Realized P&L
-$472
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
34.1%
Resolved
44
Trades
3,710
lifetime
Volume
$71.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$821
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
50% 24% $-286
Politics
25% 100% +$33
Crypto
12%
Sports
9% 24% $-220
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +277 $200 74¢ $207 +$7 06-08 04:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -163 $-110 70¢ $-113 $-4 07-11 17:04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +103 $54 88¢ $90 +$36 07-18 04:26
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +129 $80 64¢ $82 +$2 07-11 00:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +200 $90 34¢ $69 $-21 07-12 02:53
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -93 $-48 64¢ $-59 $-11 05-30 05:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -67 $-54 88¢ $-58 $-4 06-12 07:18
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +49 $27 85¢ $42 +$15 07-11 15:28
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +38 $42 94¢ $36 $-6 07-09 16:54
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-27 74¢ $-26 +$1 06-16 00:46
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -30 $-22 70¢ $-21 +$1 06-16 00:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +810 $59 $8 $-51 07-12 06:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +20 $2 29¢ $6 +$4 07-07 07:40
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -18 $-8 22¢ $-4 +$4 06-16 00:46