Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$251
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
713
lifetime
Volume
$22.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$3.18K
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 06-30 10:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
43%
Politics
28%
Sports
25%
Crypto
2%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +972 $815 100¢ $968 +$153 06-13 07:31
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +2,051 $357 13¢ $267 $-90 06-27 06:56
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +1,951 $243 12¢ $231 $-12 06-30 14:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +500 $233 45¢ $225 $-8 06-28 19:06
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +2,077 $197 10¢ $197 +$0 06-27 19:22
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $194 18¢ $175 $-19 06-29 19:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,000 $214 16¢ $165 $-50 06-26 18:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,050 $151 14¢ $142 $-9 06-22 06:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $129 66¢ $131 +$2 06-12 14:07
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +202 $115 52¢ $106 $-9 06-24 11:25
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes -100 $-95 98¢ $-98 $-4 06-06 04:47
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +409 $113 22¢ $92 $-21 06-26 07:32
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +206 $69 44¢ $90 +$20 06-21 10:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +500 $129 18¢ $88 $-42 06-12 14:10
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $71 10¢ $52 $-18 06-18 13:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,217 $74 $50 $-24 06-06 04:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +106 $94 38¢ $41 $-53 06-28 19:24
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +100 $21 40¢ $40 +$19 06-16 07:55
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -100 $-13 18¢ $-18 $-5 06-21 10:50
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +41 $10 14¢ $6 $-4 05-31 15:47
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +101 $71 $3 $-68 06-10 17:36
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +20 $10 $0 $-10 05-30 15:08