Spirited-Motorcar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,294

lifetime

Volume

$748.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$174

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

46% 20% $-2,636

Other

29% 100% +$0

Crypto

18% 50% $-172

Tech

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	193	$84.6K	64,688	47,880	+16,809	open	—	03-08 16:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	135	$61.1K	64,800	34,747	+30,053	open	—	06-03 21:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	139	$38.1K	51,517	28,893	+22,625	open	—	06-01 09:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	18	$16.8K	17,011	0	+17,011	open	—	04-07 13:39
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	75	$15.6K	25,126	24,494	+632	open	—	08-04 15:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	41	$14.3K	41,482	3,415	+38,067	open	—	08-10 08:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	57	$14.3K	15,000	1,000	+14,000	open	—	04-06 22:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	27	$12.6K	19,194	7,184	+12,010	open	—	06-02 13:06
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	15	$12.5K	13,246	0	+13,246	open	—	02-27 11:01
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	24	$12.3K	13,049	0	+13,049	open	—	02-08 23:05
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	16	$10.3K	5,303	5,534	-231	open	—	03-11 19:03
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	128	$9.6K	11,199	0	+11,199	open	—	02-13 07:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$9.2K	9,000	269	+8,731	open	—	01-31 23:49
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	17	$9.1K	8,942	636	+8,306	open	—	04-21 15:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$8.8K	8,866	236	+8,631	open	—	03-01 01:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	40	$8.6K	13,359	7,439	+5,919	open	—	02-28 07:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	78	$8.1K	11,715	5,735	+5,980	open	—	04-07 23:07
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	43	$7.6K	18,503	9,725	+8,777	open	—	03-09 18:34
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	60	$7.3K	8,979	2,907	+6,071	open	—	03-09 13:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	64	$7.0K	7,334	2,832	+4,502	open	—	06-25 12:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$6.8K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	04-19 12:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	41	$6.7K	7,141	0	+7,141	open	—	04-10 23:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	35	$6.7K	9,427	0	+9,427	open	—	03-17 04:09
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	16	$5.9K	4,661	1,798	+2,863	open	—	06-23 13:19
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	4	$5.9K	6,200	0	+6,200	open	—	02-18 19:08
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	12	$5.6K	6,141	0	+6,141	open	—	02-10 07:25
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	4	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	02-11 05:11
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 20 26	2	$5.3K	5,369	0	+5,369	open	—	01-20 13:01
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	9	$5.3K	5,499	0	+5,499	open	—	02-06 06:29
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	28	$5.1K	8,340	261	+8,079	open	—	02-27 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:19:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	488	46¢	$225	0x9ead24…
08-10 08:50:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	405	98¢	$395	0x85ff78…
08-10 08:49:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,700	52¢	$884	0x234ad3…
08-06 12:15:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,500	37¢	$925	0x1eed21…
08-05 15:36:48	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xb87536…
08-05 14:32:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	888	18¢	$160	0xd79082…
08-05 14:20:48	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	400	33¢	$132	0x0cfaea…
08-05 13:22:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xbc9a91…
08-05 12:56:32	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x940ea7…
08-05 12:19:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0x5602b5…
08-05 12:15:45	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	600	11¢	$66	0x9a4cae…
08-05 08:47:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4,131	38¢	$1,570	0x9a1dea…
08-05 04:14:15	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	400	24¢	$96	0xfa9815…
08-05 03:40:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0x1c43e8…
08-05 03:04:27	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	305	18¢	$55	0x13273f…
08-05 00:51:17	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0x6a1a53…
08-04 15:35:03	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x4db24d…
08-04 15:28:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	818	95¢	$775	0xa73e8c…
08-04 15:27:57	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,876	0xe33b81…
08-04 15:27:17	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	1,500	88¢	$1,318	0xcbb821…
08-04 15:27:14	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	483	79¢	$380	0x067841…
08-04 15:27:00	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xb18455…
08-04 15:26:59	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	2,073	79¢	$1,630	0xcf4929…
08-04 15:26:56	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb5f2f9…
08-04 15:26:00	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	888	72¢	$638	0x4fadda…
08-04 15:24:18	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	1,500	75¢	$1,125	0x417127…
08-04 15:24:11	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	138	69¢	$95	0xcd9b31…
08-04 15:22:03	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	2,500	58¢	$1,460	0x196b65…
08-04 12:28:12	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	420	68¢	$286	0xb4c9de…
08-04 01:17:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,000	43¢	$860	0x3e3126…
