(anonymous) 0xa9518e…f9e6b3
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Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
38.3%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,109
lifetime
Volume
$4.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$2
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 06-27 18:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Sports
46% — —
Politics
29% 64% +$0
Other
24% 50% $-1
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -6 $-1 14¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 04:00
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 10:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -0 $-0 68¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 10:47
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -0 $-0 66¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -1 $-0 26¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 14¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -0 $0 28¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 04:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -0 $-0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:47