Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
6.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
14,738
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 07-05 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
76% 25% $-1
Other
22%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -5 $-4 97¢ $-5 $-1 06-22 08:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 07-05 00:40
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -3 $-1 20¢ $-1 $-0 06-23 11:53
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 17:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-0 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 16:01
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-0 80¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $1 84¢ $0 $-1 07-04 01:26
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 34¢ $-0 $-0 07-01 21:09
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -0 $-0 68¢ $-0 $-0 06-11 20:44