Realized P&L
+$1.62K
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
397
Trades
16,189
lifetime
Volume
$20.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$29
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-26 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Politics
75% 42% +$1,834
Other
23% 53% -$199
Crypto
1% 46% -$15
Tech
1% 71% $0
Sports
0% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -9 -$7 94¢ $-9 -$1 07-26 11:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -4 -$3 96¢ $-4 -$1 05-09 16:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -3 -$3 90¢ $-3 $0 06-19 21:10
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +6 $3 36¢ $2 $0 10-26 09:42
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 10-25 08:03
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No -2 -$1 89¢ $-2 $0 10-14 06:15
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 84¢ $-1 $0 10-22 01:07
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 10-22 17:28
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -1 -$1 92¢ $-1 $0 08-12 12:38
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -1 -$1 86¢ $-1 +$0 10-22 12:53
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-26 17:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1 $0 94¢ $-1 $0 05-03 19:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-26 03:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 10-26 22:14
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -3 -$2 12¢ $-0 +$1 06-10 23:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 10-26 23:52
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -0 $0 76¢ $-0 $0 06-11 20:44
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -0 $0 94¢ $-0 $0 07-13 12:16
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -4 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-23 11:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -0 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 05-04 20:14
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +0 $1 76¢ $0 -$1 10-14 12:30