Realized P&L
-$45
Unrealized P&L
-$125
Hit rate
32.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$1.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$642
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
84% 100% +$3
Politics
16% 0% $-48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No -220 $-153 99¢ $-218 $-66 05-12 08:17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +278 $102 34¢ $93 $-9 05-11 19:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +333 $90 26¢ $88 $-2 05-10 19:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +276 $66 16¢ $43 $-23 05-10 19:09
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes -38 $-37 100¢ $-38 $-1 05-14 20:52
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes +88 $39 42¢ $37 $-2 05-14 20:27
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? No -30 $-9 86¢ $-26 $-17 05-11 21:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Yes +441 $53 $24 $-29 05-10 19:08
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +63 $15 31¢ $20 +$4 05-14 19:47
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No -20 $-14 90¢ $-18 $-4 05-10 17:51
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes -338 $-32 $-17 +$15 05-12 20:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +47 $5 12¢ $6 +$1 05-10 14:47
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? Yes -676 $-27 $-5 +$22 05-11 19:59
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-18 14¢ $-4 +$14 05-11 21:14
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes +76 $11 $4 $-7 05-13 19:37
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes +10 $8 10¢ $1 $-7 05-11 19:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +60 $15 $0 $-15 05-06 08:54