Unlucky-Pounding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

7,011

lifetime

Volume

$2.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$361

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

66% 80% +$1,618

Other

32% 83% +$635

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	16	$119.3K	59,083	60,473	-1,390	open	—	04-05 02:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	171	$100.7K	65,201	62,665	+2,535	open	—	03-10 13:08
will iran strike israel on march 10	87	$85.2K	61,030	26,865	+34,165	open	—	03-17 16:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	111	$80.2K	78,240	13,240	+65,000	open	—	04-07 17:55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	45	$76.2K	62,204	15,593	+46,611	open	—	03-04 17:59
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	47	$72.5K	35,703	37,703	-2,000	open	—	05-11 21:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	57	$72.4K	37,200	37,200	+0	open	—	04-01 19:55
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	32	$71.3K	62,163	10,000	+52,163	open	—	03-19 00:09
will iran strike israel on march 3	7	$67.9K	50,000	18,000	+32,000	open	—	03-07 03:16
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	57	$60.7K	56,145	5,706	+50,439	open	—	03-25 18:20
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	332	$50.0K	57,561	10	+57,551	open	—	02-24 19:46
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	11	$45.9K	46,000	0	+46,000	open	—	04-17 23:23
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	7	$44.3K	45,000	0	+45,000	open	—	04-15 09:47
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	45	$38.2K	38,000	7,000	+31,000	open	—	04-22 05:54
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	66	$37.3K	36,340	4,207	+32,133	open	—	04-13 22:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$35.9K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	04-22 05:11
will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	10	$35.7K	18,020	18,020	+0	open	—	03-04 02:11
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	24	$35.5K	29,000	7,000	+22,000	open	—	04-14 03:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$35.0K	25,000	10,000	+15,000	open	—	03-03 16:18
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	52	$34.4K	33,157	33,248	-91	open	—	05-15 18:20
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$32.9K	30,448	2,448	+28,000	open	—	03-13 03:45
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$30.0K	20,000	10,000	+10,000	open	—	03-12 19:21
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	8	$29.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-10 14:44
iran leadership change by march 31	42	$28.5K	29,061	3,217	+25,844	open	—	03-31 06:37
Iran leadership change by April 30?	76	$28.5K	21,984	9,984	+12,000	open	—	04-30 16:51
will iran strike israel on march 6	37	$27.6K	27,873	1,285	+26,588	open	—	03-10 15:46
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	14	$24.4K	12,485	12,485	+0	open	—	03-20 09:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	11	$23.9K	24,000	0	+24,000	open	—	04-29 19:07
will khamenei tweet again on march 9 2026	11	$22.2K	22,239	0	+22,239	open	—	03-10 02:15
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	10	$20.9K	10,520	10,520	+0	open	—	04-23 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 20:48:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	117	19¢	$22	0xe8f8a0…
08-10 20:41:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x5f29ba…
08-10 20:36:15	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x62baf6…
08-10 20:36:13	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,297	19¢	$246	0xa244ce…
08-10 20:18:28	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x6fd960…
08-10 19:25:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	19¢	$190	0xb9fa68…
08-10 18:21:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x204b94…
08-10 17:47:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x5f85b9…
08-10 17:45:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0xa707e3…
08-10 17:41:40	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	331	19¢	$63	0xc074b9…
08-10 17:41:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	2,500	86¢	$2,150	0xd5397f…
08-09 11:15:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	2,344	72¢	$1,687	0xa0fe75…
08-09 11:15:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x914051…
08-09 11:10:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	644	72¢	$464	0xc38244…
08-07 10:25:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	24¢	$480	0x42e65b…
08-06 18:13:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,000	39¢	$390	0x09ecee…
08-05 21:31:57	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x1e7f59…
08-05 21:31:36	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	Yes	SELL	107	10¢	$11	0x028452…
08-05 13:34:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	300	64¢	$194	0xa6f0cb…
08-05 13:10:42	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x90ef42…
08-05 10:30:56	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xb170e5…
08-05 01:53:39	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x6e6d8f…
08-05 01:50:44	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf417ee…
08-05 01:47:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	245	64¢	$158	0x5b415d…
08-05 01:41:08	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xcb9805…
08-05 01:40:11	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x99b5b7…
08-05 01:39:15	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	157	58¢	$91	0xb8fe3f…
08-04 13:30:08	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x8a2fa6…
08-04 12:54:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x8c4089…
08-04 12:52:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xc85e11…
08-04 12:52:47	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	15	49¢	$8	0xa68d20…
08-04 12:49:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0xb08173…
