Realized P&L
-$4.95K
Unrealized P&L
+$400
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
2,030
Trades
4,886
lifetime
Volume
$87.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.57K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 12:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
49% 38% -$2,545
Politics
25% 40% -$1,093
Sports
12% 34% -$1,707
Crypto
10% 37% +$997
Tech
3% 33% -$566
Pop-Culture
0% 20% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +611 $439 86¢ $524 +$85 06-13 05:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +429 $300 86¢ $369 +$69 06-08 04:48
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -225 -$201 96¢ $-217 -$16 09-19 16:25
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +12,714 $134 2¢ $216 +$82 10-17 15:53
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +226 $41 92¢ $208 +$166 07-11 17:04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -184 -$207 96¢ $-176 +$31 09-19 16:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +550 $95 30¢ $162 +$67 10-26 12:20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -159 -$118 96¢ $-153 -$35 09-14 18:15
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +142 $94 79¢ $112 +$18 07-11 00:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -115 -$75 81¢ $-94 -$18 06-01 12:23
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +600 $90 12¢ $75 -$15 10-26 03:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +450 $43 16¢ $74 +$31 09-12 13:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -86 -$63 82¢ $-70 -$7 05-22 04:01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,070 $53 4¢ $43 -$10 09-23 17:16
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -32 -$20 76¢ $-24 -$4 05-10 19:25
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +91 $20 22¢ $20 $0 10-26 03:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +207 $44 4¢ $8 -$35 10-26 03:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9 -$5 92¢ $-8 -$3 05-03 16:55
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +103 $8 7¢ $7 -$1 10-26 03:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -142 -$5 4¢ $-6 -$1 10-26 03:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 09-08 16:42
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,664 $13 0¢ $2 -$10 10-17 15:52
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -18 -$8 11¢ $-2 +$6 06-16 00:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +28 $2 6¢ $2 $0 06-18 08:32