Young-Visa 0x974bb2…45b29b Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$429
Unrealized P&L
+$265
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
203
Trades
512
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.97K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
62% 83% -$174
Politics
22% 82% -$236
Crypto
10% 71% +$8
Sports
4% 67% -$55
Tech
2% 100% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +254 $187 86¢ $218 +$30 11-02 18:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +250 $177 82¢ $206 +$29 07-17 21:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +130 $118 97¢ $126 +$8 07-10 09:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +142 $91 84¢ $120 +$29 05-14 13:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +120 $102 94¢ $113 +$12 06-26 13:49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +110 $95 98¢ $107 +$13 05-19 03:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +100 $49 97¢ $97 +$48 06-01 19:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +100 $79 92¢ $92 +$13 06-01 16:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +90 $76 96¢ $86 +$10 05-18 15:47
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +86 $71 96¢ $83 +$11 06-01 23:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +76 $60 98¢ $74 +$15 05-20 13:44
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +79 $71 92¢ $73 +$2 10-29 17:16
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +70 $62 98¢ $69 +$7 05-03 19:39
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +60 $53 97¢ $58 +$6 05-19 05:38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $39 96¢ $57 +$18 06-05 22:52
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +60 $50 91¢ $55 +$4 05-18 16:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 05-29 15:47
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 06-01 14:55
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 95¢ $47 +$13 06-01 19:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +70 $53 64¢ $45 -$8 07-01 20:08
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +46 $41 97¢ $44 +$3 05-04 08:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +37 $30 96¢ $35 +$6 05-08 13:52
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 07-11 18:00
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +50 $36 59¢ $30 -$6 06-01 17:35
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -34 -$5 20¢ $-7 -$2 10-28 19:44
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -60 -$5 8¢ $-5 $0 10-29 10:16