Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved
2
Trades
927
lifetime
Volume
$2.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$16
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 07:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$16
Crypto
35% 0% $-1
Politics
3%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? Yes -88 $-3 $-6 $-3 07-02 01:15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes -96 $-1 $-4 $-3 07-02 00:51
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes -25 $-1 $-2 $-1 05-30 01:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -37 $-4 $-2 +$2 05-29 22:38
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026? Yes -31 $-0 $-1 $-0 07-02 03:09
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes -11 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-30 01:50
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-02 07:56
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-02 07:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes -0 $7 $-0 $-7 07-02 00:50