(anonymous) 0xb83aa6…e2c500
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$130
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
36.9%
Resolved
256
Trades
1,624
lifetime
Volume
$3.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$70
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-12 08:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
55% 32% -$107
Crypto
28% 18% -$80
Politics
9% 43% +$2
Sports
6% 71% +$50
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$6
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Discord IPO before 2027? No -16 -$15 94¢ $-15 $0 10-12 07:57
Ledger IPO before 2027? No -11 -$10 96¢ $-10 +$0 10-12 07:57
Ramp IPO before 2027? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 +$0 10-12 07:57
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes -16 -$3 28¢ $-5 -$2 10-12 07:58
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No -12 -$5 36¢ $-4 +$1 10-12 07:57
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -5 -$4 85¢ $-4 +$0 10-12 07:57
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No -4 -$4 90¢ $-4 +$0 10-12 07:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No -4 -$4 97¢ $-4 $0 10-12 07:58
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 -$4 79¢ $-4 +$0 10-12 07:58
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes -20 -$1 13¢ $-3 -$1 10-12 08:01
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$2 15¢ $-2 $0 10-12 08:01
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -2 -$2 84¢ $-2 $0 10-12 08:01
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$1 6¢ $-1 $0 10-12 08:02
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -7 -$1 16¢ $-1 $0 10-12 08:02
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -20 $0 5¢ $-1 -$1 10-12 08:05
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -20 -$1 4¢ $-1 $0 10-12 08:02
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes -20 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$2 10-12 07:58
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes -20 -$1 4¢ $-1 $0 10-12 08:03
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes -16 $0 4¢ $-1 $0 10-12 08:03
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes -16 $0 4¢ $-1 $0 10-12 08:03
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -6 $0 11¢ $-1 $0 10-12 08:05
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes -10 -$1 5¢ $-1 +$0 10-12 08:03
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes -6 $0 5¢ $-0 $0 10-12 08:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes -1 $0 32¢ $-0 $0 10-12 08:05
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? Yes -5 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 10-12 08:05
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 10-12 08:04
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -4 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 10-12 08:00