Realized P&L (30d)
-$2.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$622
Hit rate
13.0%
Resolved (30d)
24
Trades (30d)
35
2,979 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.46K
$148.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$1.12K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 256 days
Categories
Other
61% 63% -$1,690
Politics
29% 49% -$2,452
Crypto
4% 52% +$54
Tech
4% 72% +$911
Sports
2% 36% -$653
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +677 $399 58¢ $393 -$6 11-01 19:16
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes -133 -$123 98¢ $-130 -$7 09-20 16:05
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -128 -$146 99¢ $-127 +$20 09-19 09:42
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -107 -$114 98¢ $-105 +$9 09-18 18:00
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -104 -$104 100¢ $-104 +$0 09-20 16:03
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -42 -$39 94¢ $-40 -$1 09-20 16:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -50 -$35 66¢ $-33 +$2 09-20 16:06
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -35 -$30 89¢ $-31 -$1 11-01 19:14
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -26 -$26 100¢ $-26 $0 10-25 20:52
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -22 -$22 95¢ $-21 +$1 09-20 16:05
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -25 -$15 80¢ $-21 -$6 08-25 17:24
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 +$0 08-23 17:00
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +14 $11 92¢ $13 +$2 07-31 14:18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11 -$22 98¢ $-11 +$11 09-19 09:42
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -804 -$627 1¢ $-10 +$616 06-15 10:35
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +10 $18 97¢ $10 -$8 09-24 16:28
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 06-02 13:40
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +500 $5 1¢ $5 $0 11-01 19:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +16 $6 30¢ $5 -$1 10-08 21:38
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +556 $5 1¢ $5 $0 11-01 19:15
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +455 $5 1¢ $5 $0 11-01 19:14
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 07-27 07:33
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +286 $2 1¢ $2 $0 11-01 19:16
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 07-08 07:44
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +23 $10 5¢ $1 -$8 08-05 16:57
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +6 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 07-03 07:41