Unwelcome-Act — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$270

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$366

21 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-13 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 19% +$61

Other

30% 26% -$32

Sports

4% 67% +$1

Politics

3% 25% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	+100	$20	84¢	$84	+$64	11-02 01:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	Yes	+154	$20	55¢	$84	+$64	11-02 01:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?	Yes	+207	$17	30¢	$63	+$47	11-02 01:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+364	$57	8¢	$27	-$29	11-12 23:17
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in November?	Yes	+102	$40	22¢	$23	-$17	11-13 04:26
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?	Yes	+182	$40	11¢	$19	-$21	11-13 04:26
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in November?	Yes	+38	$20	46¢	$18	-$2	11-13 04:26
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5	Over	+55	$29	16¢	$9	-$21	11-13 21:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	Yes	+298	$128	2¢	$7	-$121	11-02 01:16
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+417	$50	2¢	$6	-$44	06-02 18:50
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	+263	$50	2¢	$6	-$44	06-02 18:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+48	$8	8¢	$4	-$4	08-08 12:22
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	Yes	+588	$20	1¢	$3	-$17	11-02 01:17
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November?	Yes	+408	$20	1¢	$3	-$17	11-02 01:17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?	Yes	+286	$20	1¢	$2	-$18	11-02 01:17
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	Yes	+103	$30	2¢	$2	-$28	11-02 01:17
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Yes	+167	$20	1¢	$1	-$19	11-02 01:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+50	$8	2¢	$1	-$7	06-01 01:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	Yes	+53	$10	1¢	$1	-$9	11-02 01:17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+67	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	05-10 18:39
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+57	$24	0¢	$0	-$24	06-02 15:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 21:08:43	Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5	Over	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x427ae6…
11-13 21:07:13	Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x54293d…
11-13 04:58:18	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x558c3f…
11-13 04:54:49	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x102e70…
11-13 04:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x34f73c…
11-13 04:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe3af9c…
11-13 04:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcc702d…
11-13 04:26:34	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x200fcc…
11-13 04:26:16	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x0287ee…
11-13 04:26:09	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xa9d694…
11-12 23:48:22	Antigua and Barbuda vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0xd3627a…
11-12 23:47:39	Curaçao vs. Panama: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x5fb987…
11-12 23:17:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x63e275…
11-12 22:52:48	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa116ae…
11-12 22:52:40	Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x145338…
11-12 22:50:39	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2ee516…
11-12 22:49:13	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x32cfd4…
11-12 22:49:07	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4d90e5…
11-02 01:19:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	207	8¢	$17	0x4a9a17…
11-02 01:18:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xa3bf35…
11-02 01:18:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x653d07…
11-02 01:18:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xfabf44…
11-02 01:18:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x922671…
11-02 01:17:51	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	588	3¢	$20	0xddcc09…
11-02 01:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	408	5¢	$20	0x8eeba0…
11-02 01:17:30	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x02a18f…
11-02 01:17:24	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x6ce1b8…
11-02 01:17:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x360cf3…
11-02 01:17:01	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xeff524…
11-02 01:16:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x3cbb36…
11-01 08:45:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	71	39¢	$28	0xf2a09d…
10-18 01:20:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xc550ab…
10-13 21:01:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x09db0b…
10-13 21:01:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x628d6a…
10-13 21:01:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xce6253…
10-13 21:01:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc1e767…
10-13 21:01:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf2f728…
10-13 21:00:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa5aaa9…
10-13 20:59:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x520b2f…
10-13 20:59:21	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb172c4…
10-13 20:59:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xbd36c2…
10-13 20:59:04	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfc0813…
09-16 16:30:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xadf00d…
09-16 16:29:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e5981…
09-16 16:27:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xa22fea…
09-16 16:27:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0b91aa…
09-16 16:27:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc1249b…
09-16 16:27:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x7e029c…
09-16 16:26:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x3e870f…
09-16 16:25:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1e39ea…
08-08 12:22:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0xe2b5fe…
07-04 16:56:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x420a92…
06-17 08:50:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of june	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x263e75…
06-17 08:30:52	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of june	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xefb3c6…
06-17 08:26:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x138d58…
06-17 08:25:40	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x0b6927…
06-17 08:18:49	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd8204d…
06-17 08:18:40	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x9e761b…
06-17 08:08:16	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xff3c6b…
06-17 08:06:58	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x37bc2a…
06-17 08:06:43	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5cd4cd…
06-17 08:04:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x2df1c6…
06-17 07:59:40	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xa03abe…
06-17 07:54:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x45b3c5…
06-17 07:51:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x1197ce…
06-17 02:43:46	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	53¢	$27	0xff2dc0…
06-17 02:38:01	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x5b1c1a…
06-17 02:31:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0xb1d8ac…
06-17 02:28:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x391299…
06-16 12:07:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	18	70¢	$12	0x8e17ef…
06-02 19:12:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0xef93a4…
06-02 19:10:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	356	1¢	$4	0x45397f…
06-02 19:09:31	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	318	1¢	$4	0x6723fe…
06-02 19:09:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	269	1¢	$4	0x250d7b…
06-02 19:09:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	173	2¢	$3	0x366fcf…
06-02 19:09:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	114	3¢	$3	0x606fa3…
06-02 19:09:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x8ce236…
06-02 19:08:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$3	0xd25f74…
06-02 19:08:37	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$3	0xfef800…
06-02 19:08:28	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xd5799e…
06-02 19:08:19	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xef4fae…
06-02 18:58:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x29fd05…
06-02 18:50:58	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x1a31c3…
06-02 18:50:05	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x2f8fec…
06-02 15:37:44	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x5e8de6…
06-02 15:35:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,143	1¢	$15	0x86c42d…
06-01 01:10:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x6cfee5…
06-01 01:05:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0xb97984…
06-01 01:03:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x51c33e…
05-22 22:34:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x882ad2…
05-10 18:39:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x7b771b…
05-10 18:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe4e1fc…