Flamboyant-Boogeyman 0x70ca9b…b22443
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$81
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
997
lifetime
Volume
$35.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.58K
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 07-19 21:07
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55% — —
Sports
24% — —
Politics
19% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +5,001 $515 8¢ $413 $-103 07-19 08:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,500 $294 26¢ $398 +$103 07-06 09:09
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,800 $324 16¢ $279 $-45 07-19 08:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +500 $129 50¢ $252 +$123 06-12 14:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,000 $219 22¢ $225 +$6 07-16 13:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $129 99¢ $198 +$68 06-12 14:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +500 $233 30¢ $152 $-80 06-28 19:06
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +202 $115 70¢ $142 +$27 06-24 11:25
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +2,077 $197 6¢ $135 $-62 06-27 19:22
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +900 $117 15¢ $135 +$18 07-16 12:16
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +2,045 $118 5¢ $98 $-20 07-16 23:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,217 $74 4¢ $44 $-29 06-06 04:56
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $71 8¢ $40 $-31 06-18 13:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +106 $94 36¢ $39 $-55 06-28 19:24
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +197 $30 15¢ $29 $-2 07-12 19:14