Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$53
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
112
Trades
218
lifetime
Volume
$1.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$333
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 02:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
52% 66% -$14
Other
46% 60% +$28
Tech
2% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +80 $56 93¢ $74 +$18 08-20 15:18
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -64 -$56 94¢ $-60 -$4 07-31 02:47
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +55 $32 94¢ $52 +$20 09-03 07:07
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -20 -$19 99¢ $-20 $0 09-09 06:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +54 $20 36¢ $19 -$1 10-28 02:16
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -19 -$19 97¢ $-19 +$0 09-14 04:42
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +15 $8 94¢ $14 +$7 08-11 06:21
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +15 $11 88¢ $13 +$2 10-01 07:26
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +10 $6 98¢ $10 +$4 09-09 06:41
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +10 $4 97¢ $10 +$6 04-28 18:29
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +10 $6 95¢ $9 +$3 04-29 05:13
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 04-29 05:13
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$1 09-28 05:13
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 05-01 09:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +10 $5 48¢ $5 $0 10-03 22:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +20 $8 16¢ $3 -$5 09-21 06:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 07-08 06:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -35 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 06-13 00:31