Realized P&L
-$560
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
205
Trades
1,413
lifetime
Volume
$92.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$3.24K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 08:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Other
65% 66% -$411
Politics
34% 61% +$523
Sports
1% 0% -$557
Tech
0% 0% -$123
Crypto
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +885 $835 96¢ $847 +$13 10-20 08:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +537 $471 92¢ $494 +$24 07-20 17:01
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +349 $302 90¢ $313 +$10 07-12 08:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -282 -$232 94¢ $-264 -$32 05-13 12:36
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -256 -$204 90¢ $-230 -$26 05-15 01:04
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +282 $205 80¢ $227 +$22 09-08 16:35
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,650 $146 5¢ $135 -$11 05-28 13:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No -100 -$88 96¢ $-96 -$8 05-11 01:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -287 -$155 30¢ $-88 +$67 05-15 00:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -90 -$74 96¢ $-86 -$12 07-07 14:04
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +240 $139 36¢ $86 -$53 10-17 05:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $68 40¢ $80 +$12 08-04 12:47
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -80 -$65 93¢ $-74 -$10 05-15 06:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +65 $59 97¢ $63 +$4 10-17 08:04
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +81 $45 78¢ $63 +$18 08-11 01:44
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +145 $66 36¢ $52 -$14 07-04 06:14
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +90 $43 19¢ $17 -$26 07-11 12:08
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +30 $15 37¢ $11 -$4 07-03 00:14
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -100 -$20 8¢ $-8 +$12 06-23 16:45
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +17 $1 23¢ $4 +$3 07-03 00:18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -125 -$21 1¢ $-1 +$20 07-07 14:16