Spirited-Motorcar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.81K

Unrealized P&L

+$128

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,634

lifetime

Volume

$652.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

$929

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

49% 20% $-2,636

Other

24% 100% +$0

Crypto

20% 50% $-172

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	+600	$348	80¢	$477	+$129	06-04 17:34
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+1,000	$370	28¢	$280	$-90	06-03 05:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	+743	$74	20¢	$152	+$78	06-04 17:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	+217	$9	9¢	$20	+$11	06-04 13:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	193	$84.6K	64,688	47,880	+16,809	open	—	03-08 16:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	135	$61.1K	64,800	34,747	+30,053	open	—	06-03 21:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	139	$38.1K	51,517	28,893	+22,625	open	—	06-01 09:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	18	$16.8K	17,011	0	+17,011	open	—	04-07 13:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	57	$14.3K	15,000	1,000	+14,000	open	—	04-06 22:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	27	$12.6K	19,194	7,184	+12,010	open	—	06-02 13:06
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	15	$12.5K	13,246	0	+13,246	open	—	02-27 11:01
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	24	$12.3K	13,049	0	+13,049	open	—	02-08 23:05
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	16	$10.3K	5,303	5,534	-231	open	—	03-11 19:03
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	128	$9.6K	11,199	0	+11,199	open	—	02-13 07:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$9.2K	9,000	269	+8,731	open	—	01-31 23:49
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	17	$9.1K	8,942	636	+8,306	open	—	04-21 15:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$8.8K	8,866	236	+8,631	open	—	03-01 01:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	40	$8.6K	13,359	7,439	+5,919	open	—	02-28 07:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	78	$8.1K	11,715	5,735	+5,980	open	—	04-07 23:07
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	43	$7.6K	18,503	9,725	+8,777	open	—	03-09 18:34
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	60	$7.3K	8,979	2,907	+6,071	open	—	03-09 13:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$6.8K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	04-19 12:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	41	$6.7K	7,141	0	+7,141	open	—	04-10 23:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	35	$6.7K	9,427	0	+9,427	open	—	03-17 04:09
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	4	$5.9K	6,200	0	+6,200	open	—	02-18 19:08
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	12	$5.6K	6,141	0	+6,141	open	—	02-10 07:25
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	4	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	02-11 05:11
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 20 26	2	$5.3K	5,369	0	+5,369	open	—	01-20 13:01
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	9	$5.3K	5,499	0	+5,499	open	—	02-06 06:29
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	28	$5.1K	8,340	261	+8,079	open	—	02-27 10:54
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	25	$5.0K	5,647	0	+5,647	open	—	03-01 11:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$5.0K	4,800	1,800	+3,000	open	—	04-18 03:44
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-03 22:56
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	9	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-10 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:47:39	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	280	42¢	$117	0xb4e162…
06-09 11:44:36	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	56	59¢	$33	0x5007c2…
06-09 11:40:49	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xdad7c6…
06-09 11:40:43	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x597055…
06-09 10:49:46	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	70	42¢	$30	0x5708aa…
06-09 06:12:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x085aa3…
06-09 05:15:40	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x1b3365…
06-09 05:09:10	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	147	30¢	$44	0xa9ca8a…
06-09 04:47:22	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7d5819…
06-09 04:33:49	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xef4609…
06-09 04:33:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x7a201f…
06-09 04:33:07	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x080b70…
06-09 04:32:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xe12cd3…
06-08 05:08:33	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x84bf3d…
06-08 04:59:49	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x977f19…
06-08 02:07:01	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc36f60…
06-07 14:45:07	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1,111	88¢	$972	0x9e276b…
06-07 14:33:06	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0xf38f84…
06-07 14:31:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	500	94¢	$471	0xc681a5…
06-07 13:52:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1,412	95¢	$1,339	0x74a543…
06-07 13:49:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	877	95¢	$831	0xfc1e91…
06-07 13:49:30	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	725	95¢	$686	0xed57ed…
06-06 17:19:21	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1,193	38¢	$457	0x772732…
06-05 23:08:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5bd4db…
06-05 14:49:27	will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	Yes	BUY	206	16¢	$32	0x072b29…
06-05 14:49:19	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	277	60¢	$166	0xb12782…
06-04 17:52:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0xade0c8…
06-04 17:34:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	600	58¢	$348	0x2218c8…
06-04 17:06:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1e4e19…
06-04 14:43:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xcb5f80…
06-04 13:23:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	157	4¢	$7	0xeeb573…
