Creative-Pasta 0x2eae10…d4a25f
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$472
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
34.1%
Resolved
44
Trades
2,881
lifetime
Volume
$57.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$3.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 04:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
52% 24% $-286
Politics
22% 100% +$33
Crypto
15% — —
Sports
9% 24% $-220
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -939 $-891 96¢ $-898 $-8 06-02 13:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +544 $530 99¢ $537 +$7 06-02 13:23
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +354 $240 57¢ $204 $-36 06-03 08:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +277 $200 72¢ $198 $-2 06-08 04:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +239 $105 62¢ $149 +$44 06-02 19:42
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +176 $140 78¢ $138 $-2 06-02 13:26
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -156 $-123 88¢ $-138 $-15 06-09 18:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +213 $100 47¢ $100 +$0 06-03 11:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -102 $-100 97¢ $-99 +$0 06-09 17:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -81 $-69 86¢ $-70 $-1 06-09 18:14
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -71 $-66 94¢ $-67 $-0 06-04 08:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $50 32¢ $65 +$15 05-28 11:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +91 $38 64¢ $58 +$20 06-09 18:13
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -62 $-56 91¢ $-57 $-1 06-09 18:11
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -93 $-48 60¢ $-56 $-8 05-30 05:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -56 $-47 90¢ $-51 $-4 06-09 18:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +76 $50 64¢ $48 $-2 06-03 05:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +227 $27 20¢ $47 +$20 06-08 04:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T Yes +900 $63 4¢ $40 $-23 06-09 18:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +419 $26 9¢ $39 +$13 06-09 11:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +49 $29 80¢ $39 +$10 06-09 18:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +38 $20 62¢ $23 +$3 06-02 19:44
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +51 $25 44¢ $22 $-3 06-02 05:25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-04 04:52
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-18 82¢ $-19 $-1 06-05 15:36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +228 $7 5¢ $12 +$5 06-09 11:06
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-9 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-09 18:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No +295 $8 3¢ $8 $-0 06-08 04:52
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-11 24¢ $-7 +$3 06-10 04:04
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No +523 $24 1¢ $7 $-17 06-09 06:02