Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
186
lifetime
Volume
$7.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$1.49K
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 06-07 16:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
51%
Other
42%
Crypto
5%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,015 $850 90¢ $919 +$69 06-06 04:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +356 $196 48¢ $169 $-27 06-02 17:23
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes -100 $-95 85¢ $-85 +$10 06-06 04:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +100 $66 68¢ $68 +$2 06-06 04:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,217 $74 $66 $-8 06-06 04:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $52 24¢ $48 $-4 06-06 04:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +80 $10 18¢ $14 +$4 05-31 15:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +17 $10 80¢ $14 +$4 05-30 09:01
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes +15 $10 82¢ $12 +$3 05-31 15:50
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +46 $11 26¢ $12 +$1 05-31 15:57
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +15 $10 78¢ $12 +$2 05-30 16:44
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +20 $10 51¢ $10 $-0 05-30 14:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$1 05-30 15:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +14 $10 72¢ $10 +$0 05-31 10:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$1 05-30 09:41
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +41 $10 18¢ $8 $-2 05-31 15:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +18 $10 38¢ $7 $-3 05-31 11:15
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +20 $10 33¢ $7 $-4 05-30 15:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $10 10¢ $5 $-4 05-30 08:12
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +17 $10 26¢ $5 $-5 05-30 16:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes +26 $10 $1 $-9 05-30 11:57
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +10 $8 $0 $-8 05-30 09:24