Ajar-Cartilage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.82K

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$185.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$681

Open exposure

$2.11K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-14 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

59% 12% -$12,969

Politics

31% 18% -$7,966

Sports

10% 40% +$457

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	-1,351	-$959	94¢	$-1264	-$304	05-06 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+5,157	$4,003	11¢	$542	-$3,462	06-15 06:37
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	+417	$150	36¢	$152	+$2	04-28 22:17
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	+157	$150	97¢	$151	+$1	04-28 21:43
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	Yes	+170	$60	3¢	$6	-$54	04-28 21:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$29.6K	20,497	15,340	+5,157	open	—	06-15 06:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$29.0K	16,106	16,106	+0	No	+$1,606	04-21 17:40
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	45	$16.5K	358,240	262,609	+95,631	No	-$309	06-30 04:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$16.4K	9,105	9,105	+0	No	+$422	05-06 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$15.0K	11,141	11,141	+0	No	-$1,152	06-15 04:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	20	$11.5K	16,286	16,286	+0	No	-$1,859	06-13 17:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$9.0K	14,001	4,450	+9,551	No	-$4,808	05-13 08:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$8.3K	4,578	4,578	+0	No	+$632	05-05 15:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	4	$6.6K	7,068	7,068	+0	No	-$390	06-16 15:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	3	$6.4K	5,610	5,610	+0	Yes	+$1,427	06-08 11:49
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	15	$5.6K	58,659	5,866	+52,793	Yes	-$5,564	04-28 12:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$3.6K	6,896	1,518	+5,378	Yes	-$1,419	06-13 17:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$3.1K	3,769	3,769	+0	No	+$705	04-20 10:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$3.0K	1,370	2,721	-1,351	open	—	05-06 09:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.9K	3,300	1,852	+1,448	No	+$192	05-14 18:23
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.9K	1,411	1,411	+0	open	—	07-13 17:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	6	$1.8K	5,709	727	+4,982	No	-$1,329	05-06 20:31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.7K	2,632	2,632	+0	Yes	+$1,130	07-14 20:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$1.3K	2,473	2,473	+0	No	-$57	04-20 21:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$1.2K	9,230	0	+9,230	No	-$1,240	05-06 20:28
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	1	$1000	2,597	0	+2,597	No	-$1,000	07-11 22:19
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$831	2,067	2,067	+0	No	-$369	04-22 21:06
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	1	$800	5,614	0	+5,614	No	-$800	07-09 19:35
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$800	2,075	0	+2,075	No	-$800	05-12 15:31
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	4	$615	481	481	+0	Yes	+$155	06-16 20:32
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	1	$500	3,077	0	+3,077	No	-$500	07-11 22:22
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 3pt5	1	$500	3,571	0	+3,571	Haiti	-$500	06-24 22:03
Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	4	$491	24,352	84	+24,268	No	-$244	04-29 12:18
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	15	$446	1,429	1,429	+0	No	+$46	06-16 20:21
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$400	44,993	0	+44,993	No	-$400	06-16 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:22:41	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	658	52¢	$344	0xd5ace5…
07-14 20:22:29	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,974	55¢	$1,086	0xe54d31…
07-13 17:06:59	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	819	75¢	$614	0x4668f9…
07-13 12:09:10	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x6019aa…
07-13 03:59:16	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	267	75¢	$200	0xf0c2ad…
07-13 01:24:04	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0x45e08c…
07-12 11:21:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,266	2¢	$28	0x136b93…
07-12 11:21:08	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	75¢	$81	0x841dbb…
07-11 22:22:40	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	3,077	16¢	$500	0x6cbfcf…
07-11 22:19:29	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2,597	38¢	$1,000	0x203ce6…
07-09 19:35:44	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	5,614	14¢	$800	0xf69cf9…
07-07 20:48:53	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x1386ce…
07-07 20:04:41	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x285a30…
06-30 04:25:28	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31,877	4¢	$1,275	0x411d6f…
06-30 03:52:58	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42,503	2¢	$1,001	0x161b56…
06-30 03:52:43	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56,670	3¢	$1,580	0xf2a491…
06-30 03:36:28	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$40	0xd89084…
06-30 03:32:43	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20,000	2¢	$424	0x3b4689…
06-30 03:32:07	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20,000	2¢	$452	0x89af41…
06-27 21:28:13	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x4bc6a3…
06-27 21:28:05	Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1,669	6¢	$100	0x26fe5b…
06-27 21:27:49	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x833610…
06-27 21:23:53	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,632	11¢	$300	0x32be27…
06-24 22:03:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 3pt5	Morocco	BUY	3,571	14¢	$500	0x9ebf71…
06-19 22:57:19	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13,471	4¢	$498	0xb99198…
06-19 22:57:10	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	270	4¢	$10	0xa92fd3…
06-19 22:56:20	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x03c8ac…
06-19 22:56:16	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	4¢	$4	0x1723b9…
