Realized P&L
-$479
Unrealized P&L
+$151
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
14
Trades
1,910
lifetime
Volume
$70.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$1.25K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-11 09:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
53% 56% $-301
Politics
37% 0% $-9
Crypto
4%
Tech
4%
Sports
2% 25% $-169
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +250 $190 94¢ $234 +$44 06-03 20:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +250 $138 76¢ $191 +$53 06-02 21:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-130 85¢ $-170 $-40 05-29 18:48
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +500 $169 28¢ $138 $-31 06-07 06:16
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -100 $-95 90¢ $-90 +$4 06-02 19:49
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +100 $85 84¢ $84 $-2 06-10 14:54
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +100 $81 82¢ $82 +$1 06-02 22:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +70 $59 84¢ $59 +$0 06-11 09:45
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? No +200 $48 26¢ $51 +$3 06-01 07:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +63 $-16 76¢ $48 +$64 06-10 12:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -170 $-119 24¢ $-40 +$79 05-28 14:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +330 $64 10¢ $31 $-33 06-05 21:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +100 $30 20¢ $20 $-10 06-05 20:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -91 $-6 $-6 +$0 06-08 12:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -100 $-6 $-5 +$1 05-28 17:32
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? Yes -517 $-4 $-1 +$2 05-30 14:24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? Yes -47 $-15 $-1 +$14 05-30 16:03
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 09:45
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes -19 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-30 14:23