Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
410
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$742
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 15:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
68% 100% +$4
Politics
20%
Crypto
9%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +130 $118 93¢ $121 +$3 07-10 09:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +100 $49 60¢ $60 +$11 06-01 19:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +60 $42 99¢ $59 +$17 07-01 20:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +80 $58 72¢ $57 $-1 07-17 21:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +70 $53 78¢ $55 +$2 07-01 20:08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $39 88¢ $53 +$13 06-05 22:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 05-29 15:47
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +50 $46 95¢ $47 +$2 06-01 14:55
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No +72 $57 61¢ $44 $-12 07-01 20:25
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +50 $40 88¢ $44 +$4 06-01 23:25
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 78¢ $39 +$4 06-01 19:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +40 $35 90¢ $36 +$1 06-26 13:49
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +50 $36 70¢ $35 $-0 06-01 17:35
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +28 $23 88¢ $25 +$2 07-02 03:09
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +20 $16 88¢ $18 +$2 06-01 16:21