Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$979
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$78
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-11 15:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
51% 25% +$8
Politics
42% 33% $-3
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +12 $9 78¢ $9 +$1 06-03 09:33
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 58¢ $6 $-1 06-02 09:42
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$1 05-30 09:23
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -10 $-5 53¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 12:06
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 11:42
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 11:42
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 11:42
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-11 15:17
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-11 13:56
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 $-0 06-11 15:35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 06-11 14:06
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +12 $4 30¢ $4 $-0 06-10 09:48
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +5 $4 66¢ $3 $-0 06-11 14:18
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 06-10 17:41
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +6 $3 54¢ $3 +$0 06-10 18:26
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +5 $3 47¢ $2 $-0 06-10 18:12
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +5 $3 46¢ $2 $-1 06-05 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $3 18¢ $2 $-1 06-05 09:32
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -6 $-2 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-11 01:18
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes -8 $-2 14¢ $-1 +$1 06-10 05:45