Alert-Charlatan 0x5de72a…b1540c
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
734
Trades
4,458
lifetime
Volume
$145.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$1.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-31 17:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
52% 51% -$2,848
Politics
35% 50% -$1,006
Tech
8% 73% +$509
Sports
3% 40% +$19
Crypto
3% 50% -$251
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $162 82¢ $165 +$3 09-24 20:40
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +540 $122 30¢ $159 +$37 10-28 09:13
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +300 $157 50¢ $152 -$5 10-30 12:10
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +300 $170 43¢ $130 -$40 10-22 16:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +150 $104 74¢ $112 +$8 09-10 06:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -200 -$197 54¢ $-107 +$90 10-23 17:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $113 68¢ $102 -$11 10-31 16:04
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +100 $74 74¢ $74 +$0 10-22 19:11
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $74 72¢ $72 -$2 09-25 07:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $74 70¢ $70 -$4 09-26 21:34
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +50 $39 94¢ $47 +$8 10-16 10:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +150 $51 29¢ $43 -$8 10-31 12:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +50 $38 82¢ $41 +$3 10-17 10:39
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +100 $36 36¢ $36 +$0 10-20 21:42
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +50 $38 60¢ $30 -$8 10-21 16:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +50 $31 58¢ $29 -$2 10-30 08:30
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +50 $30 55¢ $27 -$3 10-11 07:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +40 $13 34¢ $13 +$0 10-20 22:25
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +30 $12 44¢ $13 +$1 10-25 13:08
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +20 $13 64¢ $13 +$0 10-31 17:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $14 30¢ $12 -$2 10-21 19:14
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $0 10-21 20:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +200 $13 4¢ $8 -$5 09-10 23:26
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $9 40¢ $8 -$1 10-22 19:22
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? Yes +40 $17 18¢ $7 -$10 09-17 11:58
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 $0 10-24 08:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $21 15¢ $6 -$15 10-23 19:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +100 $8 4¢ $4 -$4 10-21 15:38
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $16 4¢ $4 -$12 07-23 16:48
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 Yes +20 $7 20¢ $4 -$3 08-13 18:45