Alarming-Vane-Group — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

1,364

Trades

3,707

lifetime

Volume

$71.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 07-19 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

83% 79% -$659

Crypto

14% 75% -$353

Sports

2% 69% -$185

Politics

1% 69% -$37

Tech

0% 83% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 10?	9	$537	277	277	+0	No	+$17	06-10 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?	7	$504	309	309	+0	Yes	+$112	06-18 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?	8	$488	325	325	+0	Yes	-$22	06-18 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 11?	6	$487	259	259	+0	No	+$27	06-11 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12?	3	$444	226	226	+0	Yes	+$4	06-12 23:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11?	3	$436	227	227	+0	Yes	+$16	06-12 00:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12?	8	$424	231	231	+0	No	+$37	06-12 21:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11?	8	$422	223	223	+0	No	+$22	06-11 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?	5	$411	211	211	+0	No	+$11	06-18 20:20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 19?	4	$410	210	210	+0	Yes	+$10	06-20 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 21?	3	$408	208	208	+0	Yes	+$8	06-21 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 15?	7	$406	233	233	+0	Yes	-$14	06-15 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?	5	$403	204	204	+0	Yes	+$3	06-16 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?	4	$395	205	205	+0	Yes	+$13	06-20 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?	10	$388	226	226	+0	No	+$42	06-18 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 22?	4	$372	210	210	+0	No	-$8	06-22 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?	4	$343	175	175	+0	Yes	+$3	06-20 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?	8	$336	210	210	+0	Yes	+$12	06-13 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?	10	$332	244	244	+0	Yes	-$58	06-18 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?	8	$322	171	167	+4	No	+$12	06-19 21:48
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?	4	$322	163	163	+0	No	+$2	06-20 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?	8	$300	156	156	+0	No	+$10	06-15 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?	4	$289	148	148	+0	No	+$7	06-20 17:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?	4	$289	150	150	+0	No	+$9	06-13 22:10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 19?	8	$283	145	145	+0	No	+$7	06-19 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?	3	$276	146	146	+0	Yes	+$16	05-31 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	3	$272	142	142	+0	Yes	+$12	06-01 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 22?	6	$270	155	155	+0	No	+$10	06-22 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 10?	4	$270	140	140	+0	No	+$10	06-10 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 17?	5	$268	138	138	+0	No	+$8	06-17 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 19?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xa1e68d…
07-17 00:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x8efb47…
07-17 00:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 17?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x4832a7…
07-16 03:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb72b6d…
07-15 06:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x9543aa…
07-14 04:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xb5b18c…
07-10 11:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x08c07e…
07-10 11:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd353fb…
07-10 11:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8d86e5…
07-10 11:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe8e6ae…
07-09 20:47:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 9?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6c50fe…
07-08 23:08:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xad89fb…
07-08 23:07:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xaad810…
07-08 14:47:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 9?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x5e24a3…
07-08 14:17:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 9?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe138db…
07-08 14:17:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xde276e…
07-08 14:17:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 9?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x90fe2c…
07-08 14:17:22	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 9?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xff5a4e…
07-08 14:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 8?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf804e5…
07-08 12:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd98e31…
07-08 12:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x44d172…
07-08 08:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9b52cc…
07-08 08:52:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 8?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x862cc5…
07-08 08:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6c9921…
07-08 03:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7ee012…
07-07 23:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x418957…
07-07 11:25:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdbf07f…
07-07 11:23:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x766f41…
07-07 11:20:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x722500…
07-07 11:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x929aaf…
07-07 11:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x02131d…
07-07 11:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2c4690…
07-07 11:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 8?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1f55e3…
07-07 11:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x8af0c2…
07-07 06:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4c7dbe…
07-07 04:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6f1fbc…
07-07 04:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x7f9984…
07-07 04:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb378b3…
07-06 12:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 6?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x84713c…
07-05 04:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 5?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x90e0fb…
07-05 04:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x201833…
07-05 04:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbc436e…
07-05 03:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0cddae…
07-05 03:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on July 5?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x60eaac…
07-05 03:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 5?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x94b852…
07-05 01:45:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x771ddd…
07-05 01:43:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x34ed66…
07-05 00:08:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 5?	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xf8c7d0…
07-05 00:08:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8ca049…
07-04 13:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x4dce7e…
07-04 13:01:25	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 4?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb51527…
07-04 12:56:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1d9ae8…
07-04 12:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xe07f94…
07-04 12:39:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x208b10…
07-04 12:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4e3b18…
07-04 12:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3a5582…
07-04 12:37:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x535a0e…
07-04 12:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xab5ca6…
07-04 12:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x04b9e9…
07-04 10:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 4?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcf9565…
07-04 10:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x61a85d…
07-04 10:06:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 5?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xedcca9…
07-04 10:06:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfd8847…
07-04 10:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5b3a09…
07-04 10:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x91d25f…
07-04 09:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 4?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x815d2c…
07-04 09:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on July 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa79c86…
07-04 09:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe595dc…
07-04 06:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa531cb…
07-04 06:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6f7983…
07-04 06:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on July 4?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x4bc4bb…
07-04 06:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe93f43…
07-04 05:18:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x290a3b…
07-04 04:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5add45…
07-04 04:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd9e6c9…
07-04 04:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae39e2…
07-04 04:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x116425…
07-04 04:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x73b2ae…
07-04 04:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xff7692…
07-04 04:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3737e5…
07-04 00:32:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcd0c3a…
07-04 00:29:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x68db3b…
07-04 00:29:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a16fc…
07-04 00:29:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x859349…
07-04 00:28:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x922f11…
07-04 00:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdf4370…
07-04 00:24:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xecd849…
07-04 00:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4bad18…
07-04 00:09:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 3?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x03ddea…
07-03 11:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa82b28…
07-03 11:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x447ae4…
07-03 11:42:56	bitcoin up or down on july 3 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xeb3dd6…
07-03 10:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xd497f3…
07-03 10:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x1ab887…
07-03 10:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5c349a…
07-03 10:37:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb1aa1d…
07-03 10:37:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf447ea…
07-03 10:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x2c6877…
07-03 10:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa47cbf…
07-03 03:08:01	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5598d4…