Amused-Appreciation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

850

lifetime

Volume

$56.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

59% 75% $-129

Politics

39% 100% +$249

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	39	$5.2K	3,474	3,774	-300	open	—	05-21 04:29
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	18	$3.0K	1,749	1,552	+197	open	—	02-28 12:22
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?	11	$3.0K	1,186	1,891	-705	open	—	06-22 21:48
another us bank failure by february 28	29	$2.7K	1,479	1,479	+0	open	—	03-03 00:56
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	21	$2.0K	1,029	1,056	-27	open	—	07-12 04:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	13	$1.7K	945	945	+0	open	—	04-23 06:29
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	16	$1.7K	867	880	-13	open	—	05-18 15:48
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	4	$1.6K	1,223	381	+842	open	—	01-02 14:56
Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?	24	$1.6K	1,527	173	+1,354	open	—	07-30 16:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	8	$1.5K	846	716	+130	open	—	01-31 16:31
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	25	$1.4K	725	1,095	-369	open	—	05-27 18:30
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	9	$1.4K	1,075	537	+537	open	—	07-20 17:01
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	15	$1.1K	610	610	+0	open	—	07-07 13:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$1.1K	713	414	+298	open	—	02-14 08:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	6	$897	458	458	+0	open	—	04-23 15:25
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	5	$829	450	450	+0	open	—	02-12 15:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	21	$784	979	880	+99	open	—	03-08 07:42
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	43	$782	1,172	1,567	-395	open	—	03-10 03:33
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$699	700	0	+700	open	—	01-02 07:25
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	7	$628	650	0	+650	open	—	08-02 16:48
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	7	$616	396	484	-89	open	—	02-27 02:14
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	4	$586	300	300	+0	open	—	01-10 12:53
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	05-14 17:22
will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	13	$555	347	297	+50	open	—	07-20 18:58
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	5	$544	280	380	-100	open	—	03-04 04:27
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	7	$530	304	304	+0	open	—	07-07 13:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$521	628	628	+0	open	—	07-08 18:08
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$509	510	0	+510	open	—	02-03 03:05
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$483	591	133	+458	open	—	02-16 13:16
will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	15	$482	506	0	+506	open	—	07-20 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 21:59:48	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x1aec05…
08-09 16:27:10	will matt damon be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xa8bbea…
08-09 04:19:52	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	16¢	$12	0x366dd4…
08-09 04:19:46	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	SELL	259	16¢	$42	0x350582…
08-02 16:48:39	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd02b29…
08-02 03:54:03	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xea4fc9…
07-30 16:05:42	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x14cbd6…
07-30 16:04:54	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86e99c…
07-25 19:34:01	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0ca420…
07-25 12:29:54	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xeacfb2…
07-25 11:38:40	will digger be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x5ac6c7…
07-25 03:59:06	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2712d8…
07-25 03:58:00	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3fda3b…
07-23 20:14:24	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x7f843d…
07-22 22:55:10	will tom cruise be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x2e74d8…
07-22 19:18:37	will matt damon be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x049a0d…
07-22 10:21:01	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x050c6c…
07-22 10:18:10	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8c5d5f…
07-22 10:18:01	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x0a995b…
07-22 10:17:58	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x055fe3…
07-20 19:55:21	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x1cd7ff…
07-20 18:58:28	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x279103…
07-20 17:23:43	will hilary benn be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533218	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74e433…
07-20 17:01:30	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	537	86¢	$462	0x9e85b6…
07-20 15:51:00	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd0f4ac…
07-20 14:36:54	will project hail mary be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xca0e98…
07-20 14:31:43	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0xa60175…
07-20 14:30:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x48dfa9…
07-20 14:30:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x3f73c6…
07-20 09:39:30	will matt damon be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x45e5df…
07-20 08:39:18	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	219	99¢	$217	0x62af93…
07-16 03:47:31	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3caa52…
07-16 03:47:07	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc772fd…
07-16 03:46:53	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x79b44a…
07-16 03:46:44	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xaf7606…
07-13 22:16:04	Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xeb8d03…
07-13 07:53:31	Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xc02b84…
07-12 04:53:26	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0x5dc107…
07-11 23:34:41	will tom cruise be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7cf643…
07-11 12:08:22	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	90	48¢	$43	0xa53f66…
07-09 22:45:16	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	71¢	$141	0xd049b6…
07-09 13:48:31	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa9b113…
07-09 12:01:28	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x5c37a1…
07-08 18:08:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	628	0¢	$1	0x2df1dc…
07-08 09:06:40	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	SELL	71	35¢	$25	0xfd4053…
07-07 19:43:28	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x2d9c46…
07-07 19:42:35	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x0011d6…
07-07 14:21:55	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x21476e…
07-07 14:04:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf63383…
07-07 14:02:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	85	88¢	$75	0xe33c86…
07-07 14:00:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	390	82¢	$320	0x95a3e6…
07-07 13:59:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	175	98¢	$172	0x324bea…
07-07 13:59:11	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$155	0xec9a81…
07-07 13:58:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x6e3de1…
07-07 13:58:05	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0x3187bb…
07-07 13:57:31	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xd5fb6c…
07-05 17:26:14	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x302736…
07-05 14:52:59	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x0a0047…
07-05 14:43:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0xfbf68c…
07-05 13:15:34	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	33¢	$76	0xdf641c…
07-05 13:15:31	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x0eabc8…
07-05 12:55:28	will pauline hanson wear a burqa again in 2026 20260623162459445	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0xf1d2a6…
07-05 12:38:25	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x0a7850…
07-05 05:30:50	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	183	99¢	$182	0xd01785…
07-05 05:07:29	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xe2991a…
07-04 15:40:34	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x837c82…
07-04 10:28:29	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	SELL	188	37¢	$69	0xed44ac…
07-04 00:00:29	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0x9bdf7b…
07-03 16:22:40	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd064f1…
07-03 08:17:25	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x12c277…
07-03 07:53:10	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xbe6470…
07-03 06:03:35	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xcf2951…
07-03 05:21:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0a8d50…
07-03 05:21:02	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x272688…
07-03 05:20:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x847cc9…
07-02 17:55:58	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa6745c…
07-02 17:55:50	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb17974…
07-02 14:54:35	will jeremy strong be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x874c54…
07-02 14:21:59	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xbe7869…
07-02 13:51:04	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	SELL	42	39¢	$16	0x664bb2…
07-02 09:43:10	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	SELL	41	36¢	$15	0xa3126a…
07-01 15:48:56	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf4bb1f…
07-01 14:48:19	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x643366…
07-01 08:54:35	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0xe27767…
07-01 08:54:29	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0xe36d92…
07-01 02:27:08	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x48335a…
07-01 02:27:04	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb1a022…
07-01 02:26:25	trump pays jan 6 rioter	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8ecf6b…
06-30 07:30:11	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	SELL	223	93¢	$207	0x2ad459…
06-29 04:20:13	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xe8e50b…
06-29 04:16:49	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x486a03…
06-29 04:16:43	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc87512…
06-28 19:36:05	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ff844…
06-28 19:13:46	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x43e2e0…
06-28 18:50:04	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x0ae05a…
06-28 16:51:08	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x90226a…
06-28 16:48:49	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x06bcfa…
06-27 14:18:49	will supergirl score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x0ada32…
06-26 15:23:01	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	SELL	98	51¢	$50	0x4db765…
06-26 05:55:02	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x4ecc98…