Realized P&L
-$479
Unrealized P&L
-$76
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
14
Trades
2,429
lifetime
Volume
$88.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$924
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-01 15:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
52% 56% $-301
Politics
37% 0% $-9
Tech
7%
Crypto
3%
Sports
2% 25% $-169
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +400 $390 100¢ $399 +$9 06-30 11:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +450 $190 30¢ $133 $-58 07-01 20:19
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +500 $169 22¢ $113 $-56 06-07 06:16
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +170 $74 39¢ $66 $-8 06-24 09:29
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +73 $54 90¢ $65 +$11 07-01 15:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $43 86¢ $43 +$0 06-27 21:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +50 $39 82¢ $41 +$2 06-24 21:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $30 30¢ $30 $-0 06-26 09:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +20 $6 86¢ $17 +$11 06-25 22:48
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-18 100¢ $-9 +$8 06-30 07:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -100 $-6 $-4 +$3 05-28 17:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -91 $-6 $-3 +$3 06-08 12:11
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 09:45