Realized P&L
+$781
Unrealized P&L
-$193
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
948
Trades
2,491
lifetime
Volume
$30.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$397
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-26 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 200 days
Categories
Other
61% 47% +$523
Politics
22% 45% +$99
Sports
13% 47% +$127
Crypto
4% 25% +$44
Tech
0% 29% -$12
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -300 -$292 98¢ $-295 -$4 05-05 19:45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +58 $28 34¢ $20 -$8 05-05 07:23
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$16 88¢ $-18 -$2 06-06 15:52
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -20 -$15 84¢ $-17 -$2 05-09 13:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 94¢ $9 +$6 06-11 20:15
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -10 -$7 88¢ $-9 -$1 10-25 21:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7 -$6 82¢ $-6 +$0 09-02 22:53
Maduro guilty of all counts? No -7 -$7 66¢ $-5 +$2 06-18 08:15
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -300 -$12 2¢ $-5 +$8 08-17 20:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20 $5 18¢ $4 -$2 05-06 05:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -4 -$3 82¢ $-3 +$0 09-02 22:53
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +1,860 $99 0¢ $2 -$97 10-17 23:46
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$1 5¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 02:20
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +950 $78 0¢ $1 -$77 09-24 16:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -23 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 05-06 11:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 05-11 03:25
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -3 -$1 15¢ $-0 +$1 05-11 13:29
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? Yes -10 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 10-26 21:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -0 -$1 66¢ $-0 +$1 08-29 23:02
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +218 $19 0¢ $0 -$19 10-26 21:59
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 -$2 7¢ $-0 +$2 05-05 17:41
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -10 $5 1¢ $-0 -$5 10-26 21:35
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +0 -$4 80¢ $0 +$4 08-28 14:45