Mad-Tank — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

829

Trades

2,348

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

44% 42% +$784

Crypto

21% 63% -$192

Sports

19% 36% +$959

Politics

16% 39% +$238

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	15	$373	1,066	1,066	+0	No	+$167	08-26 15:19
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	9	$361	550	550	+0	Yes	+$357	06-12 15:51
will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	13	$316	560	560	+0	Yes	+$156	07-06 13:33
will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	6	$178	150	150	+0	No	+$53	06-16 10:24
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	4	$151	1,506	131	+1,375	Yes	+$64	02-07 04:08
will mrbeasts latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1	23	$139	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$139	02-26 17:40
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$139	480	480	+0	No	+$92	07-12 01:33
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$133	100	100	+0	No	+$31	10-25 15:32
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	2	$125	108	108	+0	No	+$21	01-27 09:43
Will Czechia be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$123	110	110	+0	Yes	+$83	06-26 04:05
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 40 59	2	$121	62	62	+0	No	+$1	02-27 16:31
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$121	114	74	+40	Yes	+$24	05-28 17:15
will mrbeasts latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1 366	2	$114	80	80	+0	Yes	+$14	02-23 17:40
winter games 2026 norway 6pt5 vs usa 6pt5 gold medals	2	$109	100	100	+0	USA	-$1	02-22 11:33
donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 100 119	6	$108	132	132	+0	No	-$2	02-12 16:25
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$105	141	141	+0	No	+$32	07-19 21:41
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	5	$94	275	275	+0	Yes	+$78	08-17 16:35
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	3	$84	250	0	+250	open	—	10-25 15:37
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	8	$83	668	668	+0	No	+$37	08-06 16:53
Will Folarin Balogun stay at AS Monaco?	3	$82	100	100	+0	Yes	+$78	09-01 20:10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	8	$81	300	300	+0	No	-$5	06-12 02:21
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 200plus	10	$79	374	499	-125	No	+$17	02-13 04:40
Will Michael Olise (Bayern Munich) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	6	$76	100	100	+0	open	—	09-23 18:23
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$75	79	79	+0	Yes	+$25	02-06 07:58
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	5	$72	210	210	+0	No	+$67	06-08 20:29
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	8	$70	489	239	+250	No	+$31	08-27 18:06
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?	3	$66	100	100	+0	No	+$34	06-23 21:08
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$66	45	45	+0	No	+$15	02-20 04:01
Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	5	$64	631	631	+0	No	+$62	08-02 03:52
donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 120 139	2	$60	56	56	+0	Yes	+$50	02-13 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:43:50	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x9b005f…
10-29 16:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3fede7…
10-29 16:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x58b89c…
10-29 16:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdfda85…
10-29 16:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2e6b6…
10-29 16:08:05	Will Ferencvaros finish first in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x42f30c…
10-29 16:07:29	Will Olympiacos finish first in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x77b2ad…
10-29 15:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x65e97a…
10-29 14:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb53c1f…
10-29 14:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe07c98…
10-29 14:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6f8515…
10-29 14:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77102a…
10-29 14:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x64f195…
10-29 14:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x55b5b7…
10-29 13:58:19	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa42d6d…
10-29 13:53:59	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4381ee…
10-29 12:39:05	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe8ffa4…
10-29 12:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf0458e…
10-29 12:31:38	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x144428…
10-29 12:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d3f06…
10-29 11:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a7a1d…
10-29 10:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc4fc2e…
10-29 10:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x106713…
10-29 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcf2fb2…
10-29 10:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x680e7d…
10-29 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x609ffe…
10-29 06:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6b72e0…
10-29 06:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x501286…
10-29 06:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a8c77…
10-29 06:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x76491d…
10-29 06:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ad0a6…
10-29 06:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x77f3cd…
10-29 05:11:19	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce4017…
10-29 05:06:43	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe8a591…
10-29 04:57:38	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1169db…
10-29 04:56:49	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x36e8d7…
10-29 04:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd6a720…
10-29 04:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4d236d…
10-29 04:43:28	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0ada76…
10-29 04:26:31	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc8a487…
10-29 04:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdcd8fc…
10-29 03:59:46	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x00cf41…
10-29 03:48:49	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d2ecb…
10-28 14:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x72d4a6…
10-28 13:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x084dbb…
10-28 13:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0dd7e7…
10-28 13:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ef0e4…
10-28 13:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xdd1ed9…
10-28 13:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2379b0…
10-28 13:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x18a2ed…
10-28 13:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf91f7a…
10-28 13:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x548fb9…
10-28 13:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb316f0…
10-28 12:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc3d011…
10-28 12:42:23	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0x8e6ba0…
10-28 09:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcd41ca…
10-28 09:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa956ee…
10-28 09:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x54bb64…
10-28 09:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa3d1fc…
10-28 08:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x37c6ad…
10-28 08:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe73b84…
10-28 08:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4d8557…
10-28 08:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd62de2…
10-28 07:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x3d6d1a…
10-28 07:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaf340a…
10-28 07:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x6e50b4…
10-28 07:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9e6e3f…
10-28 07:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x61da32…
10-28 07:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1bcb80…
10-28 07:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb9ee8d…
10-28 06:48:58	Will Paris Saint-Germain finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x10429d…
10-28 06:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x50372d…
10-28 06:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6f825b…
10-28 06:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2333a2…
10-28 06:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x72db57…
10-28 05:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2f1e84…
10-28 05:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x5c1773…
10-28 05:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9db86f…
10-28 05:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d6022…
10-28 05:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad2410…
10-28 04:16:28	Will Nico Paz (Como) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x537b2e…
10-27 07:52:54	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xf39370…
10-27 07:50:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain score the most goals in the UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x78845a…
10-27 07:02:11	Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x9eec9b…
10-27 06:08:38	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x1a4587…
10-27 06:03:36	Will Arsenal finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0x3dba1a…
10-27 05:59:09	Will Sevilla qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	BUY	115	6¢	$6	0x21bffd…
10-26 18:09:17	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x142bdc…
10-26 18:05:27	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xcbf5a2…
10-26 17:48:06	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x6c7962…
10-26 17:16:45	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x8a2122…
10-26 08:23:12	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0xbd5e81…
10-26 05:05:30	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x6f1820…
10-26 04:46:42	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xdc903e…
10-26 04:41:30	Will Jan Oblak (Atlético Madrid) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x9576d6…
10-25 15:37:24	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x052054…
10-25 15:33:41	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x929f59…
10-25 15:32:00	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xc5da9f…
10-25 08:45:50	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x667466…
10-24 16:11:02	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xc8cd45…