Stylish-Instrument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$498

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

294

Trades

13,301

lifetime

Volume

$19.0M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.43K

Open exposure

$200.8K

8 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-28 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

48% 84% -$27,331

Politics

31% 79% +$127,318

Crypto

11% 62% +$2,820

Sports

7% 40% -$1,048

Tech

4% 100% +$5,155

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+50,000	$49,560	100¢	$49.9K	+$365	10-24 02:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	No	+50,000	$49,179	100¢	$49.8K	+$621	10-14 14:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+29,033	$28,337	98¢	$28.3K	-$15	10-26 06:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+22,500	$22,040	97¢	$21.9K	-$113	10-26 04:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+21,622	$20,714	96¢	$20.8K	+$97	10-24 03:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+20,000	$19,190	94¢	$18.7K	-$490	10-24 03:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	+11,252	$11,202	100¢	$11.2K	+$33	10-26 05:35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+58	$56	97¢	$56	+$0	10-28 16:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	23	$1.86M	933,423	933,423	+0	No	+$2,770	06-04 00:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	265	$904.2K	467,442	467,442	+0	No	+$1,478	06-02 16:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	186	$815.0K	541,279	550,520	-9,241	No	+$147,102	05-24 19:42
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	157	$567.7K	464,238	149,011	+315,227	No	+$22,377	06-01 01:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	454	$505.4K	356,009	156,009	+200,000	Yes	+$2,127	06-14 07:11
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	294	$490.1K	248,009	248,009	+0	No	+$785	06-05 18:48
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	241	$480.8K	396,130	97,807	+298,322	No	+$5,278	06-01 02:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	164	$450.0K	274,859	197,496	+77,362	No	-$11,919	05-31 05:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	98	$445.3K	223,506	224,989	-1,483	No	+$1,884	06-15 07:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	160	$421.7K	196,367	232,928	-36,561	No	+$2,751	05-22 08:24
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	89	$410.9K	210,000	210,000	+0	No	+$7,205	06-18 20:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$398.9K	300,000	100,000	+200,000	No	+$700	07-16 14:24
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	364	$322.9K	262,878	62,878	+200,000	Yes	+$1,615	06-15 08:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	84	$263.2K	133,290	133,290	+0	No	+$1,400	05-22 11:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	117	$231.9K	118,235	118,235	+0	No	+$498	06-17 21:05
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	215	$223.5K	217,415	11,101	+206,315	No	+$4,977	06-01 02:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	82	$221.2K	130,524	130,524	+0	Yes	-$7,046	06-14 23:42
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	20	$217.4K	157,851	60,000	+97,851	Yes	+$136	05-03 14:16
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	218	$210.1K	108,453	104,553	+3,900	No	+$1,018	06-30 05:10
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	109	$201.4K	104,025	104,025	+0	No	-$654	07-07 03:10
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	128	$200.0K	140,826	60,629	+80,197	No	+$363	06-15 14:48
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	258	$196.9K	100,500	100,500	+0	No	+$888	07-05 22:02
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	90	$187.8K	104,242	85,180	+19,062	No	+$444	05-31 14:04
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	37	$185.8K	93,084	93,084	-0	No	+$105	06-15 09:25
Netanyahu out by June 30?	116	$174.4K	123,865	53,865	+70,000	No	+$1,051	06-15 07:32
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	102	$171.0K	86,598	86,598	+0	No	+$1,196	05-21 16:39
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	48	$162.7K	82,640	82,640	+0	No	+$1,664	06-29 19:01
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	48	$158.5K	157,743	1,637	+156,106	No	+$905	06-12 17:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	110	$155.6K	137,568	20,000	+117,568	No	+$1,945	04-30 02:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	55	$150.6K	77,140	75,644	+1,496	No	+$498	06-25 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:04:35	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x5c9227…
10-26 06:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	163	98¢	$159	0x500043…
10-26 05:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x94b527…
10-26 05:35:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1c77f0…
10-26 05:10:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x003f3b…
10-26 04:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xd975b0…
10-26 04:34:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	190	98¢	$186	0xfd4439…
10-26 04:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x356e27…
10-26 03:50:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x104762…
10-26 03:50:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcbfa28…
10-26 03:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	363	98¢	$354	0xff0f8d…
10-26 03:10:23	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xe6ad8f…
10-26 03:01:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa2b848…
10-26 03:00:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0de945…
10-26 02:42:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x928339…
10-26 02:40:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x507aa3…
10-26 02:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x16bf2c…
10-26 02:06:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcfa955…
10-26 02:00:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfae346…
10-26 01:40:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	270	98¢	$265	0xcd1274…
10-26 01:40:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x4cf514…
10-26 01:10:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x1d5dca…
10-26 01:10:23	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x403cd9…
10-26 00:40:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x42cb9f…
10-26 00:40:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x731dcd…
10-26 00:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xe924aa…
10-26 00:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xd60344…
10-25 23:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x9c8f44…
10-25 23:40:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xc491c0…
10-25 23:40:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x493ee8…
10-25 23:29:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x5e41fc…
10-25 23:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x489b76…
10-25 23:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x476001…
10-25 22:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x297e3d…
10-25 22:40:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x146e6b…
10-25 22:10:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x33ef91…
10-25 22:10:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x688097…
10-25 21:40:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x3175cc…
10-25 21:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xfeecb1…
10-25 21:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xfe3f0f…
10-25 21:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xec1c5e…
10-25 20:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x78fd8b…
10-25 20:40:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x1a2e25…
10-25 20:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x946ed6…
10-25 20:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xbdcc14…
10-25 19:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x7d4fc4…
10-25 19:40:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xa9f10c…
10-25 19:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x617334…
10-25 19:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x34821c…
10-25 18:40:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x71f6f0…
10-25 18:40:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x2cf7f7…
10-25 18:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xfb1706…
10-25 18:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x410b51…
10-25 17:40:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xe716cb…
10-25 17:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x8d6ea3…
10-25 17:10:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x745406…
10-25 17:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x439342…
10-25 16:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x8c5609…
10-25 16:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x4040ea…
10-25 16:10:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x4519a3…
10-25 16:10:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x96376d…
10-25 15:40:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x953cbb…
10-25 15:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xbc91e9…
10-25 15:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x7bd9c9…
10-25 15:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x36c331…
10-25 14:40:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x292ed0…
10-25 14:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xf9ca6c…
10-25 14:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x5bee28…
10-25 14:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x18410d…
10-25 13:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x3fd76e…
10-25 13:40:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xfcf5f8…
10-25 13:10:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x65c496…
10-25 13:10:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x09e105…
10-25 12:40:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x02a5a8…
10-25 12:40:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x4e6515…
10-25 12:10:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x559ff6…
10-25 12:10:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x7cb816…
10-25 11:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xb67695…
10-25 11:40:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xead68c…
10-25 11:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x596436…
10-25 11:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x6c05c0…
10-25 10:40:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xb6b611…
10-25 10:40:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x919237…
10-25 10:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x59d306…
10-25 10:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x00e8ca…
10-25 09:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0xa3111f…
10-25 09:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xd7fc9f…
10-25 09:10:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0xae3113…
10-25 09:10:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xae447b…
10-25 08:40:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x359ee7…
10-25 08:40:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x3e505f…
10-25 08:10:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x10fb6b…
10-25 08:10:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xb7b73b…
10-25 07:40:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x0a4d76…
10-25 07:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x350be6…
10-25 07:33:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x358c7e…
10-25 07:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0xc518c7…
10-25 07:10:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x05dd3f…
10-25 06:40:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x52295b…
10-25 06:40:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x8a0b9a…