Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

854

lifetime

Volume

$3.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

60% 0% $-1

Other

30% — —

Crypto

9% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	30	$312	257	257	+0	open	—	01-15 22:31
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	27	$294	400	350	+50	open	—	01-14 23:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	20	$205	667	667	+0	open	—	03-01 02:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$175	154	154	+0	open	—	02-28 20:20
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	10	$163	141	141	+0	open	—	01-30 02:42
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	8	$150	126	126	+0	open	—	02-28 19:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	22	$142	1,858	1,858	+0	open	—	01-31 12:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$122	86	86	+0	open	—	02-19 13:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	15	$117	190	190	+0	open	—	02-24 17:23
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	14	$102	837	837	+0	open	—	03-16 20:33
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	7	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 18:16
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	4	$91	188	188	+0	open	—	02-12 04:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	14	$87	662	662	+0	open	—	02-22 04:24
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	16	$84	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	02-24 17:22
will iran strike israel on march 1	4	$72	43	43	+0	open	—	03-01 03:19
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	02-02 14:56
btc updown 5m 1771037100	6	$56	34	34	+0	open	—	02-14 02:49
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	6	$54	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 20:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$45	147	147	+0	open	—	02-20 01:57
khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-28 19:44
will trump talk to mara corina machado in january	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	01-09 16:06
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$34	431	431	+0	open	—	02-14 05:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$34	128	128	+0	open	—	02-28 14:39
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	4	$33	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 00:50
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	5	$32	52	52	-0	open	—	01-18 22:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	8	$31	1,062	961	+101	open	—	01-29 17:52
por ama ton 2026 02 20 ton	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	02-20 22:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	10	$29	282	282	+0	Yes	$-1	05-04 20:39
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$27	141	141	+0	open	—	02-01 02:20
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$26	42	22	+20	open	—	01-15 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 00:10:12	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbb0a8f…
08-09 23:51:13	btc updown 5m 1786319400	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xa70afc…
08-09 14:51:48	btc updown 5m 1786287000	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x188eca…
08-09 13:36:15	btc updown 5m 1786282500	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xce14e9…
08-09 03:23:27	btc updown 5m 1786245900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8e0365…
08-09 03:17:28	btc updown 5m 1786245300	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x402581…
08-09 03:06:40	btc updown 5m 1786244700	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd1ef0a…
08-09 02:57:21	btc updown 5m 1786244100	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x1f7217…
08-09 02:18:01	btc updown 5m 1786241700	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xff988b…
08-09 02:16:36	btc updown 5m 1786241700	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf9cb30…
08-09 01:36:30	btc updown 5m 1786239300	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaf056a…
08-08 19:56:27	btc updown 5m 1786218900	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5934c5…
08-08 19:39:03	btc updown 5m 1786217700	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2fe19d…
08-08 19:37:49	btc updown 5m 1786217700	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x95dc4b…
08-08 19:36:24	btc updown 5m 1786217700	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xaa113d…
08-08 19:35:13	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x986415…
08-07 18:07:36	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xa200d4…
08-07 18:07:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xa42926…
08-07 18:00:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x197ff0…
08-07 17:57:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcf31bc…
08-03 17:58:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x55c264…
08-03 01:39:32	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xafd052…
08-03 01:38:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xb919c2…
08-03 01:37:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x2144b9…
08-01 18:20:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xe8e58d…
08-01 00:51:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x744d37…
07-31 23:27:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x4d10cc…
07-30 19:38:09	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xdb9ad2…
07-29 18:35:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	1,530	0¢	$2	0x76d705…
07-29 18:29:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x710a64…
07-24 21:25:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x0e89b0…
07-24 21:25:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0xa50fa7…
07-24 21:18:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9066c7…
07-24 20:43:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7cf255…
07-24 18:08:34	will a new country join the abraham accords by july 31 20260626214759163	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x2d4cbd…
07-24 18:07:40	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x71c775…
07-24 18:06:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7cd381…
07-24 18:05:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xaa60e2…
07-24 18:04:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6cb961…
07-19 21:59:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x4f0583…
07-19 21:12:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x34a59a…
07-19 21:08:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xc04033…
07-15 02:38:58	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xcf72ad…
07-12 03:51:58	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x365beb…
07-12 03:49:20	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x7e9871…
07-12 03:27:55	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6c6876…
07-07 15:38:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x636c28…
07-05 02:26:55	will trump say golden dome during tribute to america rally 20260630160620570	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2d6edf…
07-03 19:34:34	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x7e35d5…
07-03 19:26:38	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x615655…
07-03 17:54:32	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x6f89b8…
07-03 02:07:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x1927a6…
07-02 18:37:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0xa7242d…
07-02 18:29:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	114	1¢	$1	0x02356b…
07-02 18:01:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x6d3671…
07-02 17:03:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xafc517…
07-02 14:04:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	265	2¢	$4	0xb588f2…
07-02 13:57:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x1e68c5…
07-01 15:19:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x23b538…
07-01 02:55:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe63043…
07-01 02:55:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x38d15f…
07-01 02:45:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xffdd42…
07-01 02:45:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xce95c2…
07-01 02:45:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x31df99…
07-01 02:45:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xccaa0e…
07-01 02:29:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x378f70…
06-16 23:33:56	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf4a9ed…
05-04 20:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd320fa…
05-04 20:39:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd54f74…
04-30 18:11:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xe6fd29…
04-30 17:52:20	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x35c4ab…
04-30 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x558886…
04-30 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa4f5de…
04-30 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xacb0b6…
04-30 17:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa4c90c…
04-30 17:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xf286e5…
04-30 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd54731…
04-30 17:03:46	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1e9e93…
04-30 16:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xf8f211…
04-30 16:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5e15cb…
04-30 16:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc044ec…
04-30 16:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa25666…
04-30 16:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xef1d20…
04-30 16:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x6c7323…
04-30 15:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4610ba…
04-30 15:57:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x3581e4…
04-30 15:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5c07ef…
04-30 15:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xfc78bd…
04-30 15:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1e6937…
04-30 15:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6173f8…
04-30 15:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x761641…
04-30 15:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2f5691…
04-30 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf83344…
04-30 01:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaa0da5…
04-30 01:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x61d22e…
04-30 01:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x571aa8…
04-30 01:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x0a4b15…
04-30 01:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x21a3c3…
04-30 01:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x34ccd2…
04-30 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb0d540…