Worthwhile-Shearling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.08K

Unrealized P&L

-$337

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

$223

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-13 11:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% +$74

Politics

30% 55% +$2,005

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	+744	$200	16¢	$115	-$85	07-02 05:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+309	$50	12¢	$37	-$13	05-22 05:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,825	$200	2¢	$36	-$164	06-28 06:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+166	$50	11¢	$18	-$32	06-04 09:55
russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	+644	$60	3¢	$16	-$44	06-24 17:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	22	$4.6K	5,556	0	+5,556	No	+$1,003	05-30 14:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$3.1K	2,243	2,243	+0	Yes	+$1,337	03-01 04:10
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	2	$1.2K	1,255	0	+1,255	No	+$55	05-22 05:38
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	15	$1.2K	1,230	684	+546	No	-$447	06-19 11:44
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	1	$800	1,311	0	+1,311	Yes	+$511	05-22 05:40
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	7	$700	821	0	+821	No	+$121	06-20 08:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$519	507	507	+0	No	+$119	04-08 04:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$500	1,708	0	+1,708	Yes	+$1,208	04-09 09:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$500	769	0	+769	No	-$500	03-01 10:40
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	5	$500	561	0	+561	No	+$61	06-04 16:12
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	1	$400	1,089	0	+1,089	No	-$400	05-22 05:40
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	4	$394	1,638	0	+1,638	No	-$394	07-13 11:33
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	3	$300	313	0	+313	open	—	07-02 04:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$209	217	0	+217	No	+$7	06-04 16:19
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	2	$200	744	0	+744	open	—	07-02 05:00
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	2	$200	451	0	+451	Yes	+$251	06-21 17:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$200	1,825	0	+1,825	open	—	06-28 06:31
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	2	$200	1,761	0	+1,761	No	-$200	07-13 11:28
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	2	$200	1,334	0	+1,334	No	-$200	07-13 11:27
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	2	$150	1,646	0	+1,646	No	-$150	07-13 11:28
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	2	$112	667	667	+0	Yes	-$88	06-17 11:14
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	1	$110	1,039	0	+1,039	No	-$110	04-05 05:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$100	217	217	+0	Yes	-$100	04-05 05:36
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	1	$100	140	0	+140	Yes	+$40	06-14 16:37
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	1	$100	465	0	+465	Yes	-$100	06-04 09:14
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	1	$100	196	0	+196	Yes	+$96	06-14 16:36
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	1	$100	120	0	+120	No	+$20	06-19 11:40
will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	06-14 16:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$70	1,329	0	+1,329	No	-$70	04-22 12:37
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$61	56	56	+0	Yes	+$41	04-08 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 11:33:49	Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	369	27¢	$100	0x9b4d25…
07-13 11:30:32	Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	344	27¢	$94	0xde922d…
07-13 11:28:31	Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	368	27¢	$100	0x04a874…
07-13 11:28:08	Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	573	17¢	$100	0x2b6766…
07-13 11:27:22	Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	601	17¢	$100	0x13e1cd…
07-13 10:43:44	Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	1,073	5¢	$50	0x10abcf…
07-13 10:42:19	Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	734	14¢	$100	0xc6be5f…
07-13 10:41:43	Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	1,393	7¢	$100	0x80eac8…
07-13 10:40:34	Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	419	24¢	$100	0x4e1b49…
07-13 10:38:29	Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	506	20¢	$100	0x01c85f…
07-02 05:00:49	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	431	23¢	$100	0xea6d91…
07-02 04:59:31	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd0cc94…
06-28 06:36:56	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x62532e…
06-28 06:31:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x0fe110…
06-24 17:31:41	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x858523…
06-24 17:30:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xcae321…
06-21 17:38:07	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xbc0d41…
06-20 08:17:16	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x315736…
06-19 11:44:22	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xe6cd80…
06-19 11:43:28	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x030321…
06-19 11:42:47	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x1a1042…
06-19 11:40:58	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x6dc858…
06-18 12:03:56	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xed8fe1…
06-18 10:33:37	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x7c03f3…
06-18 10:33:29	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	SELL	184	45¢	$83	0xa51c1c…
06-18 10:33:17	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x310cd3…
06-18 10:33:04	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x1c1790…
06-18 10:32:56	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x52c76e…
06-18 10:32:47	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x2ceb73…
