Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
114
lifetime
Volume
$844
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$67
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-19 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
55% 100% +$1
Other
43% 33% $-4
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +30 $23 99¢ $30 +$7 06-02 01:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +36 $21 70¢ $25 +$5 06-03 04:33
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 06-02 04:48
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -35 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-13 00:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -64 $2 $-0 $-2 06-19 00:59