Realized P&L
+$168.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$225
Hit rate
33.1%
Resolved
18,323
Trades
178,525
lifetime
Volume
$239.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-28 04:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Crypto
67% 12% +$179,204
Other
24% 14% -$6,216
Politics
7% 16% -$2,521
Tech
2% 8% -$2,553
Sports
0% 11% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 362 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,010 $2,493 82¢ $2.5K -$40 10-25 22:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $455 96¢ $478 +$22 08-27 14:14
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +454 $252 88¢ $397 +$145 10-26 07:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +250 $180 84¢ $210 +$30 08-28 20:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $71 90¢ $179 +$108 06-15 19:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +220 $55 80¢ $177 +$122 06-15 07:59
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +410 $213 40¢ $163 -$50 08-06 16:59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +3,073 $133 4¢ $138 +$5 10-28 03:41
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +140 $83 97¢ $135 +$52 06-26 17:10
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +110 $98 92¢ $102 +$4 10-26 14:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -100 -$82 96¢ $-96 -$14 05-04 07:58
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +130 $86 70¢ $90 +$5 07-30 17:10
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +100 $74 87¢ $87 +$13 08-22 23:27
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +80 $57 96¢ $77 +$19 08-10 13:54
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? Yes +56 $48 91¢ $51 +$3 10-26 09:47
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +2,000 $240 2¢ $48 -$192 08-28 20:12
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +70 $43 68¢ $47 +$4 10-23 15:07
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +50 $39 82¢ $41 +$2 10-27 22:56
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +42 $30 88¢ $37 +$8 09-07 07:21
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +38 $35 97¢ $36 +$1 10-26 15:39
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +40 $31 82¢ $33 +$2 10-25 12:36
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +30 $28 95¢ $29 +$0 10-28 05:14
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +30 $26 88¢ $26 +$0 10-27 19:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +26 $14 99¢ $26 +$12 06-16 16:33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +200 $22 13¢ $26 +$4 08-27 11:39
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +30 $22 74¢ $22 +$0 10-26 19:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$1 10-26 20:43
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +1,000 $60 2¢ $19 -$42 08-28 11:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +20 $18 91¢ $18 +$0 10-27 20:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $18 87¢ $17 $0 10-26 07:33