08-02 16:00:14	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	965	3¢	$34	0x1e9061…
08-02 02:39:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,000	45¢	$1,350	0xbeb355…
08-02 02:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	555	47¢	$261	0x8397b2…
08-02 02:11:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,272	48¢	$1,090	0xd617ec…
08-02 02:10:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	228	48¢	$110	0x71f110…
08-01 10:12:33	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	319	5¢	$15	0x16af55…
07-31 13:03:23	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	800	3¢	$22	0x026cdd…
07-30 18:52:45	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x63e45e…
07-30 18:12:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	1,654	1¢	$21	0x257190…
07-30 18:11:50	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	2,828	1¢	$37	0x02e0ad…
07-30 13:59:20	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	1,537	1¢	$20	0xf1a7a3…
07-30 08:01:30	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$1	0xcbd4bf…
07-30 06:52:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd273e6…
07-30 03:03:18	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	1,393	1¢	$18	0x7cef7b…
07-29 18:17:23	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	251	5¢	$12	0x6af69a…
07-28 13:42:28	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb140ba…
07-28 13:10:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x433e04…
07-28 13:09:55	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	1,962	2¢	$41	0x9fae89…
07-28 13:09:40	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	3,014	2¢	$63	0xd253fc…
07-28 00:59:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	300	95¢	$286	0x8877f8…
07-28 00:56:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc90c69…
07-28 00:52:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x84444d…
07-27 18:06:07	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	Yes	BUY	16	71¢	$12	0xcec77c…
07-27 17:31:22	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	903	98¢	$885	0x4fa682…
07-27 17:08:58	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$73	0x5e401a…
07-27 16:48:16	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	456	12¢	$54	0xbf107e…
07-27 16:38:42	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	99	12¢	$12	0xffc752…
07-27 15:49:18	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x047550…
07-27 15:46:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0xdf4848…
07-27 15:46:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1,000	89¢	$886	0xb36383…
07-27 15:44:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0xd94e5d…
07-27 15:42:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	503	91¢	$457	0x4d49af…
07-27 15:42:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x9ff89e…
07-27 02:27:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	224	14¢	$31	0x3d8c1a…
07-27 01:46:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x2e8f70…
07-27 01:32:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	400	14¢	$56	0x8cb245…
07-27 01:08:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	127	14¢	$18	0x34c736…
07-26 21:15:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0xf9da50…
07-26 20:15:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	868	45¢	$391	0x72eb27…
07-26 20:15:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0x606fd1…
07-26 17:42:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	661	10¢	$66	0x8a32e5…
07-26 09:00:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	94	75¢	$71	0xc7636f…
07-26 03:26:19	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	246	3¢	$8	0x2afb0b…
07-26 01:25:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	275	75¢	$206	0x167d7a…
07-26 00:46:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xda7d61…
07-26 00:43:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x27749f…
07-26 00:05:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	550	23¢	$126	0xa4a09d…
07-26 00:05:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0xa4a09d…
07-25 22:56:51	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	1,754	3¢	$58	0xd2ebb0…
07-25 19:31:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	999	45¢	$450	0x115f28…
07-25 19:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd7dd87…
07-25 19:12:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,200	46¢	$1,012	0xea495e…
07-25 16:24:04	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	312	5¢	$15	0x1bd915…
07-25 16:23:03	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	174	5¢	$8	0x583d4e…
07-25 14:23:19	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x8da37e…
07-25 13:45:27	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc7bad4…
07-25 12:02:39	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 7 20260722202131838	Yes	BUY	343	64¢	$220	0xfbaaf4…
07-24 19:08:30	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x2b21d5…
07-23 20:13:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0x7b3e1e…
07-23 18:25:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	439	38¢	$167	0xd9efa2…
07-23 17:28:28	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xda66e8…
07-23 17:23:36	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xdbc29e…
07-23 17:02:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0x1a99ad…
07-23 16:59:36	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xa96d5c…
07-23 15:36:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xdf3490…
07-22 15:12:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x8ded2f…
07-22 14:29:52	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8a385f…
07-22 14:12:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	350	25¢	$88	0x544f99…
07-22 13:58:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	550	26¢	$143	0xebf410…
07-22 13:23:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	600	43¢	$258	0x5578c9…