Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
22
Trades
1,261
lifetime
Volume
$8.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$190
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-09 23:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
44% 62% +$3
Other
37% 33% +$2
Sports
10% 25% +$37
Crypto
8% 0% $-2
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +80 $41 69¢ $55 +$14 06-01 22:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +80 $42 50¢ $40 $-1 06-01 21:27
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -20 $-16 100¢ $-20 $-3 06-07 19:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +20 $13 80¢ $16 +$3 05-31 02:04
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +15 $11 86¢ $13 +$2 05-31 20:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-7 84¢ $-8 $-1 06-07 21:44
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -30 $-25 24¢ $-7 +$18 06-08 01:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 62¢ $-6 +$3 06-08 09:04
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 05-28 13:12
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -20 $-9 22¢ $-4 +$5 06-09 20:07
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 +$0 06-06 15:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $5 20¢ $4 $-1 05-30 16:29
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $4 20¢ $4 +$0 06-09 23:29
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +12 $2 15¢ $2 $-0 05-28 19:08
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-06 02:20