0x88dfef…
05-27 15:55:26	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0xf338e9…
05-27 15:51:50	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	229	70¢	$160	0xb8ede3…
05-27 14:17:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x52a334…
05-27 14:10:15	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x1a264c…
05-27 14:08:32	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x409fdb…
05-27 13:30:54	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xe6eb53…
05-27 13:29:11	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	151	77¢	$116	0xd9ceb7…
05-27 13:27:14	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xbe727d…
05-27 13:26:09	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	62	88¢	$55	0x4aa3bb…
05-27 13:10:45	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x9f8efe…
05-27 13:10:43	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xa52fdd…
05-27 12:57:24	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	121	70¢	$85	0x90daf7…
05-27 12:56:19	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x85b99c…
05-27 12:54:25	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x5196cf…
05-27 12:53:27	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x784ade…
05-27 12:49:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	519	86¢	$446	0xb3bae1…
05-27 12:48:07	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,836	0x252b2a…
05-27 12:45:26	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,481	86¢	$1,273	0xcfe53f…
05-27 12:44:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x3cbd5d…
05-27 12:44:11	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,369	90¢	$1,232	0x8eaf94…
05-27 12:43:59	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$833	0x123af6…
05-27 12:43:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,673	81¢	$1,355	0x00ec27…
05-27 12:41:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x97ecd7…
05-27 12:41:49	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x5e7dea…
05-27 12:41:28	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x58b931…
05-27 12:41:07	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	631	89¢	$563	0xc72029…
05-27 12:40:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	389	79¢	$309	0x87a552…
05-27 12:39:45	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,018	37¢	$374	0x4b2efb…
05-27 12:35:43	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,039	50¢	$524	0xd83e05…