Realized P&L
+$537
Unrealized P&L
+$9.29K
Hit rate
99.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
7,557
lifetime
Volume
$12.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.70K
Open exposure
$379.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 06-30 18:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
46% 57% +$495
Politics
33% 100% +$42
Crypto
15%
Tech
5%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 507 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +70,000 $67,750 100¢ $69.9K +$2,180 06-13 07:25
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +69,799 $68,750 100¢ $69.7K +$979 06-15 07:32
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +63,252 $61,638 100¢ $63.2K +$1,519 06-20 12:37
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +47,414 $46,807 100¢ $47.3K +$465 06-30 06:10
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +41,493 $40,473 100¢ $41.5K +$979 06-26 22:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +33,064 $32,397 100¢ $33.0K +$584 06-30 02:44
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? No +32,296 $31,672 100¢ $32.2K +$560 06-30 12:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -6,110 $-6,385 100¢ $-6104 +$281 06-17 21:05
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +3,943 $3,828 99¢ $3.9K +$83 06-29 23:10
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +3,895 $2,877 100¢ $3.9K +$1,014 06-30 05:10
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +3,289 $3,218 100¢ $3.3K +$68 06-06 11:45
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? No -2,527 $-2,599 100¢ $-2522 +$77 06-22 15:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +1,496 $998 100¢ $1.5K +$497 06-25 13:13
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +1,026 $1,016 99¢ $1.0K +$2 06-30 18:10
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +690 $684 100¢ $688 +$4 06-29 23:10