Realized P&L
+$1000
Unrealized P&L
-$919
Hit rate
50.5%
Resolved
136
Trades
249
lifetime
Volume
$47.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$191
Open exposure
$3.43K
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-29 03:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Sports
41% 39% +$1,032
Other
39% 38% +$1,723
Politics
20% 41% -$1,897
Tech
1% 100% +$141
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +502 $400 97¢ $486 +$86 04-29 11:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +588 $300 68¢ $397 +$97 04-29 09:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +429 $300 80¢ $345 +$45 05-04 01:37
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 Yes +1,828 $500 18¢ $338 -$162 07-27 10:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,864 $500 16¢ $304 -$196 05-04 03:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +775 $300 39¢ $303 +$3 04-29 10:36
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +260 $200 91¢ $236 +$36 04-30 00:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +241 $200 96¢ $232 +$32 05-01 04:52
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,922 $400 5¢ $202 -$198 05-04 03:40
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $350 7¢ $161 -$189 08-01 11:02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +943 $200 16¢ $151 -$49 05-04 03:39
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +769 $200 18¢ $135 -$65 07-14 08:26
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,429 $100 4¢ $60 -$40 08-31 02:33
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,564 $100 2¢ $42 -$58 08-31 02:33
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,000 $100 4¢ $38 -$62 08-01 11:02
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +415 $200 0¢ $1 -$199 04-29 04:16