Creative-Pasta 0x2eae10…d4a25f
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$472
Unrealized P&L
-$177
Hit rate
34.1%
Resolved
44
Trades
3,456
lifetime
Volume
$66.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$2.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
51% 24% $-286
Politics
24% 100% +$33
Crypto
13% — —
Sports
8% 24% $-220
Tech
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -939 $-891 100¢ $-937 $-47 06-02 13:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -330 $-343 100¢ $-330 +$14 06-30 03:14
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -260 $-214 100¢ $-259 $-45 06-16 04:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +277 $200 84¢ $232 +$32 06-08 04:48
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +176 $140 86¢ $150 +$10 06-02 13:26
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +198 $139 75¢ $149 +$10 06-12 07:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -122 $-121 99¢ $-122 $-1 06-22 09:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -102 $-100 100¢ $-102 $-2 06-09 17:27
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -72 $-67 100¢ $-71 $-4 06-16 00:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -70 $-85 100¢ $-70 +$16 06-22 19:18
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -62 $-56 99¢ $-62 $-6 06-09 18:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -67 $-54 84¢ $-56 $-2 06-12 07:18
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -93 $-48 60¢ $-56 $-8 05-30 05:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -56 $-47 94¢ $-53 $-6 06-09 18:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -88 $-59 55¢ $-48 +$11 06-27 02:43
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-27 87¢ $-31 $-4 06-16 00:46
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No -24 $-23 99¢ $-24 $-0 06-18 02:51
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -30 $-22 72¢ $-22 +$0 06-16 00:48
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -20 $-7 56¢ $-11 $-5 06-12 07:19
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-9 98¢ $-10 $-1 06-09 18:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +998 $84 0¢ $4 $-79 06-27 15:58
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -18 $-8 22¢ $-4 +$4 06-16 00:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +400 $5 0¢ $2 $-4 06-25 18:36
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? No -38 $-10 4¢ $-2 +$8 06-16 00:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +547 $58 0¢ $1 $-57 06-23 05:22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +136 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 06-24 02:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +700 $3 0¢ $1 $-2 06-26 13:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +337 $15 0¢ $1 $-14 06-24 07:18
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes -24 $-7 2¢ $-0 +$6 06-13 17:03
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes +65 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-18 05:07