06-18 10:32:38	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x353cd9…
06-17 16:05:58	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x481ad5…
06-17 11:14:28	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	No	SELL	667	2¢	$12	0x6bd989…
06-17 08:46:04	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	No	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x857af7…
06-17 04:19:43	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x52aa23…
06-17 04:19:10	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xdcf540…
06-17 04:19:05	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x7ca589…
06-17 04:18:56	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x06b77a…
06-17 04:18:50	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x577667…
06-14 16:43:06	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xed0e6e…
06-14 16:42:25	Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x4bcb1d…
06-14 16:42:03	Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x80dfc7…
06-14 16:39:06	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc97e24…
06-14 16:38:31	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xddba12…
06-14 16:37:00	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x5df86e…
06-14 16:36:37	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x872072…
06-14 16:32:09	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc02d29…
06-14 16:31:46	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x8c0951…
06-14 16:31:06	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd136e6…
06-14 16:30:39	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x807bed…
06-14 16:29:48	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa87055…
06-14 16:28:45	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	No	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x4a929c…
06-04 16:19:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	217	97¢	$209	0x205bc5…
06-04 16:12:33	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x9bff26…
06-04 16:11:36	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	No	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x19fd65…
06-04 11:57:45	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x725226…
06-04 09:57:03	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x9eaaf4…
06-04 09:55:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0x43a71e…
06-04 09:53:25	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x03f528…
06-04 09:51:54	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xbf2305…
06-04 09:50:24	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	No	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x7cc571…
06-04 09:14:09	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	No	BUY	465	22¢	$100	0xc23914…
05-30 14:00:11	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0x35ddd3…
05-30 13:49:25	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x2a2ded…
05-30 13:48:40	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xa8757b…
05-30 13:48:20	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x837df5…
05-30 13:47:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x387621…
05-30 13:47:33	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xd75aa1…
05-30 13:47:21	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xe88c72…
05-30 13:45:32	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	126	80¢	$100	0x7ea992…
05-30 13:45:08	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0x133066…
05-30 13:44:42	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x338f61…
05-30 13:44:07	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x780561…
05-30 13:43:46	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xf40576…
05-30 13:43:26	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x28d3fa…
05-30 13:43:14	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x8c4754…
05-30 13:42:55	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x8b69ca…
05-30 13:42:46	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x73225a…
05-30 13:42:36	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x5525c0…
05-30 13:42:13	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x6d2380…
05-30 13:42:06	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x47ca69…
05-30 13:41:54	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xf4cac9…
05-30 13:41:43	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x89338b…
05-28 14:23:06	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	3,101	87¢	$2,703	0x4d350b…
05-22 05:40:46	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,089	37¢	$400	0x9e97b4…
05-22 05:40:30	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,311	61¢	$800	0x5fb3d0…
05-22 05:38:36	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,000	0xf2f65a…
05-22 05:30:49	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0x1f3d11…
05-22 05:13:35	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	309	16¢	$50	0x3bfdee…
04-22 12:37:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,043	5¢	$50	0x1909d2…
04-09 09:55:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,708	29¢	$500	0xc08f10…
04-08 04:11:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	507	63¢	$319	0xf3989b…
04-08 04:10:37	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	SELL	43	77¢	$33	0xa12242…
04-08 04:10:23	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0x77324e…
04-05 05:45:43	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,039	11¢	$110	0x74b627…
04-05 05:41:59	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x045edd…
04-05 05:40:55	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x44fef7…
04-05 05:39:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x316194…
04-05 05:37:17	Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	56	20¢	$11	0xc26f63…
04-05 05:36:59	Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	18¢	$10	0x8582be…
04-05 05:36:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	217	0¢	$0	0xcb3041…