06-19 22:55:47	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,892	4¢	$70	0x8ad865…
06-19 22:45:11	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x530eaa…
06-19 22:45:05	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16,643	4¢	$616	0x444259…
06-19 22:42:16	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0x168c48…
06-19 22:42:14	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0x2f90fc…
06-19 22:41:59	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	62	4¢	$2	0x5debdc…
06-19 22:40:32	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	415	4¢	$15	0xd9bebf…
06-19 22:39:41	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,322	4¢	$49	0xbdafbf…
06-19 22:35:07	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11,967	4¢	$443	0xae597b…
06-19 22:26:32	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x9d6ed8…
06-19 22:26:31	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10,811	4¢	$400	0x10ecab…
06-19 22:26:05	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$4	0xb50d6e…
06-19 22:24:35	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	560	4¢	$21	0x62540a…
06-19 22:21:04	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$4	0x2995d5…
06-19 22:20:40	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,506	4¢	$130	0xb3ac24…
06-19 22:19:59	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,261	4¢	$47	0xa60dda…
06-19 22:19:52	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x765b3d…
06-19 22:19:05	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	386	4¢	$14	0xb79d04…
06-19 22:15:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	582	4¢	$22	0x172415…
06-19 22:15:32	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	270	4¢	$10	0x6e52c3…
06-19 22:15:20	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,548	4¢	$131	0x98ae1e…
06-19 22:13:40	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0x842f05…
06-19 22:13:10	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,721	4¢	$64	0x31ba86…
06-19 22:13:10	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,703	4¢	$100	0x213a82…
06-19 22:12:50	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0x56a63b…
06-19 22:12:16	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$18	0x05c6fc…
06-19 22:12:07	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16,646	4¢	$616	0x4cdfeb…
06-16 20:36:04	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	44,993	1¢	$400	0xd2b935…
06-16 20:33:22	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	471	17¢	$80	0x91e866…
06-16 20:32:28	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	481	80¢	$385	0xe69062…
06-16 20:21:59	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x00aea4…
06-16 20:21:49	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x47a8c0…
06-16 20:17:35	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xac7e03…
06-16 20:16:37	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	455	36¢	$164	0x9b0c46…
06-16 19:47:44	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	307	17¢	$52	0x81ec00…
06-16 19:47:14	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	350	18¢	$63	0xc5db01…
06-16 19:47:13	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x051c24…
06-16 19:47:11	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xcebcbd…
06-16 19:47:05	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x2b3bc2…
06-16 19:46:47	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	407	16¢	$65	0xbccccb…
06-16 19:46:35	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0x5f5203…
06-16 19:46:32	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	167	18¢	$30	0x40e424…
06-16 19:46:31	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x27ed28…
06-16 19:46:29	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xa7170a…
06-16 19:46:25	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x6a4c12…
06-16 19:46:23	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x7398b1…
06-16 19:46:23	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x239a48…
06-16 19:45:40	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0x5b4336…
06-16 18:59:59	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xc9b053…
06-16 18:59:47	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1,429	14¢	$200	0x77d744…
06-16 15:21:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	3,567	44¢	$1,569	0x37f04a…
06-15 21:27:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x5d61fd…
06-15 21:24:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	SELL	3,495	44¢	$1,538	0x3abe90…
06-15 14:51:40	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	62,500	2¢	$1,500	0x29e009…
06-15 13:02:21	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60,948	2¢	$1,500	0x4f8561…
06-15 13:01:15	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	85,289	2¢	$2,000	0x815ba0…
06-15 13:00:52	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	86,957	2¢	$2,000	0xf2083c…
06-15 11:08:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17,167	2¢	$395	0xd6d115…
06-15 06:38:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	7,068	50¢	$3,500	0x1e53ea…
06-15 06:37:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,574	85¢	$3,881	0x378f12…
06-15 04:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9,731	87¢	$8,500	0xb62e22…
06-15 04:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	9,562	69¢	$6,601	0xb3989e…
06-14 09:58:01	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34,783	2¢	$800	0x5c14bc…
06-14 09:56:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,579	22¢	$347	0xcaaa46…
06-14 09:51:39	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,348	2¢	$100	0xfa606f…
06-13 17:58:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,215	78¢	$2,500	0xd37046…
06-13 17:55:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,778	52¢	$931	0xd08aa8…
06-13 17:55:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,953	81¢	$4,010	0xa22a1b…
06-13 17:54:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,378	32¢	$1,700	0x9e6059…
06-13 17:52:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,518	71¢	$1,081	0x26f0bf…
06-13 17:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,769	78¢	$2,174	0xbcee57…
06-13 17:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,577	79¢	$2,826	0x83988a…