Simple-Retouching — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,425

lifetime

Volume

$31.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-28 09:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% — —

Other

14% — —

Crypto

8% 50% +$6

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	17	$5.5K	5,682	4,379	+1,303	open	—	03-10 12:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-28 20:51
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$1.9K	1,645	1,645	+0	open	—	03-29 21:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.8K	1,608	1,608	+0	open	—	03-31 21:45
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	3	$1.5K	2,736	0	+2,736	open	—	02-19 21:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	5	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-08 01:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$1.3K	758	758	+0	open	—	04-28 20:40
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$1.2K	1,765	0	+1,765	open	—	02-19 21:07
iran strike on us military by february 28	4	$1.0K	1,990	0	+1,990	open	—	02-28 23:22
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	82	$1000	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	03-31 19:44
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	2	$979	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	02-08 00:49
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	36	$525	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	03-08 16:59
will israel strike gaza on january 9 2026	2	$506	348	348	+0	open	—	01-10 00:16
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	1	$500	1,453	0	+1,453	open	—	03-10 13:06
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$500	972	0	+972	open	—	02-19 21:19
us strike on nigeria by february 28 2026	1	$500	627	0	+627	open	—	02-09 14:10
will israel or the us target tehran 812	1	$500	572	0	+572	open	—	02-12 06:53
iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	11	$476	850	0	+850	open	—	02-28 07:00
iran strike on israel by february 28	7	$472	674	0	+674	open	—	02-19 10:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$400	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-02 13:45
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	2	$400	881	0	+881	open	—	02-01 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$400	994	0	+994	open	—	05-17 21:27
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	5	$384	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	03-02 07:00
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 15 2026	1	$344	0	400	-400	open	—	01-05 10:43
btc updown 5m 1773141900	6	$320	1,917	0	+1,917	open	—	03-10 11:29
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	31	$300	938	0	+938	open	—	05-03 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$300	800	0	+800	open	—	05-17 21:18
will iran strike cyprus in march	8	$299	2,990	0	+2,990	open	—	03-09 20:46
btc updown 5m 1773144900	3	$297	509	0	+509	open	—	03-10 12:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$226	904	0	+904	open	—	03-09 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 09:50:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x1c7c45…
05-28 09:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xe97e5d…
05-17 21:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5b3c1e…
05-17 21:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x62f3fb…
05-17 21:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xad7d36…
05-17 21:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xafe8e6…
05-17 21:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	268	37¢	$100	0xaeddf2…
05-17 21:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xb32532…
05-17 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x2297bf…
05-17 00:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x8f608f…
05-16 08:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0xe1b377…
05-15 21:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x663807…
05-14 20:46:27	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,944	3¢	$100	0xa95bc8…
05-13 09:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xb67af4…
05-12 11:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x47ad2c…
05-03 15:34:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x42f059…
05-03 15:18:58	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x21c0fc…
05-03 15:17:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd7894f…
05-03 15:16:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xc132bf…
05-03 15:15:44	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x58e300…
05-03 15:06:28	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x0bd3a3…
05-03 15:05:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x52d23c…
05-03 15:04:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x2e5802…
05-03 14:52:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xd946ae…
05-03 14:51:02	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	735	32¢	$235	0xb39cd6…
05-03 14:38:52	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x76c909…
05-03 14:38:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xe2d272…
05-03 14:15:54	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe183e8…
05-03 13:10:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xae1138…
05-03 12:27:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x248764…
05-03 12:19:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xb81bc4…
05-03 12:19:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xa5a7f6…
05-03 12:17:26	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x3dc68b…
05-03 12:11:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x68fccb…
05-03 12:08:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0f3ef8…
05-03 12:06:54	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9a8b81…
05-03 11:45:12	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd1127b…
05-03 11:43:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1743c1…
05-03 11:31:52	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xcac538…
05-03 11:15:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd90c58…
05-03 10:15:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xa0f1c3…
05-03 09:41:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x24432c…
05-03 09:02:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x89b571…
05-03 08:56:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x076470…
05-03 08:44:34	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x19bf85…
05-03 00:02:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xc88e0f…
05-02 13:45:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	20¢	$400	0xcc025d…
04-28 20:51:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	2,000	97¢	$1,946	0x0af2a6…
04-28 20:40:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	758	100¢	$754	0x17177b…
04-21 08:10:46	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xe934ae…
04-21 08:04:00	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x56ca18…
04-21 08:02:08	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9ec432…
04-21 08:00:32	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4bc89d…
04-21 08:00:08	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x524b25…
04-21 07:54:56	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xba59ce…
04-21 07:54:48	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x1ed74d…
04-21 07:54:40	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xe2a1f7…
04-21 07:52:50	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x56804e…
04-21 07:50:36	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x8fe2fa…
04-21 07:19:54	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x23004b…
04-21 00:46:38	highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 28c	No	BUY	195	51¢	$99	0x21a22e…
04-20 21:02:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 28c	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbbfa9e…
04-20 21:00:12	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xc8ff5e…
04-20 20:53:18	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xa3b811…
04-20 20:53:18	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x21fe64…
04-16 21:36:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x00d268…
04-15 21:30:16	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x6b5221…
04-15 21:27:48	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x145ebf…
04-14 14:19:19	cs2 ruby1 pha 2026 04 14	ex-RUBY	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6c2966…
04-14 14:18:31	dota2 liquid mouz 2026 04 14	Team Liquid	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa0d31d…
04-14 11:32:55	cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4e9259…
04-14 07:05:09	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 mod	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x33d7f0…
04-05 17:00:09	efa whu lee 2026 04 04 whu	Yes	SELL	116	8¢	$9	0x0d3393…
04-05 16:58:47	efa whu lee 2026 04 04 whu	No	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0x8450f9…
04-05 16:20:35	efa whu lee 2026 04 04 whu	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x86469c…
03-31 21:45:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,608	78¢	$1,253	0x3dcc6c…
03-31 19:44:11	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,042	2¢	$276	0xda6b65…
03-31 18:22:45	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	950	2¢	$24	0x6bce7c…
03-31 18:16:15	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xbd4c2e…
03-31 18:16:15	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x3f2d76…
03-31 18:15:41	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0xce9d25…
03-31 18:15:35	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xa5aaf8…
03-31 18:14:03	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0xe2b322…
03-31 18:07:11	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x8dfd46…
03-31 18:06:49	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xf817f1…
03-31 18:06:47	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x25703d…
03-31 18:06:43	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$3	0x9a5927…
03-31 18:06:41	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xdde7e0…
03-31 18:06:23	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$1	0x75cde4…
03-31 18:06:05	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0xde7529…
03-31 18:06:05	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x9fe12c…
03-31 18:05:23	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xc8caaa…
03-31 18:05:15	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf52a03…
03-31 18:05:03	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x6d9ff4…
03-31 18:04:47	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x32b5f0…
03-31 18:04:37	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x87f328…
03-31 18:03:15	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xfd3227…
03-31 18:03:15	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x9d6608…
03-31 18:02:29	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x867ffc…
03-31 18:02:03	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xb089e1…