08-04 12:36:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0329f7…
08-04 12:35:24	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	Yes	BUY	207	14¢	$29	0x7c80d7…
08-04 12:34:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	1,000	64¢	$644	0x504462…
08-04 12:30:09	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	BUY	205	17¢	$34	0xed86d0…
08-04 12:29:42	will mrbeast say dollar 5 times during his next youtube video 20260729175811861	Yes	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xbf9725…
08-04 12:27:41	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa380ff…
08-04 12:17:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x41bc2b…
08-04 12:15:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x6a1085…
08-03 00:39:33	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	357	63¢	$225	0x2e5046…
08-02 23:53:03	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3e54f8…
08-02 10:15:56	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xf3dad4…
08-02 05:03:39	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x054d39…
08-02 03:50:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	1,129	88¢	$994	0x42953a…
08-02 02:12:44	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,550	29¢	$449	0x409ffe…
08-01 23:58:05	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xd60982…
08-01 21:02:36	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x4b783b…
08-01 19:03:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa29794…
08-01 19:00:21	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x7c4640…
08-01 16:49:03	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	64	29¢	$18	0x9d20ba…
08-01 14:41:27	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xfda3fe…
08-01 10:54:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x0c9409…
08-01 10:36:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	64	24¢	$15	0x41f89c…
08-01 08:59:11	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xee4160…
08-01 08:48:18	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	141	49¢	$69	0xec48f0…
08-01 04:24:12	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x7c29c6…
08-01 01:11:41	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0x088d37…
08-01 01:11:29	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	138	29¢	$40	0xf65131…
08-01 00:07:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0xf47bd2…
07-31 23:33:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0xe6bcb3…
07-31 23:24:09	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x57c52a…
07-31 22:27:41	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x28eb97…
07-31 22:27:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x9186ee…
07-31 22:10:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	75¢	$1,500	0x86dc8c…
07-31 21:12:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	920	81¢	$745	0x2be297…
07-31 20:43:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0x5f3225…
07-31 20:43:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x74bfd9…
07-31 20:12:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x1efc23…
07-31 19:24:44	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,962	0xe7d6c1…
07-31 19:06:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	44	72¢	$32	0xac5a70…
07-31 19:06:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	6,673	72¢	$4,804	0xe418e8…
07-31 18:49:33	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	2,001	99¢	$1,978	0x5e37a1…
07-31 18:18:05	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0x429ce7…
07-31 17:22:27	will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x22427b…
07-31 17:20:18	will trump say job 20 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357437	No	BUY	542	100¢	$541	0xbacc49…
07-31 17:18:47	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	No	BUY	269	87¢	$234	0xc1b658…
07-31 17:10:11	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	1,335	98¢	$1,315	0xd6e3c1…
07-31 17:00:03	will trump say nazi or hitler during cabinet meeting 20260727172357453	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x6e3ba1…
07-31 16:59:39	will trump say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during cabinet meeting 20260727172357455	No	BUY	325	100¢	$325	0xed8a3c…
07-31 16:11:12	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	23¢	$30	0x281dcf…
07-31 15:16:41	will trumps remarks not air 20260727172357456	No	BUY	4,000	96¢	$3,844	0x66534a…
07-31 13:29:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	SELL	177	81¢	$143	0x6d0209…
07-31 13:26:38	will trump say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during cabinet meeting 20260727172357455	No	BUY	840	93¢	$781	0x71ffa5…
07-31 13:26:17	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	77	12¢	$9	0x474446…
07-31 13:25:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x33a466…
07-31 13:23:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x972268…
07-31 13:23:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xb0159f…
07-31 13:23:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xe4abe9…
07-31 13:19:38	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x432d95…
07-31 13:19:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	950	83¢	$788	0x65ec1e…
07-31 13:13:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x7151d7…
07-31 13:12:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,120	85¢	$1,798	0x67770e…
07-31 13:11:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x373203…
07-31 06:55:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	97¢	$970	0xae4f04…
07-31 00:32:57	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x55c518…
07-30 23:50:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x70c00d…
07-30 21:31:02	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xeec546…
07-30 21:29:59	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x71ae5d…
07-30 21:29:39	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	BUY	540	68¢	$366	0xe7c328…