Low-Junior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

6.3%

Resolved

Trades

14,351

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-10 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 25% $-1

Other

22% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 665 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+8	$7	90¢	$7	+$0	06-10 03:23
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	-2	$-2	91¢	$-2	$-0	06-06 06:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	+2	$1	64¢	$1	$-0	06-10 03:54
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	-1	$-0	73¢	$-0	$-0	06-07 22:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	+0	$0	90¢	$0	$-0	06-09 18:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+0	$0	84¢	$0	$-0	06-08 04:32
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	-0	$-0	23¢	$-0	+$0	06-05 07:17
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	-0	$-0	63¢	$-0	$-0	06-07 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	22	$4.9K	3,981	3,971	+10	open	—	02-28 07:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	108	$1.2K	712	712	+0	open	—	03-02 10:50
will iran strike israel on march 4	8	$692	389	389	+0	open	—	03-08 22:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	357	$530	677	386	+292	open	—	02-28 08:17
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	52	$471	670	670	+0	open	—	03-30 22:12
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	53	$400	266	142	+124	open	—	03-04 00:01
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$400	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-19 19:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	175	$343	203	201	+2	open	—	03-23 02:02
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	46	$337	210	206	+5	open	—	03-24 11:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	342	$322	189	183	+6	open	—	04-17 03:00
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	293	$318	162	166	-3	open	—	03-04 12:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	131	$299	265	78	+186	open	—	03-02 19:51
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	116	$256	202	157	+45	open	—	02-28 08:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	188	$254	153	153	+0	open	—	03-27 00:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	159	$212	124	124	+0	open	—	03-12 17:47
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	154	$206	105	105	+0	open	—	03-01 01:36
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	2	$200	112	112	+0	open	—	03-11 09:51
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	79	$193	139	70	+70	open	—	02-28 08:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	183	$190	109	108	+0	open	—	04-15 14:46
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	67	$163	159	159	+0	open	—	03-28 08:46
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	60	$159	112	57	+55	open	—	02-28 08:17
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	166	$151	104	84	+20	open	—	03-30 05:44
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	1	$150	278	0	+278	open	—	03-16 14:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	307	$140	93	93	+0	open	—	03-29 23:43
will trump say waste this week march 1	22	$131	109	23	+86	open	—	03-05 00:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$130	199	0	+199	open	—	03-05 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	161	$121	72	72	+0	open	—	03-26 20:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	120	$116	62	62	+0	open	—	03-06 15:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	157	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	03-11 18:18
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	40	$108	76	59	+17	open	—	02-28 08:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:54:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xe1a093…
06-10 03:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x869ea4…
06-10 03:10:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x0d6b38…
06-10 02:38:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x6526e9…
06-10 02:35:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x74f120…
06-10 02:26:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe32c2a…
06-10 01:59:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1776b4…
06-10 00:36:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8abc8a…
06-10 00:11:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe88e1f…
06-10 00:10:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xd75278…
06-10 00:10:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x8af1b1…
06-10 00:10:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x4cedb4…
06-09 23:21:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd86cee…
06-09 22:17:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x723aa9…
06-09 19:57:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x6c9271…
06-09 19:38:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x072a13…
06-09 18:34:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x49d3fc…
06-09 18:23:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x7e813a…
06-09 17:26:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x2186e0…
06-09 16:40:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd5c7d0…
06-09 14:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x849ddd…
06-09 11:07:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4b729a…
06-09 08:40:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1e9bf6…
06-09 03:16:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xfea4cc…
06-09 01:34:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x67e4ef…
06-09 01:34:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x454cce…
06-09 01:24:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xb0890f…
06-09 00:50:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xdf4ed0…
06-09 00:38:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf00087…
06-09 00:14:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6705c5…
06-09 00:13:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x368d6a…
06-08 23:58:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe5a425…
06-08 23:15:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x798ce4…
06-08 22:35:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xef5797…
06-08 21:10:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x633d39…
06-08 18:33:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x2a7c01…
06-08 17:36:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdd0d2c…
06-08 17:29:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x01f8b5…
06-08 17:14:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xfaf215…
06-08 17:02:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x197eb1…
06-08 16:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xe09f7c…
06-08 15:58:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xf597fd…
06-08 15:44:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xefd160…
06-08 15:34:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x6cccb1…
06-08 15:19:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xf94df3…
06-08 14:27:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x28c2f5…
06-08 14:03:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x03ad4b…
06-08 11:32:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x7698d0…
06-08 11:16:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x391393…
06-08 10:57:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x0845c1…
06-08 10:56:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x983cee…
06-08 10:54:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xaea1b2…
06-08 10:54:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x04be62…
06-08 10:34:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x518b58…
06-08 10:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x97ba6d…
06-08 10:34:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xbc6562…
06-08 10:08:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xb557bc…
06-08 09:58:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xaf8cdb…
06-08 08:42:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x70baa2…
06-08 08:32:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1e44a9…
06-08 08:25:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x2ed68f…
06-08 08:24:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x7782ad…
06-08 07:24:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x774179…
06-08 07:13:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6a6dbe…
06-08 07:09:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xf182de…
06-08 07:06:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xb4fcfb…
06-08 06:50:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xaaad90…
06-08 06:49:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1b93ab…
06-08 06:46:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd53180…
06-08 06:43:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9739cd…
06-08 06:04:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xac6359…
06-08 05:24:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x97ef1e…
06-08 05:24:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x953ec6…
06-08 05:24:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x5237d1…
06-08 05:24:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd8389e…
06-08 05:24:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xba44fe…
06-08 05:24:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x249453…
06-08 05:24:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x0b6ba9…
06-08 05:24:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd4dc2a…
06-08 05:24:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x495c23…
06-08 05:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1e21ed…
06-08 04:51:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x017554…
06-08 04:32:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xaca9a7…
06-08 04:32:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xa56c10…
06-08 04:18:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xf17bf2…
06-08 04:04:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe515e3…
06-08 02:02:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x69e7c5…
06-08 01:42:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xcff3e5…
06-08 01:20:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe3b1fe…
06-08 01:17:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x737a2c…
06-08 01:16:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xda3ab5…
06-08 01:08:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xba8b1e…
06-08 01:05:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x192f9f…
06-08 01:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd23581…
06-08 01:05:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd2bb92…
06-07 23:38:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x740d27…
06-07 22:16:22	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xe9adf6…
06-07 22:16:04	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x718059…
06-07 20:48:43	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x06efa0…
06-07 20:07:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xc59c58…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	380	$76.0M	121,635	06-10 04:37
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	297	$3.02M	50,292	06-10 04:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	289	$903.7K	72,942	06-01 04:11
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	256	$448.3K	42,328	03-28 15:39
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	254	$143.1K	29,508	05-07 01:50
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	248	$353.0K	3,289	06-08 23:32
Fantastic-Granny 0xb442…bed7	245	$62.8K	9,411	04-20 19:23
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	238	$1.06M	74,070	06-10 03:03