Muffled-Architect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$639

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-31 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$1

Politics

46% 100% +$88

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	05-23 03:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-27 19:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-29 02:10
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	05-31 19:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	4	$1.1K	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	05-16 16:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$1.1K	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	05-14 11:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,105	0	+1,105	open	—	05-12 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$88	05-07 15:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	1	$1.0K	1,013	0	+1,013	open	—	05-04 14:07
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?	1	$1.0K	1,012	0	+1,012	open	—	05-01 04:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	04-29 20:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	2	$1.0K	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	04-29 15:35
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 27?	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	04-27 08:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	1	$902	903	0	+903	open	—	04-28 14:18
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 5?	1	$854	855	0	+855	Yes	+$1	05-05 13:50
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 28?	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-28 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 19:25:54	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,130	99¢	$1,119	0x916132…
05-29 02:10:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	87¢	$953	0x3f669b…
05-28 10:09:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	790	90¢	$711	0x084385…
05-28 10:08:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9576ed…
05-28 10:08:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x4f1f0b…
05-27 19:26:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	86¢	$1,032	0x17bd15…
05-27 17:23:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	86¢	$1,032	0xb074e8…
05-23 03:20:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,130	100¢	$1,128	0x3da3a0…
05-20 14:15:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,130	98¢	$1,106	0x226fe1…
05-16 16:12:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x6226ff…
05-16 16:12:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xc38791…
05-16 15:59:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0xb7afe6…
05-16 15:59:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2ec319…
05-14 11:07:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x39c143…
05-14 11:06:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc781ab…
05-14 11:05:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	402	99¢	$400	0x9de4c1…
05-14 10:58:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	392	99¢	$389	0x86f2b2…
05-14 10:54:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0x2e4bc9…
05-12 17:39:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,105	100¢	$1,101	0xad28c3…
05-07 15:59:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	92¢	$1,012	0x06c2ab…
05-05 13:50:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	855	100¢	$854	0x5391a9…
05-04 14:07:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	No	BUY	1,013	100¢	$1,012	0x561749…
05-01 04:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	1,012	100¢	$1,011	0xaf34e8…
04-29 20:53:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,008	0x662e80…
04-29 15:35:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	908	100¢	$907	0x69fd73…
04-29 15:32:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcb72f0…
04-28 14:18:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	BUY	903	100¢	$902	0x68ac61…
04-28 14:17:26	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 28?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x4820b0…
04-27 08:46:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,006	100¢	$1,005	0x481aa9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd12a…2e29	14	$15.2K	46	06-01 16:07
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	14	$3.32K	101	06-01 13:46
Flimsy-Cry-Typeface 0x1233…9237	12	$14.9K	20	06-01 16:07
Idle-Rainstorm 0x7fc6…7306	12	$1.37K	44	06-03 18:52
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	11	$91.6K	1,277	06-01 00:34
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	10	$62.5K	219	06-04 00:20
Creepy-Platter 0x3d36…6a0e	10	$12.8K	18	06-01 16:08
Weepy-Impression 0xfd20…13e2	9	$11.6K	14	05-31 19:25