Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$954
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
3,540
lifetime
Volume
$3.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$989
Open exposure
$24.1K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 05:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58% 100% +$48
Politics
39%
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +7,722 $5,778 84¢ $6.4K +$669 07-20 16:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +7,619 $5,883 78¢ $6.0K +$98 07-20 19:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5,000 $-4,390 94¢ $-4725 $-335 06-10 22:58
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -2,450 $-2,131 90¢ $-2217 $-86 05-28 12:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,000 $1,420 66¢ $1.3K $-90 07-15 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,000 $-1,126 56¢ $-1110 +$15 07-07 08:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,034 $815 92¢ $956 +$141 06-17 14:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -724 $-701 88¢ $-633 +$67 06-14 22:26
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +386 $148 94¢ $365 +$217 06-13 07:44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +415 $254 86¢ $355 +$100 06-18 16:24
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? No -11 $-20 90¢ $-10 +$10 07-17 12:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $-145 74¢ $0 +$145 07-20 10:01