06-04 13:03:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0x3f59fe…
06-04 12:15:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xca4e05…
06-04 12:15:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xa40884…
06-04 12:15:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x7784d3…
06-04 12:15:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x6f2adc…
06-04 12:15:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	122	10¢	$12	0x944461…
06-04 12:15:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	85	10¢	$9	0x1d4d7b…
06-03 21:45:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,960	0xae11c4…
06-03 17:43:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26,550	100¢	$26,444	0x818b2b…
06-03 17:42:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xb4c7a1…
06-03 17:42:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,195	0x61f2dc…
06-03 05:45:05	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	983	37¢	$364	0x27aa87…
06-03 04:26:11	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xe2fce1…
06-02 15:09:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,552	0¢	$2	0xb66b52…
06-02 15:03:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xb464fa…
06-02 14:55:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x516f9e…
06-02 14:51:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	337	0¢	$0	0x738dc8…
06-02 14:28:09	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xd0994a…
06-02 13:06:57	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	12,000	100¢	$11,976	0xb8dd9f…
06-02 12:37:15	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,753	0¢	$7	0xf6210d…
06-02 12:37:01	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xe80ea0…
06-02 12:37:01	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x020b67…
06-02 12:36:52	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	632	0¢	$1	0xfada56…
06-02 00:50:27	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x1e65f7…
06-02 00:30:41	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd86807…
06-01 17:47:24	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	2,188	100¢	$2,183	0x01b931…
06-01 17:38:44	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9dd70b…
06-01 17:37:08	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x892f6c…
06-01 17:09:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,445	100¢	$5,440	0x1fbf70…
06-01 17:05:17	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7869fe…
06-01 16:56:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xc890d2…
06-01 16:56:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xf923b1…
06-01 16:56:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x061325…
06-01 16:56:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	501	45¢	$223	0xdc5619…
06-01 16:48:11	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x287796…
06-01 16:45:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,750	45¢	$791	0x5acdbd…
06-01 16:44:52	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xebc101…
06-01 16:25:17	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1ec798…
06-01 15:32:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,465	0¢	$7	0x74e7b5…
06-01 15:30:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12,000	0¢	$48	0x9c09db…
06-01 15:23:59	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc2e6a4…
06-01 15:13:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	750	59¢	$440	0x06c0e6…
06-01 15:12:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	254	57¢	$144	0x1fe592…
06-01 15:12:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	246	57¢	$139	0x510533…
06-01 15:11:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,064	54¢	$571	0xc86d1d…
06-01 15:11:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	510	54¢	$274	0x74bd9e…
06-01 15:11:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	426	54¢	$230	0x342a3b…
06-01 14:55:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	735	47¢	$345	0x521658…
06-01 14:55:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	524	47¢	$246	0x14d81d…
06-01 14:14:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	187	36¢	$67	0xa23fee…
06-01 14:13:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x558f77…
06-01 14:13:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4f9e9f…
06-01 14:13:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0x0e27e1…
06-01 14:12:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	49¢	$490	0xed82b6…
06-01 14:12:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	43¢	$216	0xc6a626…
06-01 14:10:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	42¢	$208	0x71b7ad…
06-01 12:59:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	37¢	$366	0xc2217f…
06-01 12:42:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x5ec159…
06-01 12:42:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,824	23¢	$419	0x436455…
06-01 12:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xea5f22…
06-01 12:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x7e5ca1…
06-01 12:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x776f71…
06-01 12:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	23¢	$24	0x71d496…
06-01 12:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x331819…
06-01 12:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x039c9d…
06-01 12:41:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xe0ddb2…
06-01 12:41:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xc9e44f…
06-01 12:41:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xadc4de…
06-01 12:41:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x343a08…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	267	$47.2M	66,065	06-10 05:11
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	247	$295.7K	2,424	06-08 20:17
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	246	$121.5K	12,958	06-09 19:35
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	237	$664.7K	49,383	06-01 03:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	236	$1.92M	33,153	06-10 04:35
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	222	$32.0K	5,687	06-08 12:00
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	197	$62.4K	13,886	05-08 07:22
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	194	$669.4K	50,355	06-10 03:06