Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
16
lifetime
Volume
$7
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$5
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 23:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
70%
Other
30%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 05-05 02:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 05-05 13:47
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 05-05 13:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No -1 $-1 64¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 09:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No -0 $-0 95¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 06:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $-0 72¢ $-0 $-0 05-04 23:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -1 $-0 16¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 23:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No -0 $-0 92¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 13:25