Spirited-Motorcar 0xe1b361…9e1426
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.36K
Hit rate
36.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,172
lifetime
Volume
$715.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$171
Open exposure
$15.9K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 09:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
48% 20% $-2,636
Other
27% 100% +$0
Crypto
19% 50% $-172
Tech
7% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,470 $3,143 46¢ $7.9K +$4,806 07-16 07:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,500 $2,697 74¢ $2.6K $-124 07-19 18:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,270 $1,550 99¢ $2.2K +$689 07-11 15:21
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +713 $498 80¢ $570 +$72 07-10 23:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,994 $391 22¢ $439 +$48 07-16 22:05
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +500 $390 86¢ $428 +$38 06-25 20:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +500 $405 82¢ $407 +$2 07-13 19:46
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +430 $361 88¢ $379 +$18 07-01 06:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $360 90¢ $358 $-2 07-18 06:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +400 $236 82¢ $328 +$92 07-11 17:38
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +1,000 $370 8¢ $80 $-290 06-03 05:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +400 $60 18¢ $70 +$10 07-20 09:25
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +77 $67 88¢ $68 +$1 07-09 19:39
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +150 $60 38¢ $56 $-4 07-06 11:06