Realized P&L
-$479
Unrealized P&L
-$245
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
14
Trades
2,652
lifetime
Volume
$96.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$409
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-21 16:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
51% 56% $-301
Politics
37% 0% $-9
Tech
6%
Crypto
3%
Sports
2% 25% $-169
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +150 $99 68¢ $101 +$2 07-17 12:40
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +106 $79 86¢ $91 +$12 07-14 18:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +170 $74 46¢ $79 +$5 06-24 09:29
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +202 $100 30¢ $60 $-41 07-17 05:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +50 $39 86¢ $43 +$4 06-24 21:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $30 22¢ $22 $-8 06-26 09:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +600 $232 $7 $-225 07-02 14:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -91 $-6 $-4 +$2 06-08 12:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -100 $-6 $-3 +$3 05-28 17:32