Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$751
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
3,159
lifetime
Volume
$3.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.03K
Open exposure
$42.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 23:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60% 100% +$48
Politics
37%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +10,773 $10,591 99¢ $10.7K +$107 06-29 12:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5,811 $5,643 100¢ $5.8K +$157 06-28 22:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +7,000 $5,600 82¢ $5.7K +$105 06-30 19:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +5,400 $4,491 90¢ $4.9K +$397 06-30 23:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5,000 $-4,390 92¢ $-4575 $-185 06-10 22:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,250 86¢ $4.3K +$25 07-01 07:14
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -2,450 $-2,131 92¢ $-2241 $-110 05-28 12:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,000 $-1,626 82¢ $-1650 $-24 06-07 22:15
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,034 $815 90¢ $925 +$110 06-17 14:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -724 $-701 88¢ $-633 +$67 06-14 22:26
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +415 $254 89¢ $369 +$115 06-18 16:24
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +386 $148 93¢ $360 +$212 06-13 07:44
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? No -8 $-8 90¢ $-7 +$0 05-28 04:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,009 $232 $7 $-225 06-13 16:50