Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

796

lifetime

Volume

$3.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

60% 0% $-1

Other

31% — —

Crypto

9% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	30	$312	257	257	+0	open	—	01-15 22:31
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	27	$294	400	350	+50	open	—	01-14 23:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	20	$205	667	667	+0	open	—	03-01 02:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$175	154	154	+0	open	—	02-28 20:20
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	10	$163	141	141	+0	open	—	01-30 02:42
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	8	$150	126	126	+0	open	—	02-28 19:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	22	$142	1,858	1,858	+0	open	—	01-31 12:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$122	86	86	+0	open	—	02-19 13:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	15	$117	190	190	+0	open	—	02-24 17:23
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	14	$102	837	837	+0	open	—	03-16 20:33
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	7	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 18:16
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	4	$91	188	188	+0	open	—	02-12 04:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	14	$87	662	662	+0	open	—	02-22 04:24
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	16	$84	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	02-24 17:22
will iran strike israel on march 1	4	$72	43	43	+0	open	—	03-01 03:19
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	02-02 14:56
btc updown 5m 1771037100	6	$56	34	34	+0	open	—	02-14 02:49
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	6	$54	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 20:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$45	147	147	+0	open	—	02-20 01:57
khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-28 19:44
will trump talk to mara corina machado in january	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	01-09 16:06
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$34	431	431	+0	open	—	02-14 05:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$34	128	128	+0	open	—	02-28 14:39
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	4	$33	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 00:50
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	5	$32	52	52	-0	open	—	01-18 22:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	8	$31	1,062	961	+101	open	—	01-29 17:52
por ama ton 2026 02 20 ton	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	02-20 22:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	10	$29	282	282	+0	Yes	$-1	05-04 20:39
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$27	141	141	+0	open	—	02-01 02:20
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$26	42	22	+20	open	—	01-15 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 15:19:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x23b538…
07-01 02:55:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe63043…
07-01 02:55:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x38d15f…
07-01 02:45:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xffdd42…
07-01 02:45:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xce95c2…
07-01 02:45:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x31df99…
07-01 02:45:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xccaa0e…
07-01 02:29:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x378f70…
06-16 23:33:56	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf4a9ed…
05-04 20:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd320fa…
05-04 20:39:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd54f74…
04-30 18:11:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xe6fd29…
04-30 17:52:20	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x35c4ab…
04-30 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x558886…
04-30 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa4f5de…
04-30 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xacb0b6…
04-30 17:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa4c90c…
04-30 17:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xf286e5…
04-30 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd54731…
04-30 17:03:46	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1e9e93…
04-30 16:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xf8f211…
04-30 16:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5e15cb…
04-30 16:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc044ec…
04-30 16:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa25666…
04-30 16:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xef1d20…
04-30 16:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x6c7323…
04-30 15:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4610ba…
04-30 15:57:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x3581e4…
04-30 15:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5c07ef…
04-30 15:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xfc78bd…
04-30 15:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1e6937…
04-30 15:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6173f8…
04-30 15:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x761641…
04-30 15:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2f5691…
04-30 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf83344…
04-30 01:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaa0da5…
04-30 01:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x61d22e…
04-30 01:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x571aa8…
04-30 01:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x0a4b15…
04-30 01:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x21a3c3…
04-30 01:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x34ccd2…
04-30 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb0d540…
04-30 01:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2041cc…
04-30 00:35:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0x713fa8…
04-30 00:27:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x2d5629…
04-29 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xf3d3eb…
04-29 21:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x0f131b…
04-29 21:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x56de27…
04-29 21:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xa2ddf8…
04-29 21:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x56d409…
04-29 21:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4e3f81…
04-29 21:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7cece5…
04-29 21:03:26	Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb4b1ea…
04-29 20:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x842ffc…
04-29 19:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x4b59bc…
04-29 18:50:18	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x18b24d…
04-29 18:48:20	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa0818d…
04-29 18:39:42	Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x08228e…
04-29 18:39:26	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x272d93…
04-29 18:32:38	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9ce360…
04-29 18:18:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xadce62…
04-29 18:14:38	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x05840e…
04-29 18:12:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3fcacf…
04-29 18:08:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaf65dc…
04-29 17:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x1c9130…
04-29 17:53:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x6bade7…
04-29 17:52:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	345	0¢	$1	0xf62348…
04-29 17:51:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xbcb071…
04-29 17:51:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	4¢	$5	0x54b59b…
04-29 17:43:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	5¢	$7	0x34d731…
04-29 17:42:36	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x3d01fc…
04-29 17:37:36	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x31fc12…
04-29 17:36:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	0¢	$1	0x7976e4…
04-29 17:33:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xc7548d…
04-23 03:22:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0x62159c…
04-23 03:07:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xd0d92b…
04-07 20:17:55	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x2295cd…
04-07 20:15:01	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xbee539…
04-07 20:10:25	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x235d26…
04-07 20:09:17	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xdc17c4…
04-07 20:00:53	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xdb5087…
04-07 19:59:59	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8e9a46…
04-03 17:38:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	82¢	$10	0x4adf90…
04-03 16:05:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x5f90da…
04-03 15:51:49	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xec6440…
04-01 18:18:51	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4289ff…
04-01 18:10:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x623a3c…
03-16 20:33:27	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	607	1¢	$6	0x9cd132…
03-16 20:17:03	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x3e5f89…
03-16 15:21:11	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	9¢	$6	0x1f1c15…
03-01 03:19:05	will iran strike israel on march 1	Yes	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x61219b…
03-01 02:23:21	will iran strike israel on march 1	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0xccd8a3…
03-01 02:02:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4bcc63…
03-01 00:56:21	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xcdd5c1…
03-01 00:23:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0x582c7c…
03-01 00:21:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x788627…
03-01 00:13:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x51505b…
02-28 21:43:13	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0x992b7a…
02-28 21:36:13	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	SELL	95	5¢	$5	0xa55815…
02-28 21:35:47	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4d300a…